KESM (OP↔ , TP↑ to RM17.60 (from RM15.20 previously)) • We reiterated our optimistic view on KESM’s prospect post spoken with the group’s management recently. • With the recent 9M17 report card demonstrating a marked acceleration on CAPEX of RM81.2m as compared to RM30m for the entire FY16, and coupled with a faster-than-expected ramp up of prior quarters’ new testing equipment, we now believe our prior estimates are overly conservative. • Post increasing our CAPEX assumptions and factoring higher utilisation rate of existing machineries, we upgrade our FY17E/FY18E NP growth to 33.0%/16.4% from 26.5%/14.1% and introduce FY19 estimates. • Meanwhile, we also raised our TP to RM17.60 after rolling over our valuation base year CY18 (from FY18 previously), based on unchanged targeted PER of 15x.
KESM going to be RM16x2 in 2019, believe not? ONCE 2019-2020 MANY CARS turning hybrid or using more electronic, or even launching of automation, their demand going to turn superb in HIGH DEMAND!
Hats off to the Master Paperplane for achieving his unbelievable TP of Rm16. Your patience is really inspiring for newbies whose greatest weakness is here. I have been following your incredible journey since last year June. Exceptional!
Yea Cars Automative Notion also got but other biz pulling back. Currently I virtually have all my cash in Aemulus, riding on the superb growth in this baby company.
Hi paperplane, I would like to consult you on risk management. Given that you are an obvious long term investor who doesn't trade on your strong holdings, may I know in what circumstances you will consider selling your stakes in your main holding like KESM? For example market condition or company's prospect etc..
My trading g strategy is always cut loss first. 20% is my threshold. Let profit run. Best is it can run above 100%, sell half, all free shares.
By doing this, yOu unlikely loss big. Remember what Dr.neoh said? The simple maths. Max to loss, is 100%, but the upside is potential above 100%!
I sell stocks like KESM only when management doing funny hanky panky things. Example of few funny scenario where I read from books. Same here, same in US. First, company go into new venture they totally don't understand. Example, ytl power go into telco ventures. Burnt money only!
Second, disputes in shareholders. Book said, mind your own business. If company start having family disputes etc, try avoid such stock.
Thank you paperplane for enlightening me. So I see basically you are more into internal (company) factor than external (market) factor. You let your chosen stocks to free run but 20% cut loss is quite hurting. Are you sensitive to market index performance?
don't focus too much on external (things you cant control) who knows WAR happen tomorrow right But if got major things like 911, we should take opportunity.
Most FIN CRISIS happen not because EXTERNAL! it happens because INTERNAL
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
leekh5555
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Posted by leekh5555 > 2017-06-29 14:27 | Report Abuse
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