THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN

TOP REASONS WHY YOU MUST SELL JAKS NOW!!! (By Calvin Tan Research)

calvintaneng
Publish date: Mon, 02 Apr 2018, 10:47 PM
calvintaneng
0 1,793
Hi Guys,

I have An Investment Approach I which I would like to all.

Dear Friends of i3 Forum,

 

On December 16th 2014 I called for a buy on Jaks at 40 sen

 

See

 

 Posted by calvintaneng > Dec 16, 2014 03:00 PM Report Abuse X

Whoa! 

Top boss bought at 44 cents and above, millions of them. Anything below 40 cents is a bargain! 

So don't wait or else Jaks jump Jump JUMP Up And Away!

 

As of now Jaks is Rm1.48. Up more than Rm1.00 or or up 270% in 4 years. 

NOW CALVIN TELLS YOU WHY YOU MUST SELL JAKS BEFORE IT CRASHES BACK BELOW RM1.00

 

THESE ARE THE REASONS

 

1) At Rm1.48 with NTA of Rm1.43 Jaks is now selling above NTA. (Last time Jaks was 40 sen with NTA over Rm1.00)

So Jaks is now fully valued & in fact overvalued.

 

2) Insiders are now Selling as They Know at this price Jaks is not worth keeping

 

See

 

 

So any price above Rm1.452 is now too dangerous to chase. The sell down shows trouble ahead! A Red Flag!

 

See further

Particulars of Director

Name MR ANG LAM AIK
Descriptions(Class) Ordinary Shares

Details of changes

No
Date of change
No of securities
Type of transaction
Nature of Interest
1
20/03/2018
201,000
Disposed
Direct Interest
Name of registered holder Ang Lam Aik
Description of "Others" Type of Transaction  
Consideration (if any) RM297,480.00
2
22/03/2018
549,000
Disposed
Direct Interest
Name of registered holder Ang Lam Aik
Description of "Others" Type of Transaction  
Consideration (if any) RM797,148.00

 

Circumstances by reason of which change has occurred
Disposal in open market.
Nature of interest
Direct Interest

Total no of securities after change

Direct (units) 0
Direct (%) 0.000
Indirect/deemed interest (units) 0
Indirect/deemed interest (%) 0.000   (SOLD OFF 100% COMPLETELY!!)
Date of notice 26/03/2018
Date notice received by Listed Issuer 26/03/2018

 

This is not just selling some for necessities. This complete SOLD OUT Is 100%

 

3) JAKS being expert in Water Business should keep to its knitting & not venture into IPP. See how even UMW (Car Business) made a Big Blunder going into O & G?

Now Star Media is suing Jaks for Rm50 Millions for Delayed Job Work in PJ. 

That's why Jaks is placing out more shares to raise capital to prepare for this Rm50 Millions Cash call.

 

4) With Litigation in Malaysia - how could Jaks concentrate on Its Power Plants in Vietnam?

After all Jaks office is only a very short 10 to 15 minutes drive from Subang Jaya  to PJ Section 13

See

Where to find us:

JAKS Resources Berhad (585648-T)
LOT 541, Jalan Subang 2
Sungai Penaga Industrial Park, USJ 1
47600 Subang Jaya
Selangor Darul Ehsan, Malaysia

10 Km - Distance from usj 15 subang jaya to section 13 petaling jaya

https://www.distancesfrom.com/.../distance-from-usj...subang-jaya...
Translate this page

The driving distance from usj 15 subang jaya to section 13 petaling jaya is 10 km. Your Travel Starts at usj 15 subang jaya . It Ends at section 13 petaling jaya. Can't get a feel of the tour distanceon the small map? How far is usj 15 subang jaya from section 13 petaling jaya? Would you like to see a larger Map? You want to ...

NOW IF JAKS COULD NOT COMPLETE THIS SECTION 13 JOB ON TIME YOU THINK JAKS WILL BE ABLE TO COMPLETE VIET POWER PLANT ON TIME?

 

5) THERE ARE MANY POWER PRODUCERS IN VIETNAM APART FROM JAKS

See

List of power stations in Vietnam

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
 
 

The following page lists some of the power stations in Vietnam.

