星洲日報／投資致富‧企業故事
对冲基金之王：美国今明年衰退概率25%
即时财经
(纽约6日彭博电)“对冲基金之王”达里欧(Ray Dalio)表示，美国经济在今年和2020年陷入衰退的概率约为25%，中行官员化解局面的能力有限。
创办全球最大对冲基金－－桥水基金的达里欧周四接受采访时表示，联储局、欧洲中行和日本银行“不得不面对这样一个现实，即当下一轮衰退来临时手中将不再有以前那样的能力来扭转局面”。
他建议联储局减慢降息步伐，考虑以25基点幅度调整，也不要设定时间区间。
达里欧是桥水联合基金的联席首席投资员。他表示，当今一系列因素都需要在衡量衰退可能性的时候考虑在内，包括中行的效率、贫富差距、美国大选、中国日益成长的影响力等。
联储会在7月31日宣布10多年来的首次降息，预计9月17至18日的政策会议上会再次降息25基点。联储局主席鲍威尔将7月的这次降息称之为“周期中部的调整”，而非一系列长期降息的开始。
文章来源 ： 星洲日报 2019-09-06
https://www.sinchew.com.my/content/content_2111850.html
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