The Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) of the OPEC+ group recommended that no changes be made to the current oil production quotas during a meeting on Wednesday, as widely expected.
The members of the JMMC “reaffirmed their commitment to the DoC which extends to the end of 2023 as agreed in the 33rd OPEC and Non-OPEC Ministerial Meeting (ONOMM) on 5th of October 2022,” OPEC said in a brief statement after the meeting.
The panel is meeting next on April 3, 2023.
The no-change in policy was widely expected by the market, considering the uncertainties in both supply and demand in the coming months. Analysts expected OPEC+ to adopt a wait-and-see approach amid significant uncertainties going forward.
Earlier this week, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman and Russian President Vladimir Putin discussed OPEC+ cooperation on a phone call, according to various sources, with the focus on maintaining the stability of oil prices ahead of the virtual OPEC+ panel meeting today. Russian oil production has held up in spite of new Western sanctions and price caps, and three OPEC+ delegates have told Reuters that the Wednesday meeting was likely to conclude without any output policy changes.
In view of the uncertainties about Chinese demand and Russian supply in February and March, OPEC+ was widely expected to keep the current production levels, which reduced target output by 2 million barrels per day (bpd) from November onwards. Yet, the actual cut is estimated to have been around 1 million bpd.
In December, OPEC-13’s average December production rose by 91,000 bpd, according to the MOMR, to 28.971 million bpd, with nearly all of the gains coming from Nigeria. But December’s OPEC-10 production – the members bound by the OPEC+ pact – was still substantially below the production quota, with the group underproducing by more than 800,000 barrels per day.
Going forward, OPEC, OPEC+, and market participants will look to China and Russia for the most immediate clues on global demand and supply.
I got strong feeling that brent going rebound back and hit usd 100+ soon. Now seems retreat back but it won't stay there for long...trust. velesto is good bargain and worth to hold at this valuable price. Ayoh! Velestorian.
OTHERS AWARD OF CONTRACT FOR THE PROVISION OF JACK-UP DRILLING RIG FOR ROC OIL (SARtAWAK) SDN BHD VELESTO ENERGY BERHAD
Type Announcement Subject OTHERS Description AWARD OF CONTRACT FOR THE PROVISION OF JACK-UP DRILLING RIG FOR ROC OIL (SARAWAK) SDN BHD 1. INTRODUCTION
The Board of Directors of Velesto Energy Berhad ("VEB") is pleased to announce that Velesto Drilling Sdn. Bhd. (“VED”), a wholly-owned subsidiary of Velesto Malaysian Ventures Sdn. Bhd. (“VMV”), which in turn is a wholly-owned subsidiary of VEB, has received a Letter of Award from Roc Oil (Sarawak) Sdn Bhd ("ROC Oil") for the Provision of Jack-Up Drilling Rig services (“Contract”), the approval of which was received today.
The Contract is for VEB’s jack-up rig, namely NAGA 2, with an estimated contract value of USD14 million.
Details of the Contract is summarised below:
2. DETAILS
The Contract is to drill three (3) firm wells with an estimated commencement date between 25 January 2023 to 25 February 2023.
VEB Group will assign its NAGA 2 for this Contract. NAGA 2 is a premium independent-leg cantilever jack-up rig with drilling depth capability of 30,000 feet and has a rated operating water depth of 350 feet.
3. INFORMATION ON PARTIES
3.1 Information on VED
VED was incorporated in Malaysia under the Companies Act, 1965 on 29 July 2003 and is deemed to be registered under the Companies Act 2016. VED is principally involved in the offshore drilling business and operations and other engineering services for oil and gas exploration, development and production in Malaysia and overseas.
3.2 Information on ROC Oil
ROC Oil is a company incorporated in Malaysia on 18 December 2013 and focuses on the undertaking of upstream oil and gas activities.
Yes more contracts coming soon. Charter rate also increased. No sign of oil price retreating back as opec team maintains it production...kali lah. 2012 & 2013 glory in making...
I just mentioned about daily charter rate...Star paper out already
As such, it said the global average JU daily charter rate (DCR) of just US$67,000 (RM284,750) per day in the 2020 trough has risen to as high as US$100,000 to US$130,000 (RM425,000 to RM552,500) per day for contracts signed in late 2022 and early 2023.
It noted that the aggregate supply of new JUs is likely to be very modest, and an expected equivalent of only 12 new JUs to be delivered in 2023, representing a fleet growth of just 5.5% year-on-year (y-o-y) in 2023, against global demand growth of 11% y-o-y.
Based on these strong fundamentals, among others, the research house expects Velesto’s profits to rise dramatically from financial year 2023 (FY23).
“From FY24 onwards, Velesto will no longer be bound by Petroliam Nasional Bhd’s (PETRONAS) umbrella contract.
“We have penciled in US$110,000 (RM467,500) per day DCR for FY24-FY25 forecast, US$100,000 (RM425,000) per day for FY26-FY28, moderating to US$80,000 (RM340,000) per day from FY29 onwards,” it said.