 

 

Coal[edit]

[1]

Station Capacity (MW) Total (MW) Community Coordinates Status plant/owner/operator Ref
Cam Pha Power Station 2 x 300 600     Operational    
Quang Ninh Power Station 4 x 300 1200 Hakan Ward   Operational    
Ninh Binh Power Station 4 x 25 100     Operational    
Hai Dng Thermal Power Plantuo 2 x 600 1200 Phuc Thanh/Quang Trung communes 21°02′00.6″N 106°24′43.9″E On-going project JAKS Resources and China Power Engineering Consulting Group (CPECC) [2][3]

Gas Turbines[edit]

[4] Ca Mau 1500 Can Tho

Hydroelectric[edit]

Station Capacity (MW) Total (MW) Community Coordinates Status Ref
Hàm Thuận – Đa Mi hydroelectric power stations 2x150+2x88 476     Operational  
Lai Châu Dam 4x300 1200     Under Construction  
Hòa Bình Dam 8x240 1920 Hòa Bình 20°48′30″N 105°19′26″E Operational [5][6]
Trị An Hydro 400 400 Trị An   Operational  
Tuyên Quang Hydro 3x114 342 Tuyên Quang   Operational  
Thac Ba 3x36 108     Operational  
A Vuong 2x105 210     Operational  
Đa Nhim Hydro 4x40 160     Operational  
Dai Ninh 2x150 300     Operational  
Quảng Trị Hydro 2x32 64 Quảng Trị   Operational  
Yali Falls Dam 4x180 720     Operational  
Thác Mơ Hydro 2x75 150     Operational  
Can Don 2x38 76     Operational  
Srok Phu Mieng 2x25.5 51     Operational  
Se San 3 2x130 260     Operational  
Se San 3a 2x54 108     Operational  
Se San 4 3x120 360     1 unit Operational  
Buôn Kuốp 2x140 280     Operational  
Buon Tuasrah 2x43 86     Operational  
Song Ba Ha 2x110 220     Operational  
Binh Dien 2x22 44     Operational  
Ban Ve 2x160 320     1 unit Operational  
Vinh Son 2x33 66     Operational  
Sông Hinh Hydro 2x32 64 Sông Hinh   Operational  
Pleikrong 2x50 100     1 unit Operational  
ZaHung 2x15 30     Operational  
Song Con 3x20 60     Operational  
KrongHNang 2x32 64     On-going project  
Sơn La Dam 6x400 2400 Mường La 21°29′47″N 103°59′42″E Operational  
Srepok3 2x110 220     On-going project  
Srepok4 2x40 80     On-going project  
Khao Mang 2x15 30     On-going project  
 

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. Jump up^ "Coal-Fired Power Plants in Thailand & Vietnam"Gallery. Power Plants Around The World. Archived from the original on 19 July 2009. Retrieved 23 February 2014.
  2. Jump up^ [1]
  3. Jump up^ [2]
  4. Jump up^ "CCGT Power Plants in Vietnam"Gallery. Power Plants Around The World. Archived from the original on 18 July 2009. Retrieved 23 February 2014.
  5. Jump up^ Hydroelectric power stations in Vietnam Archived 2009-07-19 at the Portuguese Web Archive
  6. Jump up^ Hòa Bình Dam Archived 2010-08-20 at the Wayback Machine.

 

6) SO WILL JAKS BE EXPECTED TO MAKE MONEY AS EVEN ONE POWER PRODUCER IN USA ALREADY GONE BANKRUPT?

Power company files for bankruptcy

 

Photo by FILE PHOTO

The Perry Nuclear Power Plant

FirstEnergy Solutions Corp., a power generator that pleaded for the Trump administration’s help in bailing out struggling coal and nuclear plants, has filed for bankruptcy.

The company, its subsidiaries and FirstEnergy Nuclear Operating Co. listed $550 million in cash to continue operations and meet obligations to employees in a Chapter 11 filing in Federal Court in Akron, according to a statement issued Saturday night, March 31. Parent FirstEnergy Corp. of Akron is not part of the filing, the company said in a separate statement.

The move comes after the FirstEnergy unit on March 29 called on Energy Secretary Rick Perry to declare a grid emergency and guarantee profit for ailing coal and nuclear generators, including its own. Perry had drafted an earlier plan to compensate reactors and coal units more for their power, but federal regulators shot that down in January.

“The Chapter 11 filing represents our best path forward as we continue to pursue opportunities for restructuring, asset sales and legislative and regulatory relief,” said Donald R. Schneider, president of FirstEnergy Solutions, in the bankruptcy statement. “We believe that this decision will best serve our customers, employees and business partners."

Electricity generators across the U.S. have been pummeled by low power prices as stagnant demand, cheap natural gas and surging development of wind and solar have squeezed profits. Few have embodied the struggle as much as FirstEnergy Solutions, which owns a fleet of coal and nuclear plants in Ohio and Pennsylvania.

Warning of a “power crisis,” Akron-based FirstEnergy Solutions had asked Perry for an order that would force PJM Interconnection LLC, the largest U.S. power grid operator, to pay nuclear and coal plants a guaranteed profit if they’re capable of storing 25 days worth of fuel on-site.

The company had already announced plans to shut three nuclear plants in the PJM region and has closed several coal-fired generators since 2012.

