At 79.94 USD per barrel, how long before we reach 80 usd.... See below .... OPEC+ has unexpectedly announced an oil production reduction of over 1 million barrels per day, limiting output from May. Saudi Arabia spearheaded the cartel's efforts by committing to a 500,000-barrel reduction of its own production. According to the Saudi Press Agency, a Ministry of Energy official stated the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia will "implement a voluntary cut of 500 thousand barrels per day from May till the end of 2023." The cut will be in coordination with other OPEC and non-OPEC participating countries in the declaration of cooperation, the state-run media outlet continued.
Arabs lowering production by 1 mill barrels a day. You guys should watch CNA. Arabs aiming to move the crude price to USD 100 plus. Right timing for Armada to move beyond 70 sen.
unexpected cut by OPEC, still going on strong for BAB. Opec cut it because China is not buying as much as expected. What is expected earlier is china will recovered by extra 1 mil bpd. This is not happening and opec reacted. Did not expect OPEC to cut so soon. Still very volatile. Good luck all !
Price jump comes after news oil producers will slash output by about 1.16 million barrels per day.
Oil prices have surged after Saudi Arabia and other OPEC+ producers announced a surprise round of output cuts, a potentially ominous sign for global inflation just days after a slowdown in US price data had boosted market optimism. Brent oil futures jumped $4.30 to $84.19 a barrel on news output would be cut by about 1.16 million barrels per day, while US crude climbed $4.17 to $79.84. The change comes before a virtual meeting of an OPEC+ ministerial panel, which includes Saudi Arabia and Russia.
Just an update, Pharos Energy had their investor meet recently, it was confirmed that the charter extension for the Armada TGT FPSO was secured until the end of 2026 (at similar rates to the current official extension to the end of 2024). The field operators are looking to get a license extension from 2026 to 2031, and thus the lease of the FPSO could be extended all the way to 2031 (at re-negotiated rates). My understanding is that the extension to 2026 was secured, and the potential extension to 2031 would be negotiated separately at some point in time in the future.
Today both Yinson and Armada are both up 3 sens on the crude oil price increase. That makes 1% profit for yinson, but 5%+ for BAB. Ah, the investments in cheap stocks. When they pay off, they do it in a BIG way. Glad I switched. Now, the same reward will be achieved when these companies increase earnigs by a couple of sens.
Hi Robert and the rest of the group. I have been holding Armada since 2015 at various amounts, seen many ups and downs ( mostly downs) over the subsequent years. The last time it was beyond 80 sens was around May 2018 and when it reached the lowest price of 11 sens in March 2020 I was out of cash to buy more nor did I have the courage then. However I did not cash out at a loss despite great fears then and I am glad it is still my flagship holdings though I have cashed out some during the recent rallies to get some "dividends" Now I am ready to see it goes beyond 80 sens and maximize the returns for holding Armada for so long. My confidence in Armada is mainly derived from the long term business model of Armada, its last 4 years strong net operating cash flows ( more important than the reported profit ) hence able paying off huge bank loans plus the current MD has proven his leadership far better than his predecessor sorting out priorities and solf off the non preforming assets to raise more cash. I ask myself many times over do I dare to dream and wait till its price go beyond PE of 10 ? Is time running out due to pending potential USA induced world financial crisis? Can Armada business model stand up to the severe financial meltdown better than many other companies if and when world faced severe economic crisis ? I have no answer for myself yet. Nevertheless thanks to those who contributed positively to this chat groups over the years ( especially Nicki Cheong is most outstanding with fact findings and analysis ) On the other hands , it is quite frustrating to see some continues to harp doomsday sayings of Armada shares over the years in this chat group. I have seen them mostly come and gone eventually but some I suspect changed their names to reappear here again from time to time. To these group of people hopefully they can see it benefits no one except some short sellers (they themselves are ?) to scare off some of us. Let us keep our measured confidence and see better days ahead of Armada. Happy harvesting if not cruising. Bye to those who choose to stay at the ports continue shouting storms ahead.
Posted by Robert MM78, with oil at 84 USD I expect BAB to reach 85 sens soon. :-)
If not mistaken, Armada more to equipment and services, and company run by angmo.
But O&G counters always involved politics factors. To get big project, you must have keyman in your board of directors or management. To include such person in your team, you must giveup part of benefits.
For now, Armada looks good, but for now long? I seldom put my interest to counters with HIGH DEBT. When your business good, you can cover all the financial cost, but how about when the period not earning money?
Borrowing and financial cost will crush you down. And you know the nature of O&G business. Today shark-fin soup, tomorrow no money for bread.
I will not hold O&G counters FOR LT, except Petronas related counters.
