Koon's wife keeps buying on it when people selling it. No use when all people are losing confidence. Only wait to see the next year annual report whether they are making money or not. Sumitomo would not invest in if they are not making money so they most probably would wait again. I would like to see the quarterly report again to analyze it.They are expanding again in building a mining plant in indonesia while they are short of cash flow. Very interesting to see whether they could pass through in this crisis. Bintulu plant is just only started the operation this year so they would not announce to news because there is no record yet of profit and loss. Making money ??? Its pattern is so similar to Lion group (amsteel) keep expanding until they could not manage it. But however Press Metal is the only smelting plant in malaysia. No competitor anyway. If all the china smelting plants are close due to coming recent economy crisis, PM certainly will have good market view in future and as well as its stock. Interesting huh...
It is falling as predicted. :-) Fundamental is more important than technical analysis. hurry 1 ringgit. Most probably 50 cents also possible.. Pattern is so similar to Lion group.
stock Chart pattern Lion group and Expanding Plan (Amsteel to Megasteel). Regarding to the power to PM. It consumed most 70% of entire sarawak power. I do not know how many years contract they signed with SEB not to increase the price for electricity. PM is counted a big fish to SEB. How do they going to play with this big fish if contract is about 10 years ? 3 years contract ? If yes, profit will drop tremendously. Aluminium price still not yet rise. I still foresee the price will drop to 1500. Bintulu plant remains the key player. Making money ???. Sumitomo is targetting at this Bintulu plant. Next quarter i still counted it will fall until March 2014. See how far it goes this coming quarter.
PM signed agreement with SEB at 11 cents per Kwh and 1.5% compounded increased yearly. Similarly, SEB signed with Bakun Power producer at 6.3 cents per Kwh with 1.5% increase yearly. The agreement is inforced for 25 years. To produce a kg of aluminium from alumina requires about 15.5 Kwh. The Samalaju Plant is using latest technology and it can save 10% of the energy consumption. So the cost of utility for a kg of aluminium is 11 cents x15.5 x0.9=Rm1.54 per kg of aluminium. Samalaju plant has a capacity of 300,000,000 kg and just utility cost alone is Rm 462 million. However, in China, the world biggest producer of aluminium, the cost of electricity is RMB 0.6 or 32.4 cents Ringgit or Rm 4.52 per kg of aluminium( At Rm 3.30 to USD). PM has about 200000 Mton capacity of aluminium production lines in China and 90000 Mton in Malaysia. China is also world number one consumption of aluminium and PM is in his market. Just the utility advantage alone is already few hundred Million Ringgit and Ringgit is depreciated quite significant lately, it's also added value to PM. When Aluminium price pick up, PM is definitely is in good buy. Also, Samalaju Plant is built next to Bintulu Samalaju Port which is only 2 to 3 Km away. The port can only be ready at about 3 years from now. By the time, the transport cost for raw and finish product( inland) can be significant or at least more than Rm 100 per Mton as compared to now which has Bintulu Port is about 60 Km away.
Smelting plant at China was closed is better to PM. It was not cost efficiency any way. Is the extrusion of aluminium products of 150000 Mton is in operation in China?
China plant is making a loss after closing and it not a matter of whatsoever MegaTon. My calculation it will reach RM1.00 in next year september. Anyway this counter is not good for long term investment. Only good for scalping.
Good move to sell smelting plant at China and exchange for extrusion business. The cheap cost of aluminium raw product from Samalaju Plant can ship to China is definitely advantage.
Is that really true that PM can sell the aluminum to China market ? What I heard China has their own import protocol in order to protect their own aluminum manufacturing.
It shoot up because the quarterly report still earning. Now the mukah pm starts up the pot one by one. Full running will be on 2015 and the annual report will come out on march 2014. Somebody tried to push it up for current move but not so strong. It still can rally down. March 2014 will be the best moment to enter.
buy the warrant. u see at 5/6/2013. the mother share is rm 2.50 and the warrant reach around 0.88. but now the warrant only 0.795. the share is always be propotional one. dont care on the high exercise price and the due date for warrant still far far away.
I went to Samalaju port yesterday and Phase 1 construction is near completion. Break water and wharf contract had been awarded and construction is in progress. Conveyor belt facility is under tendering stage. The whole project expected to complete in three years plus time. By the time, the raw Alumina which is imported upto 640,000 ton per annum can directly transport to the Press plant instead of at present using Bintulu Port where located about 60 Km away. The finish product, Aluminium ingot (320000 ton) can also send out through the Port which is only 2 to 3 Km away. The saving of transportation cost can be quite significant as compared to present. If we assumed saving of Rm 40.00 per ton, the saving may reach Rm 38 million per annum.
Conrat....good money here. lt's look at LBA....similar business with Press Metal. LB Aluminium - Shares may be undervalue currently trading at 6 times historical earnings while Press Metal & Tong Herr at 11.7 & 13.71 respectively. 1HFY2014 net cumulative profit at RM11.02 million ended Oct 31, 2013 & may match its FY2013 earnings by 3QFY2014. Share price at press time on Feb 19, 2014 RM0.615 - The Edge Weekly Newspaper dd Feb 24, 2014.
PM went up above history high and continue to go further. Big players entered market and small players taken profit. From lately announcements, may be there will be new exercise in the company.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
kelly0330
2 posts
Posted by kelly0330 > 2013-08-14 23:18 | Report Abuse
any idea on this stock?? seem not moving...sad...