FirstEnergy Corp., which owns utilities from New Jersey to Ohio, had warned investors as far back as 2016 that it was considering bankruptcy for the unit. In January, a group including Elliott Management Corp. announced a $2.5 billion investment in the parent company that included an agreement to explore how to exit the unregulated power business as soon as possible. The company said it planned to sever ties with the unit by March 31.

FirstEnergy Solutions has around $3.6 billion of debt, about 60% of which is in municipal issues, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

The bankruptcy could be a setback for Robert Murray, an outspoken U.S. coal mogul whose mines supply FirstEnergy Solutions plants. His company, Murray Energy Corp., urged the Trump administration last year to take emergency steps to keep the plants open.

FirstEnergy Solutions reported a $5.46 billion loss from the unit in 2016 and a $2.39 billion loss last year.

Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld LLP is serving as legal counsel to FirstEnergy Solutions in the bankruptcy filing. Lazard Freres & Co. is serving as investment banker, Alvarez & Marsal North America LLC is serving as restructuring advisor and Charles Moore has been appointed as chief restructuring officer.

WITH SHALE OIL HAMMERING CRUDE OIL & FALLING GAS PRICES CUM ALTERNATE WIND AND HYDRO POWER NOT ALL IPP CAN SURVIVIE

 

7) LIKE MUDAJAYA (MUDAJAYA CRASHED FROM Rm2.70 to less than 90 Sen) FACING RED TAPE IN INDIA JAKS IS ALSO FACING POSSIBLE RED TAPE IN VIETNAM

 

Red tape hindering power plant projects

Red tape hindering power plant projects

  LEAVE A COMMENT

Viet Nam News HÀ NỘI – Substandard investment procedures and regulations hinder investors in major power plant projects,baodautu.vn reported. Ngô Quốc Hội, Director of An Khánh Thermal Power Company told the investment e-newspaper that investment procedures and policies for power plant investors overlapped. For example, some projects were submitted with detailed information as part of the adjusted National Power Development Plan VII from 2011-2020, which was approved along with the projects in 2016. However, once the projects were launched, investors were required to re-submit the project’s feasibility study, ask for assessments from ministries and agencies and then ask for Government approval. “It takes an additional six to eight months for a duplicate process before the project is approved again,” Hội said. Domestic investors also complained about unequal treatment between independent power producer (IPP) projects and foreign-invested projects under Build-Operate-Transfer (BOT) contracts. An IPP or non-utility generator is an entity, which is not a public utility, but which owns facilities to generate electric power for sale. Foreign-funded BOT projects are given incentives in foreign currency exchange and power sale guarantees but domestic IPP projects are not. If investors of IPP projects want to exchange currency to pay loans, they have to register with the State Bank and are at risk of changing exchange rates. Hội added that domestic power investors faced difficulties in borrowing money from local banks. The company’s Bắc Giang Thermal Power Plant Project is set to be completed in 2022 with a capacity of 650 MW. This required… [Read full story]

See the Story of Mudajaya which ended with disappointment

Mudajaya: Indian Power Project Completion - Koon Yew Yin

Author:   |    Publish date: 

 



Koon Yew Yin

About 7 years ago, CIMB research had a buy recommendation for Mudajaya because of the Indian power project as shown in the report below. Investors have waited for 7 years and all of them are tired and disappointed in waiting for the completion of the Indian power project. Finally the 1st unit of 360 mw will start firing in a few weeks and most likely all the 4 units of 360 mw will be operational by year end. How will this benefit investors?  

What is this Indian power project?

About 40 years ago, when I was the CEO, Mudajaya built the 1st power plant called Tungku Jaffaar Poer Station, Port Dickson, Negri Sembilan, Malaysia.  Subsequently Mudajaya completed 18 more power plants in Malaysia as a construction contractor. Mudajaya is a specialist in power plant construction.

 

But in India, Mudajaya holds 26% in an independent power producer (IPP) joint venture with an Indian partner to undertake the construction of 4 units of 360 mw coal power plant and the sale of electricity to the Indian Government.

Perhaps if I tell you some brief details of the Indian project, investors can imagine the difficulty of completing such a large project and forgive Mudajaya for the long delay.

The size: 4 units of 360 mw, totaling 1440 mw.

Cost: The total construction cost is about 1440 mw X US $ 1.5 million X 3.20 = RM 6,912 million.

Coal consumption: 1440 mw X 4,500 ton = 6,480,000 ton per year

Coal consumption cost at US $ 30 per ton = 6,480,000 X 30 X Rm 3.20 = Rm 622 million per year.

Power line construction cost: Rm 2 million per kilometer, total length required ??  

Mudajaya holds 26% in this joint venture and its estimated profit is about Rm 70 million per year for 25 years which all investors have been waiting for.  

The price chart shows Mudajaya share price has been depressed for many years. I believe it is due for re rating when the company makes the announcement of the completion of the Indian power project.