Very recent update from Kenanga: All three of our Bursa-listed FPSO players, i.e. YINSON, MISC (MP; TP: RM7.50), and ARMADA, have been actively participating in international job bids, with opportunities emerging from Latin America, Asia Pacific and Africa. The FPSO space is starting to see a supply squeeze – i.e., many global FPSO players are already pre-occupied with jobs developing at hand, and hence, more recent bids have started to see very few bidders, making it very much an operator market.
Bon 888, thanks for sharing your opinion on the reasonable PE we should dare to aspire for Armada. Market give Yinson's current PE 13.75 (Its last 5 years median PE is 17.56) hence Armada's current PE of 5.58 is definitely unjustifiably low. I am glad market has taken notice of Armada lately ; as said my earlier "dividend" type of selling/buying has provided some cash position to hold Armada longer for full harvesting when its PE goes beyond 10. It is a challenge resisting cashing out when one sees the potential risks of world economic crisis on the horizon. On the other hand, if China can help resolve Ukraine war it would restore world economic confidence as peace in Ukraine ( a big food producing country) would reduce inflationary pressures better than interest raisings inflationary fighting measure by various countries. This would help buy time for Armada to continue reducing its financial costs with it strong net operating cash. PE of 10 or even 15 for Armada is an achievable goal for many of us then, provided its long term FPSO contracts can also be extended whenever it is due for review. Next milestone to watch is when Armada's 766 Millon accumulated loss is fully eliminated with its next 12 months profit ; it is then in the position to give some dividend since its last dividend declared in FY 2015.
Not possible that China can resolve the Ukraine war, China is seen as a good ally of Russia, which is the aggressor. That for one is already negative for Ukraine and the rest of the free world. Who in the right mind would accept a peace treaty from an aggressor whose intention is to annexe land belonging to someone else? The only way for the war is to stop if big bro USA and Nato decide not to finance Ukraine anymore. This will also depend on the strength of the US economy going forward. Any deep world recession will be advantageous to Russia to negotiate a better term to end the war. In conclusion, what ever played out will be more of economic than military. "On the other hand, if China can help resolve Ukraine war it would restore world economic confidence as peace in Ukraine ( a big food producing country) would reduce inflationary pressures better than interest raisings inflationary fighting measure by various countries."
Bon888, I cant find your mentioned reserves of RM 814 millions in the mentioned Dec Qr report ,. ( I am interested to know ) As for accumulated losses mentioned by me, it is stated on page 6 of the Dec 2022 Qr report. (UNAUDITED CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF CHANGES IN EQUITY )
Hi Alenac, actually Ukraine is still having good relationship with China despite China is also having good relationship with Russia. So it neutral stance is an ideal position to mediate the conflict instead of USA though the later call the shot over Ukraine on the cease fires negotiation. China has not provided any war supplies to Russia so far though USA is trying to accuse China is supporting Russia to invade Ukraine. Ukraine President is asking China President Xi to visit Ukraine in his latest public statement. USA and Nato are under pressures economically to support the long drawn war in Ukraine hence there is still hope of cease fires. Economic realities are biting hard now on both Europe and USA, they may have to stop Ukraine war sooner than later hence if there is a soft landing for all parties (especially Europe). China has the capabilities to help Ukraine rebuilding process is also attractive for Zelenskyy to accept China as neutral party. I am hopeful .
Bon 888, yes I got it. The RM 814 millions are further broken down on page 6 which shows the big part of the surplus is due to the foreign exchange reserve of RM 1428 Millions. If I understand correctly SEC rules prohibit any company giving dividend until its accumulated losses are eliminated. I am not a finance guy and would love to learn more here. Anyone here can provide opinion please ? Thanks in advance.
Got the answer from Chat GPT as below : Yes, a KLSE (Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange) listed company with positive foreign exchange gain reserves but negative accumulated losses in the equity statement can still issue dividends. The decision to issue dividends ultimately rests with the company's board of directors, who will consider a variety of factors when making the decision, including the company's financial health, cash flow, and future growth prospects.
Positive foreign exchange gain reserves can be included in a company's reserves and can be used to pay dividends. Accumulated losses, on the other hand, represent negative retained earnings, which could limit the ability of the company to pay dividends. However, as mentioned earlier, the board of directors may still decide to issue dividends if they believe it is in the best interests of the company and its shareholders, even if the company has negative accumulated earnings.
It's important to note that issuing dividends when a company has negative retained earnings or accumulated losses may be viewed as a risky move by some investors, as it may suggest that the company is prioritizing short-term shareholder interests over long-term sustainability. Therefore, companies should exercise caution and consider all relevant factors before deciding to issue dividends
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Jerichomy
4,346 posts
Posted by Jerichomy > 2023-04-02 15:30 |
Post removed.Why?