KUALA LUMPUR (Jan 26): RHB Retail Research said Bumi Armada Bhd is in the process of rebounding higher following the recent pullback — displaying an intraday rebound above the 21-day average line on Tuesday (Jan 25). In a trading stocks note on Wednesday, the research house said the bullish bias may re-emerge if it crosses above the 54 sen immediate resistance level in the coming sessions. “If that happens, the bulls may push the stock towards the multi-year high of 60 sen, followed by 75 sen.
RHB says if the stock rises then it will rise more, then they say if stock falls it will fall more. Really! Where do RHB get their financial analysts from!
(Bloomberg) -- The release of oil from U.S. strategic reserves was a boon for trading houses, many of which participated in the government program for the first time in years thanks to a market structure that uniquely benefits them.
Trafigura Group and Macquarie Group were among the traders awarded oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in an exchange agreement with the Department of Energy. The traders are set to take advantage of so-called backwardation, a price structure where the cost of oil for immediate delivery is higher than in the future.
The Biden Administration released oil from the strategic reserve in a bid to lower surging fuel costs that are adding to the nation’s worst bout of inflation in nearly 40 years. Gasoline has risen to the highest since 2014 as crude prices rose by 55% last year, prompting Biden to coordinate an unprecedented release of crude with other nations like India and China. The release accounts for about 6 days of supply to U.S. Gulf coast refiners.
The trading firms can sell the oil immediately to refiners for current prices -- West Texas Intermediate crude is trading in the high $80s, and are expected to pay back in some cases by Sept. 2024, currently priced about $20 a barrel less on the forward curve. They can lock in profits by buying call options that will give them the right to buy WTI in the high $60s when it’s time to return the crude, according to traders.
The Department of Energy offered to loan fuelmakers 32 million barrels, on condition they pay it back in oil by 2024. So far, 68% of the total offered was awarded, where at least half was taken by trading houses. The loan is part of a 50 million barrel release.
The trading houses set up supply agreements with refiners when the crude release was announced, according to people familiar with the matter. Some refiners likely didn’t take SPR crude directly because it would be cost prohibitive to provide the necessary letter of credit to cover the entire two-year period to return the oil.
Other trading companies and refineries chose not to participate in the exchange because it would mean spending extra for blending to meet quality specifications when they repay the oil, according to traders. Blending can be costly because the caverns historically have held a mix of local and foreign crude grades. Borrowers would also have to secure storage tanks and other logistics to eventually return the crude to the government, eating into potential profits.
Trafigura and Macquarie both declined to comment for this story.
Don't hope for WW3, we don't need and don't want to earn this kind of money. Armada is on the right path, as long as oil price above USD 60. One day we laughing all the way to the bank.
limit up konon. Oil already at 91, where is the limit up? so long as oil above 60, konon one day laughing to the bank. Kah kee kong kah kee song. If oil at 60 armada for sure back to 0.30. That's almost an Armada promise. I'm liquidating from this " Si bei " in the queue for 0.545. Waiting 4 months only 10 cents, enough is enough.
Armada's profit is stable and will get better with debt reduction on interest payment. The share price is also trading at PE 5 times. Rock solid share to hold. Don't gamble with hard earned money, be safe, cheers.
Posted by Bon888 > Jan 31, 2022 10:50 AM | Report Abuse
I'm holding Armada more than one year, not just few months. I not aiming just 30% limit up, I'm aiming multiple folds. Want to get limit up, go to chase high volume counters.
Want fast return this is not the counter. There a many swing up and down counters. One day you see this counter above 1.00 and swing up and down, please return then.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Macgyver11
2,492 posts
Posted by Macgyver11 > 2022-01-26 21:19 | Report Abuse
Seems oil 100 not a dream but reality. Good start for O&G counters