Mudajaya is one of my major investment holdings. I am not asking you to buy it but if you buy, you are doing at your own risk.

 

 

 

Mudajaya’s Wild Card

My wife and one of my closest friends told me that it is unethical to publish articles regarding the shares that I own because some readers who do not know me well would doubt my good intention. However, at my age and my financial standing I am not afraid to post this article as long as my intention is noble and altruistic. I want to teach you how to fish!  

Since I wrote about Jaya Tiasa, many readers wanted to know about my other holdings. Mudajaya is my second largest holding. I also have some Xingquan, Success Transformer, Kulim, MFCB and smaller holdings of a few other counters.

As you know, many financial institutions are covering this stock and despite their frequent  recommendations Mudajaya’s share price has been trading around this current level of Rm 2.70 in the last 3 or 4 years.  Why should it be selling cheaper than its peers in terms of P/E ratio?

Mudajaya Price Chart

Screen Shot 2014-02-28 at 10.58.15 PM

As you can see from the price chart, average price for the last few years is about Rm 2.70 and the downside risk is very small. For the share price to break out of this price range it needs a powerful catalyst which should be the announcement of its profit from its 26% share of the Independent Power Producer (IPP) concession in India. Let me give you a brief description of this project.

I was one of the original founders of Mudajaya and during my tenure, I constructed the 1st phase of the Tungku Jaffa power Station in Port Dickson about 40 years ago. Since then the company has completed 19 power plants as a construction contractor. The company specializes in power plant construction.

But in India, Mudajaya has taken a different role. Mudajaya holds 26% of a consortium to construct, own and operate 4 units of 360 Mega Watts coal fired power plant to generate electricity for sale to the Indian Government.

The total power is 4 units X 360 = 1440 mega watt. One mega watt can light up about 1,000 homes.

The estimated construction cost is about USD 4X360 MWX 1.3 million = USD 1.87 billion

The annual coal consumption is about 4,500 ton X 4X360 = 6,480,000 ton per year.

Assuming the coal price is USD 50 per ton, the annual cost of coal used = USD 324 million.

All these figures are mind boggling, hard to imagine any company has the financial ability to undertake this large concession for 25 years.

In India, a consortium of financial institutions finance the construction cost basing on the Power Purchase Agreement signed by the Indian Government. The banks must make sure that the power purchase agreement (the selling price of electricity) is profitable to Mudajaya and its partners otherwise the bank will not get back their money.  The power purchase agreement is for 25 years and the power tariff will be adjusted to cover cost of coal, inflation, foreign exchange etc.

The first unit of 360 mw will be operational by end of March and the second unit will be operational by end of the 2nd quarter. By the end of the year all the 4 units will be in full operation.

The completion date has been postponed a few times until investors are fed up. As a result the share price remains depressed for so long. I believe the announcement of the additional profit spread over 25 years will be the catalyst to propel the price upward.

Today while I was writing this article, a big fund was buying aggressively to push the price up by 12 sens to close at Rm 2.80. The total volume traded was 2.972 million shares. It looks like the long delayed  announcement of the additional profit from the Indian IPP concession will be out soon.

I am obliged to tell you that Mudajaya is my 2nd largest holding and I am not asking you to buy it. But if you do, I am not responsible for your losses.

Calvin warned Uncle KYY to sell both JTiasa & Mudajaya at Rm2.60 & Rm2.70. After Uncle KYY disposed both fell 60% to 70% & Uncle Koon disappeared from i3 Forum for 7 months & then reappeared again with the new fangled peril called Jaks?

How many poor i3 Forumers have been cleaned wiped off when Jtiasa & Mudajaya crashed 60% to 70%?

So this is not the time to still go play play. Uncle Koon is already rich beyond all. And now enjoying a second childhood playing modern day Robin Hood?

 

8) OF COURSE IN THE GAME OF GREATER FOOL SOME LESSER FOOL MIGHT STILL MAKE MONEY FROM GREATER FOOL.

AND WHY NOT? GREATER FOOL CAN ALSO MAKE SOME FROM GREATEST FOOL

 

THE SMART MONIES THAT BOUGHT HENGYUAN AT RM2.00 SOLD TO THE LESSER FOOL WHO CHASED IT TO RM10.00

AND THE LESSER FOOL WHO SOLD HENGYUAN TO GREATER FOOL AT RM17.00 ALSO MADE GOOD MONEY

AND THE GREATER FOOL WHO SOLD HENGYUAN AT THE PEAK PRICE OF RM19 AND ESCAPED BY THE SKIN OF THEIR TEETH ALSO MADE SOME FRIGHTFUL GAIN ?

 

AND THE GREATEST OF THE GREATEST FOOL HOLDING HENGYAN ABOVE RM19.00?

