Reference is made to the announcements made by Bumi Armada Berhad ("Bumi Armada") on 2 June 2023, 21 June 2023 and 20 July 2023 respectively in relation to the unplanned shutdown of the Armada Kraken FPSO ("Kraken FPSO") owned by Bumi Armada’s wholly owned subsidiary, Armada Kraken Pte Ltd.
Bumi Armada wishes to announce that an additional HSP transformer has been reconditioned from the failed HSP transformer units. Following successful installation of this second reconditioned HSP transformer on the Armada Kraken FPSO, the vessel's operational performance has now been restored to pre-shutdown levels.
With the current three (3) working HSP transformers, redundancy is expected to be restored when a fourth new HSP transformer, which is estimated to arrive in September, is successfully installed on the Armada Kraken FPSO.
I'm glad that we can now firmly put the Kraken troubles behind us, but it's worrying that there are so many "bad news":
1) No Cameia FPSO award (which was a dead-certain lock not too long ago) 2) Further delay to Armada Sterling V first oil date, and uncertain if there will be any compensation due to the Shapoorji-Bumi Armada JV 3) No Mumbai FSRU award 4) No firm award / details on the Floating Carbon Storage Injection Unit (FCSIU)
Only minor positive has been 1 year extension awarded to Armada Sterling II a few weeks ago.
Though Armada kraken problem as expected is solved, now have to face the state election results before Armada can take off. I top-up bit at 0.505 today. Wait for good election outcome this weekend. God bless!
https://www.wsj.com/articles/oil-prices-edge-down-retreating-from-overnight-gains-17318b52 9-8-2023 0804 GMT – Oil price edge higher adding to the prior day’s gains on fears of supply disruptions. Brent crude oil adds 0.2% to $86.38 a barrel while WTI gains 0.3% to $83.16 a barrel. Both varieties gained around 1% on Tuesday. Fears that Ukraine could continue to target ships heading to Russian Black Sea ports have added to oil prices while production cuts from Saudi Arabia have also kept the market supported. Monday’s rally was driven by “Saudi’s reaffirmation of commitment to output cut and headlines saying Ukraine might strike Russian facilities if the latter blocked Ukrainian ports,” Danish investment bank Saxo says in a note. (william.horner@wsj.com)
0.425, 0.500 , 0.525, 0.550,0.600 say any shit price you want, now kraken production is at pre disruption level, as I say, even if it moves, it will not go any further than 0.550. I doubt it would even come near. Investors are looking at the damage to the coming qtr results. So either you buckle up and wait for another 2 weeks or shooos ! and sell the f..k off .
NIKI and walter , can you kindly do us a favor on an intelligent calculation of the impact of kraken disruption to the next quarter results 30.06.2023, based on the latest info available and taking into account , whatever insurance, they might have covered on their assets and loss of revenue ( bearing in mind any impact will straddle across coming and next quarter ) ?
Seems selling pressure is still high, expect more sell down after Qtrlyi is out .It would not be good but how would the market absorb this short term outlook?
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
TimCoke
219 posts
Posted by TimCoke > 2023-08-09 15:58 | Report Abuse
Those who does not understand what's going on, may quit now, let the opportunity to the others ^^