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SOS OCK - What can we learn from another Super Investor, Mr Brahmal?

sosfinance
Publish date: Fri, 07 Oct 2016, 07:18 PM
VALUATION DOES NOT DETERMINE THE PRICE, IT'S JUST A TOOL TO ESTIMATE A VALUE OF A BIZ

www.sosfinancialplanning.blogspot.my

"How do you save RM50,000? - I shared with a friend on how to do it. I got a term life for RM280 p.a covering RM100k until 70 years old. I cancelled my wholelife insurance of RM2,800 p.a. for the same coverage up to 100 years old. Save RM2500 p.a x 20 years = RM50,000. (PM0122037325)

.....IS THIS ARTICLE FAKE OR FACT?? ANYONE CAN CONFIRM?

1.  WHO IS HE?

Whatever the case, both fund and personal investor are constantly the talk of town because of one simple fact: their investments in public equities have resulted in significant share price appreciations.

 

Businessman Brahmal Vasudevan is believed to have recently taken up a stake of up to 3% in telecommunication services company OCK Group Bhd, said a source close to the matter, adding that he may consider upping his stake to a substantial one.

“Brahmal has recently taken up around 2% to 3% of OCK’s shareholdings through one of his companies, and may be looking at taking up a substantial stake in the company somewhere this year, due to OCK’s good financial record and its regional expansion activities,” the source told The Edge Financial Daily.

Brahmal is best known as the founder and chief executive officer of Creador II LLC, a private equity firm, which according to its website, partners with passionate entrepreneurs to grow world-class businesses in South and Southeast Asia.

 
 
2.  WHY SUDDENLY WE TALK ABOUT HIM?
 
(The Edge Financial Daily on 7 October 2016)
 

KUALA LUMPUR: Businessman Brahmal Vasudevan is believed to have recently taken up a stake of up to 3% in telecommunication services company OCK Group Bhd, said a source close to the matter, adding that he may consider upping his stake to a substantial one.

“Brahmal has recently taken up around 2% to 3% of OCK’s shareholdings through one of his companies, and may be looking at taking up a substantial stake in the company somewhere this year, due to OCK’s good financial record and its regional expansion activities,” the source told The Edge Financial Daily.

Brahmal is best known as the founder and chief executive officer of Creador II LLC, a private equity firm, which according to its website, partners with passionate entrepreneurs to grow world-class businesses in South and Southeast Asia.

[Brahmal cut his investment teeth after leaving Ananda’s group in 1999 to head to India, where he teamed up with a classmate from Harvard to co-manage a private equity fund called ChrysCapital. In India, the team achieved huge success, hitting annual returns of 43% for 11 years, capitalising on India opening up its economy and the flourishing of outsourcing services-driven companies tailored largely to the US market.

With such accolades to his name, Brahmal decided to venture back home to set up Creador and raise his first fund.] (source: The Star 27 November 2015)

 

3.  IS HE REALLY THAT GOOD?

If you invest in ChrysCapital, he will turn your RM1m into RM51m in 11 years time

4.  WHAT IS HIS SECRET?

Creador invests in sectors that offer high growth and in companies that lead in those segments. Companies are assessed on management strength and track record as well as sustainability of earnings, among others.

“We don’t like cyclical sectors, that is why we avoid sectors like commodities,” says Brahmal.  (There are good cyclical stocks as well, perhaps the timeline for investment is longer, such as Asiatic (now Genting Plantation), and some well managed plantation companies, if you don't understand the biz model, it is not advisable to participate.)

Creador examines between 300 and 400 companies a year and has a strong focus on Malaysia, Indonesia, Singapore and Indonesia.

5.  DOES HE OR CREADOR HOLD ANY LEMONS?

Based on my limited research, every super investor has his bad days.  As long as the he has more summer days than winter, that is fine.

I am sure we want to know what lemon did he carry, actually, is still in progress.  Creador is involved in turnaround of Masterskill Education Group Berhad.  Today is about 22 sen.  Of course, the turnaround is still on going.  Lets hope these guys can do it.

6. LESSON LEARNED

a.  Turnaround stories is nice to hear, but very tough to do.  

b. Some of these companies need to be turned around, Maybulk, Armada, SILK, AAX and so many more.  You may have "great manager", if the industry is not on your side, it is very difficult to turn around.

c.  Don't beat yourself up if you hold some lemons.  Everybody does.  My fund manager was caught with AAX IPO at RM1.20, some fund manager are caught with Maybulk, some with Chinese companies, one fella stuck with Parkson, there are so many.  It will be terribly boring to tell your kids that you only have winnings.  Just learn from it and move on.

 

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Be the first to like this. Showing 12 of 12 comments

Flintstones

The name of brahmal reminds me of Masterskill. Look where is Masterskill now

2016-10-07 20:17

sosfinance

Let us not focus on just the black dot on a whole white piece of paper. The black dot, may, help you save millions in the future is we take it as a lesson learned.

Btw, do your own research, this is just an example how Creado does it. If really unsure, buy 100 units, in order to the learn the lesson, it is definitely value for money. Even the lemons, you can buy 100 unit, see if you can learn something.

2016-10-07 21:10

sherlock

recent rally of steel price are bad news to OCK,cos about 30-40% of construction cost(to build tower) used for purchase steel,short term cost might rise significantly,better be careful,even long-term prospect remain positive.

2016-10-07 21:51

funda

Sherlock, global rebar price adi dropping from 2600 to 2300 this few months.

2016-10-07 22:05

Flintstones

Fair enough

2016-10-07 22:43

Gen2

funda, steel tower were constructed mainly by steel I-beams not rebar.

2016-10-07 23:00

sosfinance

Let the management worry about the steel price. Most businesses are subjected to the price volatility or shortages of raw materials, labour and authorities red tapes.

This may be good opportunity to pick up OCK or the warrants at price similar to this PE before the share price move closer to the intrinsic value. Of course, do your due diligence first.

2016-10-08 08:59

sosfinance

OCK has met Creador's criterion and so far invested about RM26 million for 3% (about 80sen per share). Do not follow blindly, does OCK met your own criterion? It might not, if you use conventional measurement of ROE, PE, NTA or DY. This is because, the conventional measurements are used on the past record, not the FUTURE deals.

OCK has raised up to RM700m last 24 months, from shareholders, placees, bankers, private equity, JV partners, and other stakeholders. And the return in this investments will take time to realise, starting mainly from FY2017. A more appropriate estimates is to use DCF method, as they have a concessionaire of more than 10 years. So, you can make reference to analyst report as to how much can these deals generate for OCK.

Don't follow blindly. Do your own diligence, as I always said, investment decision should always be INDEPENDENT. Warren Buffett did say "Diversification is protection against ignorance"

2016-10-10 00:46

paperplane2016

Ock longterm

2016-10-15 02:25

alvinchiam

Dear.. no such thing who is super.. super also can... die...u know...? ha ha.. use ur own judgement do ur homework.. nobody born to be smart.. Studied...! ur are the best.. use ur own instinct.. how..??? ha ha.. lets do it...

2016-10-15 05:06

sosfinance

For those who is hurry to make profit (3-6 months), he or she will likely be disappointed with OCK. The earnings of Myanmar and Vietnam deals is only coming in 2Q17. We can only take a glimpse in Aug 17. Be patient. The returns is worth the wait. UOB said in a sunny day, it is value about RM1.30. I think it should be better than that as the tenancy growth will surprise most.

2016-10-15 07:27

comebackisreal

Y Ock? Both technical and fundamental not attractive.. I am trapped in this stock. The stock price always pressed down intraday. All candle stick with top long long shadow

2016-11-02 04:43

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