 

GOOD LUCK

 

CALVIN ALWAYS WARN ALL NOT TO CHASE HOT HOT STOCKS AT HIGH HIGH PRICES!

SO THOSE WHO STILL WANT TO CHASE JAKS WITH THE HOPE OF WHAT?

 

SELL CHUN CHUN AT TOP TOP TO THE GREATEST SORCHAI?

 

SO MANY SORCHAI AND MANY MORE SORCHAI AH?

 

WILL YOU BE THE ONE HOLDING SOMEDAY?

 

WARM REGARDS

 

Calvin Tan

Singapore

 

Uncle KYY is our modern day Robinhood. Rob all Sorchai Greedy Suckers by all means!! Thumbs Up!! And go help poor poor students!

 

Long Live Uncle Koon!!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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5 people like this. Showing 50 of 53 comments

ks55

Yes.
Jaks and Sendai are both high risk punting stocks with operator now trapped looking for scapegoat.
Ask kcchongnz and he will tell you by all means avoid buying stock with BS (bullshitting) advocated by stockmanmy...........

2018-04-02 23:09

stncws

calvin is johorean...johor people not so smart, they go singapore cari makan, just like CALVIN only good in writing, not share trading !!

2018-04-02 23:10

ks55

Don't hold on to Jaks and Sendai.
Donald Trump tsunami is now here.
Very likely there will be a Black Monday for NYSE.
Equally probable another Black Tuesday for World Market.

To hold on to these two stocks will probably see you fortune halved by the end of next Tuesday trading......

2018-04-02 23:12

newbie911

Good sharing....thx calvin.
Any idea on bauto and magni? Thx.

2018-04-02 23:23

calvintaneng

Newbie,

Both BjAuto & Magni are ok

Bj Auto has the iconic Mazda CX 5. But be careful of headwind as Bank loans for both houses and cars are stringent

As for Magni Tech it should benefit from its paper processing job like Muda & its 5 garment manufacturing plants in Vietnam. More so because TPP enables Viet & Malaysia garment exports to be very competitive. And Eastspring is holding Magni Tech

2018-04-02 23:28

DK66

1. Are you suggesting Nestle is too high to buy now ?
2. Most, if not all, companies have share disposal by directors at some point in time including public bank. Even Facebook directors are selling FB shares.
3. China power is FULLY responsible for the construction of the power plant.
4. Any of the vietnam power plants gone bankrupt ? Vietnam is so hungry for electricity power now.
5. A US power company goes bankrupt. So will everyone else ?
6. Mudajaya has its unique problems especially after change of state government. If mudajaya is role model for IPP, then ALL IPP power plants will fail.

A more direct criticism on Jaks' Hai Duong plant itself will be more informative. Laying out reasons why the US$1.87b power plant cannot be profitable will certainly be a more convincing wakeup call to a lot of readers here causing panic selling.

2018-04-02 23:43

calvintaneng

This is the reason why we must have Rules like what Sifu Warren Buffet said

NEVER TO LOSE MONEY

And Calvin's Rule is

"HE THAT IS LOW NEEDS FEAR NO FALL"

This principle must be followed carefully like what Ben Graham called

"THE MARGIN OF SAFETY CONCEPT"

Always invest with the Margin of Safety Concept & Not The Greater Fool Concept

We drive car with the safety of seat belt

A surgeon operates with the safety of rubber glove

A deep sea diver makes sure he has enough oxygen while 300 feet under the sea

An astronaut makes sure he has a rope or harness that hold him to the spaceship.

Or else he might just drift off into empty space?

See

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jXil9P1xqKI

2018-04-02 23:45

calvintaneng

DK66

Consider carefully point by point & think carefully.

Jaks like Masteel, Prestar and others are Cyclical Stocks.

How you think IPP in Vietnam will do well because they are hungry for electricity?

Is not India with teeming population also hungry for electricity?

And IPP like Malakof & YTL Power are not performing well you think Jaks is an exception?

Last time in IFCA they chased it from 7 sen to Rm1.50 when I issued warning.

They said IFCA will make lots of monies from China?

And chased IFCA to Rm1.87?

And then?

