YTL Power International’s 9MFY14 core earnings of MYR852.0m came within expectations as weakness in its PowerSeraya unit was offset by improved showing from Wessex Water operations. Maintain NEUTRAL, with our FV tweaked to MYR1.71 (from MYR1.86) as we update our WACC assumptions amid the current rising interest rate environment.
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Within expectations. YTL Power International’s (YTL Power) 9MFY14revenue closed at MYR11.1bn (-7.4% y-o-y), as growth in most of its divisions was offset by its PowerSeraya unit, which saw a 16.5% decline in topline due to continued headwinds amid stiffening price competition in Singapore’s power industry. Core earnings, however, reversed the negative trend to surge 17.2% y-o-y to MYR850.2m, owing to improved contributions from its Wessex Water operations in the UK (+16.7% y-o-y) as well as narrower losses from its WiMAX division (-38.7% y-o-y). Earnings were largely in line with consensus and our expectations, at 77.7% and 78.2% of full-year estimates respectively. On a quarterly basis, 3QFY14 revenue was at MYR3.3bn (-12.5% q-o-q; -9.6% y-o-y) while core net profit closed at MYR267.9m (-13.2% q-o-q; +14.2% y-o-y).The company did not declare any dividend for the quarter, following the completion of its 1-for-20 treasury share distribution in March.
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Opportunities ahead. While some selling pressure was witnessed following the award of Project 3B to one of its competitors, we believe that all is not lost as we expect the group to participate in the upcoming tenders for Projects 4A and 4B, comprising 1,000megawatt (MW) each.
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Forecasts and risks. No major changes to our core assumptions at this juncture. Our FY14F/FY15F EPS forecasts are, however, revised up by a marginal 2.4%/3.7% as we update our model for housekeeping purpose. Key risks include prolonged losses for its WiMAX division and further profitability headwinds for its PowerSeraya operations.
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Maintain NEUTRAL. Taking into account the current rising interest rate environment, we bump up our WACC assumptions to 7.7-10.7% (from 6.5-10.0%). With that, our FV now stands at MYR1.71 (from MYR1.86). Given limited upside, we are maintaining our NEUTRAL call.
Source: RHB