Bumi Armada likely to be involved in Harbour Energy’s Tuna FPSO in Indonesia. Suppliers of leased FPSO vessels are preparing for a tilt at Harbour Energy’s Tuna FPSO opportunity in Indonesia’s Natuna Sea. The Tuna block contains at least two discoveries, Kuda Laut and Singa Laut, in water depths of up to 120 metres. Numerous potential FPSO suppliers are expressing an interest in the Tuna project, and Harbour wouldcontinue to test the FPSO market and then select, later this year, up to three competing bidders. An award of an FPSO contract is possible by 3Q23. FPSO contactors, such as BumiArmada, BW Offshore and Saipem (all recent suppliers of floaters in Indonesia), are likely to be interested.Harbour mentioned that first production from Tuna would be possible three years after an FID at an initial rate of between 40,000 and 50,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day. The Tuna permit is located in the Natuna Sea off northern Indonesian close to Vietnam’s maritime boundary. The plan for the produced gas from the project is to supply Vietnam via a subsea pipeline. Total capital expenditure will depend on whether the FPSO is leased or purchased, with capex and opex based on a leased FPSO to be between $20 and $22 per boe.The project will have a breakeven cost of $25 per boe.(Upstream, 25thMarch’22)
Buy now when the price reached 0.84, one fold or 100% gain. Downside risk is low with solid financial performance over the last 5 quarters, healthy debts level.
With very strong cash flow and healthy profit and rising ROE every quarter plus long term contracts in the midst of rising oil price hence happy clients; got rid of money loosing OSVs hence very little chance of further surprise impairment. Armada is in good shape to pare down its debt very fast , next few quarters would be very stable. Claire is slated to be monetized and the new JV FPSO would be out soon
KUALA LUMPUR: Bumi Armada Bhd's solid execution from all floating production and storage offloading (FPSO) and disposal of offshore marine services (OMS) signal better prospects ahead for the company.
Affin Hwang Capital said Bumi Armada's primary earnings driver being the FPSO segment recorded a three-year profit compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 16 per cent underpinned by strong performances from FPSO Olombendo and Kraken.
FPSO Kraken, which used to be a stumbling block for the stock and the key reason behind the valuation deterioration in 2018, has undergone a strong turnaround under the new management team.
"On another positive note, Bumi Armada has made good progress in disposing of 23 offshore support vessels (OSVs) in 2021, with the remaining three units earmarked to be disposed of this year. The decision to wind down this loss-making legacy OMS business will further improve the stock fundamentals," Affin Hwang said today.
The firm said Bumi Armada's stronger fundamentals had been overlooked by the market, as it continued to trade at a valuation similar to when FPSO Kraken was still having issues.
It said the current depressed valuation was likely due to investors' past impression on the company, worrying over execution risks and recovery not being sustainable.
"However, all these are in the past. An environmental social governance (ESG) strategy to be announced soon is expected to further enhance the company profile," the firm said.
Affin Hwang has tweaked its earnings forecasts higher on Bumi Armada by one to four per cent after reflecting some balance sheet adjustments.
It expects a six per cent earning per share growth in 2022 with further room to upgrade its earnings forecast in the event OMS losses are smaller-than expected.
"An earlier start-up of FPSO 98/2 will also result in further earnings upgrade. We reaffirm our Buy rating on Bumi Armada with an unchanged 12-month target price of 70 sen," it added.
Mark - Bumi Armada and Yinson are two local companies that are in the FPSO business. The latter's EPS (before split) is 4x that of the former. While Yinson's PER is comfortable, Armada's PER is, well, 4. So, Armada, selling at 4x its earnings, is really, really cheap.
KUALA LUMPUR (April 13): RHB Retail Research said Bumi Armada Bhd is poised to move past the sideways consolidation phase of 43 sen as it bounced off the 21-day average line and closed at the immediate resistance level on Tuesday on strong volume.
In a trading stocks note on Wednesday (April 13), the research house said if the stock surpasses the consolidation phase in the coming sessions, the bulls are expected to drive the stock towards the 51 sen resistance, followed by 55.5 sen.
“However, the momentum may decline if it falls below the 40.5 sen support, which is below the average line,” it said
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Bon888
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Posted by Bon888 > 2022-03-29 22:23 | Report Abuse
Next round challenge for 0.70. never turn back below 0.40