Then IFCA CRASHED 3 TIMES LIMIT DOWN FROM RM1.87 to 25 sen & more than 95% of Greater Fool in IFCA were Wiped Off and ceased posting in i3 Forum

See

57 people like this IFCA.
People who like thisXTing Choryam, Bryan Lee, Jaafar Hamid, Meng Fatt Lee, Rachel Yi Xin, MilkyTrich Chia, Benzi Gwee, Hussain Daud, Eli Chow, KaYen Ooi, Billy See, Jack Ong, aidilwm2, alex35, anthonylow, AyamTua, Blackpanther, blchew1973, CANI9906, catcat, chiakgs168, Count3, crazy127, ericio, Fosterrrr, Garyyap, geekwai, georgeck, godbless88, hepitrade, huntchua, jasgrafix, jeand, jennifer88, keng88, kentg03, lctay81, lemontea, Littlefield, lt54, melvinha4134, motomoto, Orionpacific, ozzie75, pan91282, pjtang13, questzmak, shidayea, shtan88, smallfry8, sstan8010, SYEE, Ting32, TwinkleStar19, Uz2015, kiman 70, wubwub

2018-04-03 00:05

Alex™

calvin bro, bjland can ah? i'm stuck > <

2018-04-03 00:07

calvintaneng

Posted by Alex™ > Apr 3, 2018 12:07 AM | Report Abuse

calvin bro, bjland can ah? i'm stuck > <


Alex

It's Ok for these reasons

1) Last quarter lost was due to non payment of China Great Mall Balance sum

2) TSVT has marked down losses for 3 years impairment. The markdown was overdone as early payment or solution will get back rebates.

3) TSVT Company is buying Bj Land shares consistently

4) Bj Land has Huge Margin of Safety in other High Value Assets other than China Great Mall

So just hold & wait

2018-04-03 00:15

pussycats

good job Calvin :-)

2018-04-03 00:39

martinam

Calvin, watch out, KYY is going to shoot you full of holes. Why, because your arguments on Jaks leaks.

2018-04-03 01:31

calvintaneng

Isaac,

You are correct. I and all buddies are waiting for the cash distribution.

But we must do this.

Keep low profile as Bursa will query why we know ahead. So let management do their job.

And out of due respect to Andrew Khoo his gentleman son. Divorce is an umpleasant thing to mention.

So let us wait.

2018-04-03 02:32

calvintaneng

Martinam,

Uncle Koon is not after Calvin who is candid and state his facts.

No attacking personality.

UNCLE HAS DONE LOTS OF GOOD FOR POOR STUDENTS. THAT IS AN OPEN SECRET.

2018-04-03 02:34

fusing79

Hi thank you for sharing. May I know how is Genting?

2018-04-03 09:23

calvintaneng

Good morning Fusing79

I don't buy gambling, smoking or drinking stocks like Genting, BAT or Guinness.

As such i cannot comment. Sorry.

2018-04-03 09:35

Alex™

Tq Calvin bro...u r the best

2018-04-03 09:38

PureBULL .

What seems good on paper in foreign mega project always ends bad, really BAD!

Mega Project JV can't escape 3 major Problems:
i. Building n Construction problems
Assuming this is well taken off, then u hv

ii. Operating Problems n difficulties
Not making money is clear cut gone case.
Making good money, next problem is sure to happen i.e.

iii. JV shareholders problems
40% stake with foreigner is a good capital size to lots of sharing problem.
The controlling holder might whack all the profits.
or it could show transparent profits but never declare dividends.
Worse still, the giant controlling holder will n always will want to increase paid up capital again n again till the smaller one gives up n forces into gone case !

Think n seriously think abt IT!

2018-04-03 10:38

calvintaneng

Alex,

Calvin is just a student learning from all Sifus and all fellow forumers.

Nothing to be proud of at all.
Thks

2018-04-03 10:55

calvintaneng

Yes Sifu pureBULL

Keep posting your valuable ideas!!

I3 Forumers need your very wise input and contribution

Many thanks!

2018-04-03 10:57

Beary

It is as obvious as daylight why the oldman still dumps in money to pump up the share price in this time of market uncertainty.

Beat him at his own game by taking profit while you are ahead.

Do not repeat the mistake many made in hengyuan by being too greedy.

The prime example is stockraider who is now selling vegetable with ah fah at pudu market.

2018-04-03 11:29

KLCI King

Calvin is the best (in i3) in spotting bad counters and most of the time he is able to give facts & references in supporting his statements.

2018-04-03 11:47

KLCI King

BIG LIKE!!!

2018-04-03 11:48

cheshirecat

Ya lo there r pipo making great great fortune of monies in their less sincere ways n they think they rechannel the monies to charity wil 'does it offset the karma'.

2018-04-03 15:16

peterchu

did you send to mr.koon ?

2018-04-03 16:26

calvintaneng

Calvin appreciates all who visit here.

Many thanks.

Please keep to investment ideas and avoid character flaws.

May all be kind one to another and keep the peace.

2018-04-03 19:59

apolloang

pastor calvin ur phone number 4010 3rd prize toto,u kena how much? hehe

2018-04-03 20:43

calvintaneng

No gambling or game of chance please!

