Well, if you don't take the offer on the table then there is four possibilities:
1. Revise offer (very unlikely. Remember FELDA is using tax-payers money to pay. So, obviously government will try to avoid paying higher);
2. Extend offer (maybe);
3. Achieve the percentage and taken private;
4. Don't achieve the percentage and continue listing (if done, the price will fall because investors definitely know they're not stable. So, the price might drop below RM1).
So, depending on your investment time and risk tolerance, you can either decide to stay on or take up the offer.
dont accept the offer. it will be revised. you see they are desperate buying at RM1.30 themselve. If need to accept the offer, better we sell on the market.
Option 1 should be revise the offer price & extend the offer period. It’s just too late to encourage shareholders to accept the offer at last minute. Just left 2 1/2 trading days to react.
relax... just wait for the annoucement on acceptance rate. If > 75% then hope no more. If less than < 75%, the less the percentage, the higher the chances of up offer price.
KUALA LUMPUR, Jan 26 -- The crude palm oil (CPO) futures contract on Bursa Malaysia Derivatives closed higher today after erasing losses at the last minute on buying interest.
Singapore-based Palm Oil Analytics owner and co-founder Dr Sathia Varqa said the market was on volatile trading as slight improvement in production and higher soybean oil on Dalian Commodity Exchange was overshadowed by weak January export.
Meanwhile, palm oil trader David Ng said uptrend in the domestic market was also in sync with the performance of the Chicago soybean oil market during Asian hours.
“We locate support at RM3,180 and resistance at RM3,350,” he told Bernama.
At the close, the CPO futures contract for February 2021 gained RM56 to RM3,606 per tonne, March 2021 went up RM28 to RM3,424 per tonne, April 2021 added RM24 to RM3,266 per tonne, and May 2021 was RM18 higher at RM3,170 per tonne.
Total volume surged to 74,329 lots from 56,453 lots on Monday, while open interest widened to 245,155 contracts from 229,292 contracts previously.
The physical CPO price for February South rose RM30 to RM3,650 per tonne.
Posted by drago_7 > Jan 27, 2021 9:20 AM | Report Abuse Don't achieve the percentage and continue listing (if done, the price will fall because investors definitely know they're not stable. So, the price might drop below RM1).
drago, its obvious Felda is far from achieving the 90% yet they continue buying from the open market. Why buy when it will drop below RM1 when they wont get the 90% and lose hundred of millions if not a billion plus?
Dont forget, any revision of price will only benefit the shares that have not been acquired by Felda. Its cheaper to top up than to fail and as you say drop to below RM1.
I suspect they will extend the period to collect from weak holders and revise the offer for the remaining shares.
A few hundred million is peanuts to the govt as its not their money they are spending.
This is what Mabel has gathered as of 28th January 2021 with two more trading days to go.
On Dec 8, 2020, Felda, which already owned 21.24% equity interest in FGV, increased its stake in the company to 35.12% and proposed to take FGV private at RM1.30 a share. The additional 13.88% stake was bought from KWAP (6.1%) and Urusharta Jamaah Sdn Bhd (7.78%).
On Jan 14, Felda bought 9.97 million more shares in FGV Holdings Bhd from the open market for RM12.96 mil at RM1.30 apiece. This raised the number of FGV shares acquired by Felda so far this week to 75.97 million shares.
On Jan 19, the agency bought 66 million shares via the open market at RM1.30 each for a total of RM85.8 mil. On Jan 23, Felda announced in two filings that it had purchased a total of 27.15 million FGV shares from the open market for RM1.29 each, or RM35.02 mil.
From Jan 25th to 27, 33,186,400 shares was purchased on the open market (Assuming that all these share are bought by Felda)
By Jan 28, this is the current standing of FGV Shareholding.
Felda PAC Team = 2 2,074,400,980 (56.86%) Private Investors Team = 1,541,121,420 shares (42.25%)
YES, it's obvious Felda is far from achieving the 90% yet they continue buying from the open market. Why buy when it will drop below RM1 when they wont get the 90% and lose hundred of millions if not a billion plus? Obviously, they know the price can go much higher!
Don't forget, any revision of price will only benefit the shares that have not been acquired by Felda.
I also suspect they will extend the period to collect from weak holders and revise the offer for the remaining shares. A few hundred million is peanuts to the govt as its not their money they are spending. It's the tax payer's money.
I am motivated what is happening to Gamestop shares in the US. How the little guys fight back against the elite wallstreet. Hope FGV small investors can take a lesson from this debacle. DO NOT SELL OUR FGV SHARES!
Don't forget, any revision of price will only benefit the shares that have not been acquired by Felda.
this is wrong. felda will have to topup the difference if there's any revision of offer to those who have already accepted the offer, in the same takeover event.
Post a Comment
People who like this
New Topic
You should check in on some of those fields below.
Title
Category
Comment
Confirmation
Click Confirm to delete this Forum Thread and all the associated comments.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
strattegist
23,459 posts
Posted by strattegist > 2021-01-25 18:45 | Report Abuse
relax