first of all I am not an investor or follower of this counter. I had a glance over this counter this 3 months ago during it's previous QR announcement, at that time, I overlooked this counter for not realising there are share consolidation 1 month before the QR announcement, due to that at that time I am misjudging the counter to be overvalued (misjudging it's price at 2.5x higher value). it should have been a fairly good QR otherwise. but then price dropped from 2.6 to 2.3 since there.
today it's price back to 2.6 price level, this afternoon, by reading it's just announced QR I just realise the share consolidation taken place due to it's adjusted NTA. considering to buy some this time, but then also realising it's QR is actually not as good as the previous one at the similar price level. so I hesitated and didn't make any move
Hibiscus market cap is currently valued at 2.13 billion. It's reporting a net profit of 256 million in the first 6 months of FY24, generating a healthy operating cash flow of 560 million. At current crude oil and natural gas prices, it's looking to make at least 450 million FY24, i.e., Hibiscus is trading at 4.7 PE. Even though they are of different sectors within the oil and gas sector, just compare its earning, market cap with Hengyuan, Petron, and PetDag.
Not forgetting the RM892 million they have in the bank as unrestricted cash.. Yes this quarter was down which was expected as oil prices retreated alot however they still made RM100million + on increased production of 22 million barrels oil equivalent a day. The present quarter will also be excellent - 120mill+ I beleive. Share buy back is Progresso g although still not as agrees ive as they could/should be. The have also covered significant capital works during the quarter with the drilling of a number of wells wjichbhave increased production in Sabah and are not yet completed. Oils set to increase again on supply concerns and the outlook for Hibby is excellent..
Ignore oilprice. Focus on production and cashflow. High interest rates and lower end oil price is good for supply. Pray for a mild recession would be a bonus!
Well the share buyback announced by the company has been sporadic with no direction. When the share price shoot up, they buy it at high price 2.65 but when the price drop they stop buying ???
You think the red sea attack will stop? israel and palestine has been at war for decades..you think israel can erdicate hamas that easily..hamas is an idea..not a group of radicals ..you cant destroy an idea..unless israel kills all palestian..there will always be another hamas to fight israel ..israel is a thorn in the middle east..at least at the eyes of the arabic world..their common enemy is israel even though arab countries are not united..its because of USA..arab world just let israel be..so houthi will continue to shoot ships that sail that red sea strip cos usa and uk has alr attacked them..so now its houthi agenda is not just palestine ...they are also at war with usa and uk too with iran strongly backing them..things wont go back to normal..oil price and freight charges will remain high..unless opec and usa both of them ramp up the production non stop..but opec wont allow that..
Who's dumping hibiscus.. There's been quite a sell off of shares the last few trading sessions .. Don't quite get it as fundamentals are outstanding.. Wish Hibby would buy more shares and support longer term shareholders positions. .
Reference is made to a disclosure made on 22 November 2023 (and further updated on 20 February 2024) in respect of an exploration drilling campaign (“campaign”) conducted by our indirect wholly owned subsidiary SEA Hibiscus Sdn Bhd (“SEA-H”). The campaign comprised a drilling program to drill 3 exploration wells, namely South Furious Ungu, South Furious Ungu ST and South Furious Merah to evaluate prospective Near Field exploration locations within the boundaries of the 2011 North Sabah Enhanced Oil Recovery Production Sharing Contract (“2011 PSC”).
The campaign initially kicked off at the South Furious Ungu well location on 29 October 2023 and later moved to the South Furious Merah location on 19 January 2024 after drilling the South Furious Ungu ST well. Whilst the drilling rig is still on location, it is expected to be released as soon as work is completed at the South Furious Merah site soon.
South Furious Ungu Well and South Furious Ungu ST Well
At the Ungu Prospect location, several samples of gas and one sample of oil were recovered. Subsequent laboratory analysis of the samples confirmed these preliminary findings. All the data collected through drilling operations at the Ungu Prospect location are currently being reviewed and after a more detailed interpretation will be developed to inform the relevant parties of the proposed next steps.
South Furious Merah Well
At the Merah drill location, evaluation and sampling efforts recovered one sample of gas. This sample has been sent for further laboratory analysis. Even though a sample of gas was recovered and brought to surface, our preliminary assessment is that hydrocarbon volumes seen in this well may not achieve commercially viable economic thresholds.
Rig: Next Steps
The Petro Vietnam-III drilling rig will soon be released for further drilling activity in Peninsula Malaysia with Hibiscus Malaysia Oil and Gas Limited.
Costs
Capital costs (net of tax to SEA-H) estimated for the Ungu wells are expected to be in the range RM54 million whilst capital cost estimates for the Merah well are expected to be in the range RM27 million. At this stage, we expect to write off the capital cost estimates of RM27 million for the Merah well in the Group’s financial statements for the quarter ending 31 March 2024. The treatment of the costs of the Ungu well in the financial statements will be ascertained upon confirming the final results from the Ungu well, and will be announced at the appropriate time. All capital costs were funded from internal resources and the costs associated with the campaign have been included in the SEA-H cost recovery bank.
how will this 27 million write off effect the overall performance? nothing much has been said about it! will it reflect on the next few QR? after all Hibiscus will need to absorb the cost !
I think there's more to cost of drilling but the asset which is the oilfield bought but not producing oil or gas. The management has failed to disclose sufficient for all shareholders that are clueless to this business. There have been selling before the announcement, I supposed some in the know are already benefiting from this, whether to buy back at lower price or to sell in advance.
basically Hibiscus is building a base at 2.48-2.50...... so if you can get anything below 2.50, you will be able to make money during the CRUDE upcycle, otherwise if you are holding 2.70 better average down!
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Six6thsense
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Posted by Six6thsense > 2 months ago | Report Abuse
Sabar. Nothing goes wrong.