Many investors chasing high for AI or data center related company… actually the best of all is holding crude oil company, without which, data centers could not run and are useless. That’s why Warren Buffet bought Occidental Petroleum shares!
Warren Buffet would not increase his stake on occidental petroleum if he could not see high crude oil price translating to massive profits to the company and hence higher share price!
Assuming hibiscus able to sustain EPS 12+ per quarter, and calculated forward PE of 17 (same as occidental petroleum), hibiscus should be pricing at 8.5, not 2.75.
Looks like Bro Azoff hv sold off hibiscus and yet to buy back, now unhappy that I bought up and making hibiscus shares more expensive than his selling price… Bro Azoff, don’t worry, I gonna dispose all my hibiscus tomorrow… good luck…
It wil probably move when you least expected. Again, its useless to focus on OIL PRICE. You rather buy futures if want to earn from oil price movement. E & P companies are valued on production PROMISES & barrels SOLD, cashflow, dividend payback and sometimes share buybacks.
Hayo, i emphasize useless is that because u cannot predict oil price this year or next year. Did u predict 2020 pirce? No right. But they delivered on 2020 production figures which they plan to do. Can they produce 35,000 boe/day in 2025/26 as they plan to do? I think highly likely and share price also highly likely to follow proportionally.
Only past records and time can tell whether Hibiscus can deliver on production increase, especially when it comes to new drilling. Though, past oil price and near term oil price offer an estimate to its coming quarter earnings. With crude staying relatively high, above 70, even when market is expecting poor market demand, tells us the supply demand is tight and low oil price is not expected. Why else Occidental in the US is trading on a higher PE? To me, it partly suggests an expected higher for longer oil price and margin for oil production is good. Surely, a 35000 boe/day is always welcome, it only assure higher profits when oil is high.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
James_Bond
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Posted by James_Bond > 2024-04-24 11:37 | Report Abuse
US crude oil stockpiles are declining meaning that current supply of crude oil is very tight and not enough!