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(Icon) Hevea Board - All Eyes On Coming Quarter

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Publish date: Fri, 26 Dec 2014, 08:24 PM
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I follow the smell of money.

 

 

 

 

 

1. Background Information

 

Hevea is principally involved in the manufacturing of particle boards and Ready To Assemble ("RTA") furnitures by using rubber wood as raw materials.

 

The company has market cap of RM159 mil (99.4 mil shares and latest closing price of RM1.60).

 

Based on historical profit of RM22.3 mil, PER is 7.1 times.

 

Based on net assets of RM262 mil, PBR is 0.6 times.

 

With RM35 mil cash and RM87.7 mil borrowings, net gearing is 0.2 times.

 

The company paid dividend of 2 sen per share last year. Dividend yield is 1.25%.

 

 

 

2. Historical Profitability

 

The following table sets out the group's P&L for FY2013 and 9 months ended 30 September 2014. 

 

                  9 months
  Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY2013 Q1 Q2 Q3 FY2014
                   
Revenue 103.6 94.5 86.3 105.1 389.5 104.7 106.9 95.7 307.3
> Particleboards 38.5 42.3 45.1 45.3 171.2 37.2 46.4 46.4 130.0
> RTA products 58.9 47.3 35.9 54.3 196.4 62.6 55.2 44.5 162.3
> others 6.1 5.0 5.3 5.6 22.0 4.9 5.3 4.7 14.9
                   
Gross profit 10.5 12.4 13.9 19.9 56.7 14.4 15.0 13.8 43.2
                   
others (0.0) (0.7) (1.0) (0.4) (2.1) 0.8 1.0 (0.5) 1.3
operating exp (5.2) (5.4) (5.4) (8.1) (24.1) (6.0) (6.3) (6.4) (18.7)
forex gain / (loss) (0.9) (1.5) (2.2) (0.2) (4.9) 0.2 1.0 (1.1) 0.1
                   
Finance cost (1.82) (1.70) (1.50) (1.55) (6.6) (1.37) (0.73) (0.62) (2.7)
                   
PBT 3.5 4.6 6.1 9.8 23.9 7.8 9.0 6.3 23.1
> Particleboards (0.2) (0.5) 2.0 3.1 4.4 2.1 4.4 4.1 10.6
> RTA products 3.3 4.9 3.9 6.6 18.6 5.5 4.3 2.0 11.8
> others 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.9 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.7
                   
PBT margin (%) 3.3 4.8 7.0 9.3 6.1 7.5 8.4 6.6 7.5
> Particleboards (0.4) (1.2) 4.3 6.8 2.5 5.5 9.5 8.9 8.1
> RTA products 5.5 10.3 10.8 12.2 9.5 8.7 7.8 4.4 7.2
> others 5.7 4.1 4.3 2.3 4.1 5.0 5.8 3.9 4.9
                   
Tax (0.4) (0.5) (0.5) (0.2) (1.6) (0.5) (0.5) (0.5) (1.5)
Net profit 3.1 4.1 5.5 9.6 22.3 7.3 8.5 5.8 21.6
                   
USD : RM 3.081 3.070 3.240 3.207 3.150 3.297 3.234 3.193 3.241
Gross margin (%) 10.1 13.1 16.1 18.9 14.6 13.8 14.0 14.4 14.0
                   
effective interest rate (%) 6.04 5.56 5.05 5.09 5.44 5.57 3.01 2.85 3.81

 

 

Some key observations :-

 

(a) Particle boards and RTA furniture contributed 50% : 50% of revenue respectively.

 

(b) With the bulk of its products exported, the group's profitability is sensitive to exchange rate movement. For example : earnings jumped in Q3 2013 when US Dollars strengthened against RM. 

 

(c) Interest payment on downward trend. For example : interest charges in Q1 2013 was RM1.82 mil. However, in Q3 2014, interest charges was only RM0.62 million, a reduction of 66%. 

The reduction of interest charges was due to both reduction in borrowings (in Q1 2013, loans outstanding was RM120.5 mil. In Q3 2014, loans outstanding was RM87.4 mil) as well as lower effective interest rates (6.04% in Q1 2013 dropped to 2.85% in Q3 2014. The lower rate was probably due to better credit rating pursuant to decline in gearing)

 

(d) In FY2013, RTA products reported PBT of RM18.6 mil vs Partcle Board's RM4.4 mil. However, in FY2014, follwoing revamp of product line (by moving upscale), Particle Boards had overtaken RTA products to be a more important profit contributor. 

The coming quarter would be interesting to see how RTA products division will fare.

