Feb last year I start to buy Pmetal due to weakening of Usd from the very top of 4.40. The weak Usd will create buying spree and push up alum price. No doubt strong Usd is good for Pmetal in term of denomination of sales. But the main catalyst is alum price. We can see lme find strong support at 1900 level. With the weakening of Usd, lme will trend higher n higher. We also can see the selling volume is getting lesser. It's the sign of price bottom out.
I don't mean to pour cold water. Click the one year period. The value has increased by 75% in 3 Months. I'm pretty darn sure future earning has priced in.
i wish to state again: PMetal's increased production and smelting capacities, and the logistics efficiencies to be reaped from the samalaju port's commissionning in 2H FY17, taken together with the sustained tight supply situation and strong demand for aluminium will surely be strong growth catalysts for pmetal's performance in the months ahead. the question is, can you hold the share? Moreover, with the US Fed Reserve poised to increase interest rates 3 times this year, the USD will continue to strengthen. There is also the arbitration case with Etiqa insurance for the losses suffered from the power outage which Pmetal has a very strong chance of winning. Risks of course will be if the US Fed decides not to raise interest rates and China relaxed its ban on illegal smelters or that demand falters as a result of poor economic conditions worldwide.
Oh ya..the case is on 1st june rite?which is next few days.im anticipating the 12 june agm.please help ask regarding the logistic completion and outcome of the etiqa case.those etiqa is not easy to deal with when comes to claiming money
hi moneykj .. long time no see.. last time you ask ppl buy also nobody believe. if they do already learn handsome profit....time to buy lo... good result share price drop... i think the next quarter still got chance of improvement... due to hedging...this quarter also not reflect the real engine due to good alum price...
Haha..they don't want to hiu me, I buy myself lor. I buy base on:
1. Next q another record earning on lme above 1900 compare to 1st q avrg of 1849. Lme will trend higher due to demand increase particularly in automotive n semicon sector, curbs production in China, also Usd index trend lower. Lme chart also suggest that it will go higher towards 2081.
2. Selling volume is decrease. Today volume may less than 20k. It's sign of price turnaround.
3. Base on my history price vs lme, it should be at 2.71 if lme above 1900. Just now I saw someone wrote 'already price in'. I also want to know how he calculate. Can share2 ar?
EX-date 02 Jun 2017 Entitlement date 06 Jun 2017 Entitlement time 05:00 PM Entitlement subject First Interim Dividend Entitlement description First interim single tier dividend of 1.5 sen per share for the financial year ending 31 December 2017 Period of interest payment to Financial Year End 31 Dec 2017 Share transfer book & register of members will be to closed from (both dates inclusive) for the purpose of determining the entitlement
maybe because of the pending corporate exercise to transfer the listing and shares to the newco? go attend the AGM and ask the BOD tho' I am afraid the directors will say that they also do not know why and then blame it on market sentiment. XD
Ask them a direct question.also the future plan.its weird for pmetal share to be acting up when the future of pmetal is good.like hidden hand at play.and pmetal keeping quiet on this
@moneykj, just do me a favor...click the 1Y button. https://www.bloomberg.com/quote/PRESS:MK Then u will notice the price has rallied from RM1.60 to about RM3.00. About 100% increase.
If I had notice the split, I would hv joined 6 months ago. That was the time Pmetal talks the talks (that's about alu price up, saving from port, bla bla bla. Those were talks!) and people believe it to trade at PE20. Now, this is the time PMetal walks the talk. If EPS is good the price will stay. If it doesn't, it's gonna fall. Although very highly unlike it doesn't walk the talk la. Hence, not much upside reward. Not much downside risk either. To me it's kinda priced in.
TP Rm2.15= USD1,700/MT + volume capacity increase TP RM2.6 =USD1,800MT + increase high value production volume TP Rm3.15=USD1,750-1,800/MT + conveyor belt +increases high value alloy production volume
Capacity of 620,000 to 760,000 ,that is an increase of 140,000 coupled with increase of aluminium price from USD 1800 to USD 1900,
now Aluminium price already climbed above USD1900/MT,how can it be "priced in"?
The >10m shares traded are probably some married deal, otherwsie if is a 10m shares sold down, the price won't be 2.58 then. Don't be overly worried, the fundamental remians the same and probably even better than previous qtr. Limited downside
Yup I agree with hunger. Not priced in. Hunger, if US leaves Paris climate deal, what is impact on companies like pmetal? Anyone have any thoughts on this also pls share?
No one using 6 month ago calculation.but up to u..if u think priced in d then u sell lor.i also dun understand what calculation u ise that priced in.u are saying even year 2020 also priced in then just sell off then
@Hunger, don't argue with those don't have confident on this counter . When jatuh buy , again jatuh buy again . When jatuh , they will talk jatuh punya stories . For me , i always trust Pmetal counter . No reason why Pmetal can't reach TP above Rm 3.00 . Now you see ALCOM . Pmetal pun boleh . I will fight to the end .
Look around u. Choo Bee, Ann Joo. Good company with great EPS only trading PE 5-7. This is trading at PE17 you know? My appetite for this counter is around PE13-15. But that's me la. Who knows, it's prospect is so darn good that it's actually worth to trade at PE30.
rj88, choo bee and ann joo are steel companies; if not because of government's safeguard measures to protect the local steel industry, and therefore to help the steel companies' margins, I don't think the local steel companies will be that upbeat. In Pmetal's case, it is an alum smelter and producer, and the company sells its products to markets abroad, so comparing the PEs of steel and alum companies are not exactly like for like.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Hunger
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Posted by Hunger > 2017-05-30 12:30 | Report Abuse
Stock999.can refer back to the data chart from feb to march.same situation as now