But still very hard for them to collect 90% holding 09/12/2020 7:17 PM
Yes Indeed...
This is what I have extracted..
Market Cap: 4633 M.
Number of Shares: 3648 M.
Float: 49.86%.
Manipulation Indicator: Very hard to manipulate.
Felda Global Ventures Holdings Bhd is a global agricultural and agri-commodities company based in Malaysia with operation across ten countries. Its primary business can be dividend into three main activities; plantations, downstream and sugar business. The plantation segment is involved in oil palm, rubber and timber. The downstream segment is engaged in the production of oleochemicals products soybean and canola while the sugar segment is involved in the production, marketing and sales of refined sugar products. The segment also sells soft brown sugar and molasses and owns sugar refineries.
Shareholder Value (M) Lembaga Kemajuan Tanah Persekutuan 730.29 Felda Asset Holdings Company Sdn. Bhd. 575.21 Urusharta Jamaah Sdn. Bhd. 360.31 Kumpulan Wang Persaraan (Diperbadankan) 288.04 Akaun Jaminan Pinjaman Kerajaan Persekutuan 254.0 Koperasi Permodalan Felda Malaysia Berhad 242.91 Kerajaan Negeri Pahang 231.66 Employees Provident Fund Board 156.75 Sawit Kinabalu Sdn. Bhd. 104.92 Chief Minister State of Sabah 83.74 Lembaga Tabung Angkatan Tentera 57.9 Ta Kin Yan 46.84 Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund 40.41 CIMB Securities Sdn Bhd 37.31 Vanguard Emerging Markets Stock Index Fund 37.17 Ekuiti Yakinjaya Sdn. Bhd. 26.5 Principal Dali Equity Growth Fund 26.06 Amanah Saham Bumiputera 25.4 State Street Bank & Trust Company 23.48 Yayasan Islam Terengganu 20.9 Hong Leong Penny Stockfund 20.45 Hong Leong Assurance Berhad 20.34 Ambank Islamic Berhad 18.73 Dimensional Emerging Markets Value Fund 18.69 DFA Emerging Market Core Equity 17.56
Let say Urusharta Jamaah Sdn. Bhd and Kumpulan Wang Persaraan decided to tango with Felda, they only have 33% of the shares.
This means they have to deal with 67% of the shareholders in which retailers makes up about 50% 0f the remain shares.
If the above Mabel understanding is correct, the only way forward to make it happen is to push the share price up to make it attractive for us to sell or remain listed in Bursa
Forced MO is around 90% FELDA still need to collect near to that level .... question is can they achieve that ,,its easier with YTL or tasek but can they do that ..also KWAP and TH will not buy anymore ?
Tat Securities analysts wrote in a report released today: “Considering the current high crude palm oil prices and the better age of the company’s palm oil trees, the average last year was 13.8 years, which was lower than 16.3 years when it was listed in 2012. We think that a small number of shareholders may not be keen to sell off."
Therefore, this full purchase plan may not be able to successfully purchase 90% of the shares, resulting in the failure to be delisted from Bursa Securities.
The purchase price offered by the Land Development Bureau is RM1.30, which is 4% higher than the target price given by Tat Securities.
why worry so much. Accept rm1.30 also got earn already if buy below rm1.30. As long as Felda issue letter of offer. Just accept the deal and take the money only. Those cost above rm1.30 only meed to scratch their head. correct?
how to support those holding above rm1.30. only way sapu as many as possible below rm1.30 to earn back the price different from rm1.30. If felda die die also dont increase the offer price. then how? how long need to wait? unknown? can you wait? correct?
The good thing on FGV its in recovery process unless FGV is suspended you do not need to worry...CPO Price is on record price .... if FELDA did MO 2 years back i will shit in my pants but not now .. timing
#UlarSawa how to support those holding above rm1.30. only way sapu as many as possible below rm1.30 to earn back the price different from rm1.30. If felda die die also dont increase the offer price. then how? how long need to wait? unknown? can you wait? correct? 09/12/2020 10:21 PM
A day trader takes profits (or losses) in minutes to hours
A swing trader takes profits (or losses) in hours to days
A trend trader takes profit (or losses) in weeks to months
An investor takes profit (or losses) in months to years
Each role you play has different ways to time your stop loss.