 

 

 

3. Continuously Degearing

 

The group used to be highly geared. However, over the past few years, the group has been consistently paring down its debts.

 

As at 31 December 2013, the group has loans of RM121 mil. However, by September 2014, loans has dropped to RM87 mil, a reduction of closed to RM32 mil.

 

Currently, the group's net gearing is only 0.2 times. As far as balance sheet is concerned, the group is already out of the wood (compared to few years ago).

 

                  9 months
  Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY2013 Q1 Q2 Q3 FY2014
                   
cash 12.8 15.9 18.9 32.3 32.3 30.4 37.3 35.0 35.0
loans 120.5 122.3 118.8 121.8 121.8 98.5 96.8 87.4 87.4
S funds 211.7 215.8 221.3 230.9 230.9 238.0 251.8 261.8 261.8
Net gearing (times) 0.51 0.49 0.45 0.39 0.39 0.29 0.24 0.20 0.20
                   
Net loan repayment 17.8 0 6.8 0.9 24.2 24.0 1.5 6.4 31.8
                   
Capex 1.1 0.5 0.7 7.6 9.9 0.0 0.8 6.0 6.3

 

 

 

4. Concluding Remarks

 

The group exports its products to China, Japan and several other countries.

 

This coming quarter will be interesting. Let's see how the group will perform.

 

I have been deliberately vague in my recommendation. Please go through the figures in the P&L table to arrive at your own conclusion.

 

Have a nice evening.

 

 

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3 people like this. Showing 3 of 3 comments

saltedfish

Strong buy

2014-12-26 22:34

KBYap

Posted by KBYap > Dec 28, 2014 08:50 AM | Report Abuse X


Furniture makers face labour and rubberwood shortage

By CHONG CHEE SEONG MUAR
johor@nstp.com.my

MALAYSIAN furniture manufacturers are facing two acute problems -- shortage of labour and rubberwood -- resulting in a 4.6 per cent drop in the country's total export last year.
Johor Furniture Association president Bo Eng Chee said the country's export from January to November in 2010 was RM7.3 billion as compared with RM6.9 billion in the same period of last year.

He said the drop affected the export of wooden, metal and plastic furniture.

Bo, who is also the Muar Furniture Association (MFA) president, said the MFA and the Malaysian Timber Industry Board would jointly submit a memorandum to the Plantation Industries and Commodities Ministry next month to address the two problems.

He said the shortage of rubberwood in the country had resulted in the price of the wood going up from RM1,400 to RM1,800 per metric tonne since last October.

He called on the government to stop the export of rubberwood and ensure a sufficient supply for the domestic market.

On the shortage of foreign labour, Bo said the implementation of the amnesty programme (codenamed 6P) for legal and illegal foreign workers was the main cause.

He said the shortage compelled furniture manufacturers to reject foreign orders for fear of it affecting their production and delivery of export goods.

Bo said it had a significant impact on export, adding that the furniture industry is one of Muar's economic lifelines and accounted for about 45 per cent of national furniture export.

He said a good opportunity had come to Malaysia in recent years when China's furniture industry lost its competitive edge and manufactuers in Thailand were affected by floods.

"Unfortunately, we are unable to capitalise on it because of the lack of workers and rubberwood."

Bo said the government should formulate a plan to ensure a sustainable supply of foreign workers and rubberwood to avoid interruptions in plant operations which have adverse effects on productivity.

He said with the introduction of the 6P programme, the industry was facing a 30 to 50 per cent drop in foreign labour, forcing small factories to close down.

The 6P programme comprises registration, legalisation, amnesty, supervision, enforcement and deportation of foreign workers.

Bo called on the government to monitor the programme closely to prevent job-hopping of legalised foreign workers.


The problems only can get more acute.




Posted by KBYap > Dec 28, 2014 08:54 AM | Report Abuse X

Have you asked yourself how sales have conveniently gone up in 2013 just right for the bull market.

Have you asked yourself how is this possible when US housing is in the slump and Euro unemployment rates are so high?

Mind you they are not selling high end furniture to the very very rich who are not affected by the economic slow downs.



Posted by KBYap > Dec 28, 2014 08:57 AM | Report Abuse X

With China slowing down and its property market crashing..... I keep it vague too, you go and do your own thinking.

2014-12-28 14:10

KBYap

The problems only can get more acute.

Have you seen rubber plantations around nowadays??? Of course not as all have been replanted with oil plam.

Local furniture business is a sunset industry as their size is limited by the limited supply of rubberwood in Malaysia.

2014-12-28 16:03

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