really useless counter.... think should stay away from malaysia O&G sector.... lose money / too much volume, either operator controlled or too heavy to push up
really useless counter.... think should stay away from malaysia O&G sector.... lose money / too much volume, either operator controlled or too heavy to push up
2022 result should better compared to 2021 as Armada continue to paredown his debts and high oil price which will have sustainability of his profit looking forward. Interest rise impact is minimum of offset by interest saved from continue debt payoff.
Those deals that tie up with Russia definitely is bad publicity. Especially no news is out there but mere speculation on its final outcome. High risk investment now.
bruh i was here when it broke the 47c great wall..... laosai until 37c, seriously the operator very clever show you some power to support then push price up a little BAM more selldown. recalled rumours someone saying some shareholders are russians.. paperloss sakit......
As far as I know, ARMADA's profitability is very much intact. The Lukoil deal is likely to be affected, but this sell down makes no sense. I see this as a good opportunity to average down, although this level of price fluctuation makes the stock riskier.
Armada with PAT of RM 574 million (9.75 sens EPS ) plus Net Cash Flow from Operating Activities at RM 1.36 billion in FY 21 , it is very attractive with EPS of less than 4 . It is expected to earn more given it has sold most of the money loosing OSVs in FY 21, hence why panic when its share price dropped to 36.5 sens ? It business model is not immediately affected by the rise and fall of the oil price as it is based on long term contract in it FPSO business. I added a batch today at 39.5 sens and would add more if it falls below 35 sens .
It is logical to see Armada is expected to earn even more in FY 21 and beyond given its decreasing financial costs and depreciation costs in FY 22 and beyond. Its joint venture FPSO is expected to be ready in the second half of 2022 .
Another way to see its attractiveness is that Armada is generating operating cashflow of 23 sens /share in FY 21 and we pay currently 36.5 sens to buy it !
The pattern looks very similar to To Glove and Tech-stock, the sell off happening now with Armada, very similar to sell off of glove stocks, even during the peak profit time. At that time of peak profit from Top Glove, the gradual and slow sell-off started, and many actually opined that the PE is less than 5, too attractive for Glove stocks not to keep or buy, but at the end, it never bound to higher level. I don;t know if this is the same trend. Someone can enlighten. Disclaimer: Just my own opinion for sharing, Not a buy call or sell call.
armada selloff started when it couldnt breakthrough higher than 48sen. that was with oil price hitting new high everyday. with no momentum everyone started selling then oil price falls even more selling. then rumours starts about related with russia ... more panic.... in a way same as gloves, panic sell creates even more panic sell eventually negative sentiment nobody wanna care anymore. any rebound = sell #RIP GLOVES most of the time 1day show
Armada cannot compare with Glove stocks.. Glove stock selloff cause by ASP gradually drop as too many new players into Glove market. But Armada profit will not affected on drastic drop on OIL price .. you can see Armada continue to report Profit when OIL just USD 30-40 in Year 2020 -2021
Still don't know why all the O&G counters dropped terribly past this few weeks ...armada,hibiscus, dialog, velesto , carimin, knm and many more...all dropped. Must be some market sentiment that influenced the price. Couldn't figure out why?
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
OrlandoOilSemiconIoT
4,921 posts
Posted by OrlandoOilSemiconIoT > 2022-03-14 19:29 | Report Abuse
Armada management still lost in the fog of war ??
Still no announcement by Armada means Armadas operations and oil assets are not affected by the conflict or the effects are not material