The challenge is, this is more an art than a science!..
This eventually comes to one basic question..
What motivate you to buy FGV when there are many other Plantation out there? Mabel has 10 other Plantation including the Blue Chips Plantation like KLK, Sime Darby, IOICorp, SOP, TaaNN etc..
With 54 seats in GE15, FGV will be taken care off. They cannot afford to make the World 2nd Biggest IPO a failure..
Mabel Motivation for collecting FGV..
+ FGV has both Oil Palm and Rubber Plantations which is important for our Gloves Industry. We are the World No 1 Producer of Gloves, World No 2 Producer of Palm Oil and World No 3 Producer of Rubber.
+ Compensation which can go as high as RM4.3 Bil to RM7 bil (Without mills FGV: Expects RM3.5bn-RM4.3bn compensation from Felda over LLA termination. With mills FGV is expected to get RM 6-7 Billion (estimate)..
+ Higher CPO. CPO closed at MYR 3,243.50. Next it will breach RM 3300
+ Gain from Global Rubber Shortage due to rising demand from China & Glove makers consumptions.
+ Felda now has the funding to pay FGV
+ Land injection by PLSB which will increase FGV’s landbank size to 212,170 hectares. It’s still the 2nd biggest plantation after SimeDarby.
+ Potential downstream activities that can help FGV.
+ The group currently incurs annual operating costs of about RM1.5 billion for maintenance and upkeep costs, such as replanting, fertilising, staffs’ quarters and plantation workers’ wages, mostly on LLA lands. As such, we anticipate that the group could potentially have a leaner cost structure should [the] LLA [be] terminated as Felda would probably need to assume those expenses.
+ The removal of the fixed lease payment of RM248.0 million per annum to Felda,
+ All lost making JV are being disposed. Right sizing employee WIP. Cost Saving also achieved and more to come. Dairy business and Animal Feed business. Paper pulp – WIP. Bio Gas /FMCG and cross plantation.
+ For Asian Plantation Limited Ventures — which FGV impaired some RM700 million on goodwill in 2018 — the group has seen five interested parties, and is looking forward to complete a sale by year end. Potential right back that will improve FGV Balance Sheet!.
All these should bring FGV at par with my Plantation Blue Chips. This is a real opportunity for capital gain...
Hence the current RM 1.22 has factored all the bad news. As you can see FGV is Full of Good Values
There actually no right or wrong answer. It's actually your call..
Tat Securities analysts wrote in a report released today: “Considering the current high crude palm oil prices and the better age of the company’s palm oil trees, the average last year was 13.8 years, which was lower than 16.3 years when it was listed in 2012. We think that a small number of shareholders may not be keen to sell off."
09/12/2020 10:10 PM
Enough said,...
Tonight Mabel want to sleep like a Baby just like last night..
2 factors pushing fgv price down and down....i can see NO reason why any GLC comes to support price...the lower the price the better 1.30 offer becomes (1st drop) 2) there is NO initiative for contra players to jump-in and push in a Big way( max at 1.30)
So we don't know actually felda can get the remaining 47% share for rm1. 30 right? If the others big shareholder didn't willing sell at that price. Since the crude oil palm price finnaly increase. They only can forced us sell once they obtain 90%?
If big shark keep collect more than 10% from market and hold, then they can't go private? Unless they pay them his offer? Wah rich guy game leh. Which side u guy bet? Final rm1. 30 or higher offer? Or they remain listing and compensate the fgv money haha
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
EngineeringProfit
20,696 posts
Posted by EngineeringProfit > 2020-12-09 20:20 | Report Abuse
True. That's why I always say......wolves in sheep's clothing are more devil-compliant than sha-compliant