2018-04-03 20:55

apolloang

buying stocks in bursa also is a form of gambling

2018-04-03 20:57

calvintaneng

If you hit and run then gambling

I bought Umw in year 2004. Now 14 years already. This is investing. Stock market is the place to invest in good companies

2018-04-03 21:21

apolloang

u didn't invest in cold storage or mbf finance? hehe

2018-04-03 21:22

apolloang

my uncle fren bought many rubber stocks in the 60's and 70's kept until broke.all up a few hundred rinnit also didn't sell,in the end all PN 17. jeram kuantan now become tanco and many more I also forgot the name

2018-04-03 21:24

apolloang

msian stocks cannot keep for so long,here is emerging country not develop country like US

2018-04-03 21:26

calvintaneng

Those who bought Litrak, Public Bank, Nestle and other good fundamental shares should do very well.

And if you have picked the right ones like Kulim, paramount garden, pelangi, plus, opus, thestore, super enterprize, tmakmur, wangzng, qsr, kfc and others taken private should have done ok.

2018-04-03 23:07

apolloang

1100 counters to pick,those being privatize is like picking 3d numbers.what are the odds?

2018-04-04 00:24

lkoky

WoW, a nice refresh of history lesson!! Just in time.
Thanks Calvin.

Wonder u follow BJTOTO & BAT?

2018-04-04 07:36

warchest

Nice straight forward article. Love it

2018-04-04 07:52

qqq3

Jaks....if no substance already below $1 by now.......just look around you...and all the share prices.

2018-04-04 10:33

stncws

Post removed.Why?

2018-04-04 11:03

jackfruit

Don't belittle Calvin. He own more than 100 listed company. Don't play play with him.

2018-04-04 11:26

Jiewy

Calvin, what is your opinion on AirAsia?

2018-04-04 13:52

Patron

typical kiasu and kiasi singaporean stray dogs. only badmouth KYY's lousy picks and ignore KYY's good picks.
same like how he shows off his winning picks ( out of 100 stocks ) and nvr mention his holland picks !
i strongly support KYY go out and hunt this stray dog down!

2018-04-04 15:11

calvintaneng

Jiewy

I think Airasia should be a great company as world tourism will increase over the years

btw

i was wrong on airasia i thought of its high debt at first. As for Aax i still think its committed debt is too huge for comfort.

And to all others here.

THIS IS A SHARE FORUM

PLEASE BE CORDIAL AND KEEP DISCUSSING IDEAS.

DON'T GO TALKING BAD ABOUT PEOPLE OR CHARACTERS

AS FOR UNCLE KYY CALVIN HAS HIGH RESPECT FOR HIM AND GOT LEARNT A LOT FROM HIM

EXAMPLES ARE

1. HOW HE FOUNDED GAMUDA, İJM AND MUDAJAYA

2. HİSTORY OF MBM R. DR MAHATHİR ALSO İNVOLVED

3. HOW HE FIRST MADE HIS FORTUNE BUYING INTO HONG KONG SHARES AT BOTTOM

4. SHARING ON ONLY EATING FRUIT LIKE PINEAPPLE AND NOTHING ELSE BEFORE LUNCH.
GETTING MASSAGE 3 TIMES A WEEK FOR GOOD HEALTH AND OTHER LONGEVITY TIPS.

5. HELPING MANY POOR STUDENTS IN MALAYSIA.

6. DEFENDING AGAINST CORRUPTION AND INEFFICIENCY IN HIGH PLACES.

7. ADMIRABLE ZEAL EVEN AT HIS ADVANCED AGE IN GOING TO VIETNAM TO SEE POWER PLANT AND TO MIDDLE EAST TO SEE SENDAI' S BUSINESS. RIDING A HELICOPTER TO SEE JTIASA PLANTATION LANDS

NOT MANY PEOPLE HAVE LIVED SO LONG WITH SO MUCH DIVERSIFIED EXPERIENCES TO SHARE.

NOW AS CALVIN HAS SAID BEFORE I SAY IT AGAIN:

LET UNCLE KOON SHARE HIS VALUABLE LIFE EXPERIENCES IN THE SHORT HISTORY OF MALAYSIA TO ALL i3 FORUMERS.

SO MANY OTHER EXPERIENCES WILL BENEFIT ALL.

CALVIN HAS NO PERSONAL ILL WILL BUT ONLY RESPECT FOR UNCLE KOON

BY THE WAY I MUST CONFESS I MADE RM1,000 FROM UNCLE KOON TIPS ON XINQUAN

I BOUGHT XINQUAN WHEN IT DROPPED TO 40 SEN. ONLY 10,000 SHARES AT RM4,000.

I SOLD OFF XINQUAN WHEN IT REBOUNDED TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE 50 SEN FOR ABOUT RM1,000 PROFIT.

TYVM UNCLE KOON.

I WAS LUCKY TO HAVE MADE SOME IN XINQUAN.
OF COURSE THIS IS NOT WHAT I WOULD NORMALLY DO AS A VALUE INVESTOR.