STARPICKS Festive cheer and double celebration at LaLaport BBCC Consequently, it expects Velesto’s core earnings to rise from a RM15mil net loss in FY22 to RM190mil net profit in FY23, to between RM273mil and RM327mil for five years between FY24 and FY28, before moderating to between RM123mil and RM132mil in FY29-FY32.
“Every US$10,000 (RM42,500) per day increase in our new-contract DCR assumptions will increase Velesto’s FY23 forecast core net profit by 17% and our discounted cash flow (DCF)-based target price by 20%,” it said.
In 2022, velesto received contract from Hess carigali..that means usd120,000 rate for rigs hiring already countered in and will be reflect in up coming velesto qtr..
You have to greedy so that you can made quick money. When peoples fear you buy and peoples start to buy you have to run. But the moneys is your. You decide.
you all can scroll back to see my BUY call since last year, I have been keep acquiring the shares when the share price is getting lower. At that time, dayrate is $80000, the share price is RM 0.3. now is $150K, when do you think the share price would be landed? you know the answer
Volume has been building after CNY, today just Up 40% more. I think alot fence sitters just jump in bcos of News. I bet today Vol. are generated by Ikan Bilis.....Big boys and Bankers may come in tomolo but Rich People DonT buy expensive Shares! Tomolo could be Big Vol but price might be stuck---Unless some crazy Syndicate decided to ramp-up Vol and cash out next week and another syndicate and another syndicate taking turn to have Free Lunch!!!!
People with Patience will Win All. Bankers give Tp are all Long term (2yrs). They will up-grade every Qr. They cannot give TP 1.50 or 2.00 Without Earnings Report Or else Bursa will Call them for Breakfast Coffee (my remisier say this everyday bcos his Big Boss drink Black Coffee with Bursa every now and then)
Velesto Energy Bhd* announced that its wholly-owned subsidiary Velesto Malaysian Ventures Sdn Bhd had received a Letter of Award from ROC Oil (Sarawak) Sdn Bhd for the provision of jack-up drilling rig services estimated at US$14 million (RM59.29 million).
Yesterday, Velesto announced that it has secured a USD14m contract from Roc Oil (Sarawak) Sdn Bhd for the provision of jack-up drilling rig services. The contract entails drilling 3 wells – specifically procured for Velesto’s Naga 2 rig. We gather that the job is expected to commence in Feb 2023 for an estimated duration of about 4 months (or 120 days). We are positive on the job win as it will keep Velesto’s Naga 2 rig occupied until mid-June 2023 which will help boost the group’s overall blended rig utilisation rate while riding on the increasing DCRs. With this job win, we highlight that all of Velesto’s rigs are now utilised. We maintain our BUY recommendation with a higher TP of RM0.29/share – pegged to 14x of FY24f profits.
NEWSBREAK Yesterday, Velesto announced that it has secured a USD14m contract from Roc Oil (Sarawak) Sdn Bhd for the provision of jack-up drilling rig services. The contract entails drilling 3 wells – specifically procured for Velesto’s Naga 2 rig. We gather that the job is expected to commence in Feb 2023 for an estimated duration of about 4 months (or 120 days).
HLIB’s VIEW Positive. We are positive on the job win as it will keep Velesto’s Naga 2 rig occupied until mid-June 2023 which will help boost the group’s overall blended rig utilisation rate while riding on the increasing DCRs. With this job win, we highlight that all of Velesto’s rigs are now utilised.
Daily Charter Rates (DCR). We estimate the DCR for the job to range from USD95- 100k.
Status of rigs. All of Velesto’s rigs are currently chartered, as follows:
Naga 2 – Contracted Until 2Q2023.
Naga 3 – Contracted Until 1Q2023.
Naga 4 – contracted until 1Q2023, will undergo upgrade works after – till 2Q2023.
Naga 5 – Contracted Until Mid-2024 With This Job Win.
Naga 6 – Contracted Until 1Q2023 for Petronas Carigali.
Naga 8 – Contracted Until 1Q2024 for Carigali-Hess Operating Company.
4Q22 earnings preview. From the rig schedule mentioned above, we remain optimistic and believe that Velesto be profitable in 4Q22, in which results are slated for release on 27 Feb. We should also expect the group to be profitable in FY23 as all of its rigs are chartered until at least the end of the year.
Forecast. No changes to FY22f estimates. However, post tweaks, channel checks and discussion with the group, we raise our FY23-24f earnings forecasts by 7x and 5x respectively to account for significantly higher DCRs (USD100-110k/day) and blended utilisation rates (70-75%).
Maintain BUY; TP of RM0.29. We maintain our BUY recommendation with a higher TP of RM0.29 (from RM0.17 previously), based on 14x FY24f profits, which is in-line with the multiple ascribed to all of the OGSE providers in the sector.
Source: Hong Leong Investment Bank Research - 3 Feb 2023
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
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