SO TO ALL HERE.

BUY AND SELL AT YOUR OWN DISCRETION.

PLEASE DON'T BLAME UNCLE KOON, CALVIN, OTB OR ANYONE FOR YOUR GAIN OR LOSSES.

GOOD LUCK TO ALL

THANK YOU

Calvin Tan, Singapore

2018-04-04 16:25

calvintaneng

Ikoky,

I don't buy gambling or smoking shares.

As for Btoto and Bat i think these vice stocks are addictive. But Btoto will be impacted by illegal gambling and Bat due to high duties will encourage more cigarette smuggling from Indonesia.

As a rule stick to Value stocks that are defensive. Best if they have moats

2018-04-04 22:36

apolloang

u don't buy sin stocks yet u bought crook dumbno stocks such as media and mrcb......told u don't buy yet u no wanna listen

2018-04-04 22:39

Alex™

Actually... Itu bjcorp Ada toto inside also... I just realised after I bought my bjland...

2018-04-04 22:40

calvintaneng

Post removed.Why?

2018-04-04 23:01

calvintaneng

Alex™ Actually... Itu bjcorp Ada toto inside also... I just realised after I bought my bjland...
04/04/2018 22:40

Well, I don't buy into pure gambling stock directly. I bought Bj Corp because of its Huge Assets backing.

And 7 Eleven got sell liquor & cigarettes also. Hotels like TAGB got provide liquor to guests?

MphbCap also got magnum

So how if we want to avoid all? Then just put money in FD

But Public Bank, May Bank also lend money to Hotels, Companies dealing with liquor/ cigarette also borrow money from them. So our FD is used indirectly to finance these Companies?

Then how?

BETTER LEAVE THIS WORLD AND LIVE IN A CAVE?

2018-04-04 23:06

calvintaneng

Posted by Ricky Yeo > Apr 5, 2018 08:47 AM | Report Abuse

If you manage to read most of KYY articles on HY you will know facts and figures don't tell a shit. Fact and figures doesn't speak, it has to be presented by the person in the way that align with his own interest.

Half a year ago, when HY was roaring, KYY and many others will present you with positive facts i.e high crack spread, low P/E, high growth, earnings growing, and even comparing it to Nestle to emphasis the case.

Half a year later, with HY in a dramatically 'opposite' situation, KYY present you with the facts that earnings this year will not be as good, no growth prospect, low P/E is the past not future etc. So much for the facts that change in 6 months.

Get this. The facts (objective truth) rarely change in the span of 6 months. It is how the person choose to sing the tune. All of these facts are correct, there is no contradiction, future is inherently uncertain, it is just a matter which facts get presented. What has changed is the subjective confidence, not the objective truth. 6 months ago, everyone is hyped up by the share price, hence rosy stories are the way to justify it (human seek certainty). Today, it's the opposite. People sing different tune base on the movement of the share price. Therefore, breaking the rule: When calculating value to challenge the stock price, beware of using price in the calculation (by Stephen Penman). Share price can be a source of influence or a source of information. It has been a source of influence back then as it is right now.

Has the fundamental changed in 6 months? Perhaps, but I would say barely. But the sentiment certainly does, in 180 degrees. This goes back to something I stress about - you can have the all the facts and figures at the back of your hand, but it won't matter if you can't use what's between your ears. Learn how to think well will help you filter out many useless things and focus on what really matters.

UNCLE KYY IS EXPERT

WHEN HE WANTS HENGYUAN (HANG JOHN LU) UP HE WRITES GOOD STUFF. ALL GREEDY SORCHAI CHASED HIGH HIGH!!

AFTER UP AND MADE A KILLING ON HENGYUAN (John Lu hanged) HE THEN WRITES BAD STUFF. ALL GREEDY SORCHAI TRAPPED!!!

SAME APPLIES TO JAYATIASA. WHEN JTIASA WAS RM2.60 - SING ITS PRAISE

AFTER SELLING TO GREEDY SORCHAI & JTIASA CRASHED 60%? NO MORE PRAISE BUT WRITE BAD STUFF ON JTIASA. ALL DIE IN JTIASA KAW KAW

SO LISTEN! LISTEN! LISTEN!!!

UNCLE KYY COMMANDS FEAR & RESPECT LIKE ROBINHOOD OF OLD WHO ROB THE RICH TO HELP THE POOR!) . HE IS OUR HERO ROBBER KOON (ROB ALL GREEDY SORCHAI IN JAKS & SENDAI & HELP POOR POOR STUDENTS!!!)

WELL DONE UNCLE KYY!!!

LONG LIVE UNCLE KYY

SORCHAI DIE!!!

2018-04-05 08:59

Livermore

haha

2018-07-13 08:10

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