THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN

CONSTRUCTION COMPANIES NOW TOO DANGEROUS TO PUNT: BETTER BUY PALM OIL SAFER, Calvin Tan

calvintaneng
Publish date: Sun, 29 Aug 2021, 11:04 PM
calvintaneng
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Hi Guys,

I have An Investment Approach I which I would like to all.

Hi guys

In case you missed these news

 

See

 

Main contractors for 5 BTO projects unable to continue due to financial difficulties; further delays expected: HDB

SINGAPORE: The completion of five Build-to-Order (BTO) residential projects will be delayed due to "financial

difficulties" faced by its main contractors, the Housing and Development Board (HDB) said on Thursday (Aug 26).

Greatearth Corp and Greatearth Construction informed HDB that they ran into financial difficulties and

are unable to complete the projects despite government assistance.

“HDB had also explored possible options to resolve Greatearth’s challenges, such as through advance payments, but Greatearth does not have the financial ability to continue its operations,” HDB said.

It added that all work at the five sites have been suspended since Aug 20.

“Prior to this, the progress of works was satisfactory, and there was no sign of work slow-down or any sudden reduction of supplies or workers on-site,” it said.

Two of the projects – Senja Ridges and Senja Heights – were launched for sale in 2016. They were expected to be completed in the last quarter of this year and the first quarter of 2022.

(VERY HIGH COST OF BUILDING MATERIALS PLUS LACK OF MAN POWER HAVE CAUSED PRICE OVER-RUNS EVEN IN EFFICIENT SINGAPORE)

And in Malaysia News Edgedaiy)

Prolonged Covid-19 pandemic: Risk of abandoned projects rises

 

PETALING JAYA (Aug 28): There is a potential rise in abandoned projects as the Covid-19 pandemic drags on with high daily cases.

 

Property and legal experts told The Edge Malaysia in a report this this week that there could be potentially “millions, if not billions,

 

of ringgit worth of projects being abandoned once the movement restrictions or bank loan moratorium is over”.

 

Banks can’t foreclose for now until the moratorium is over. But with the prolonged lockdown, I will not be surprised if some property developers experience cash-flow hiccups next year,” an abandoned project specialist who declined to be named said.

“As work progress is slow and sales low, the situation could get worse if they are unable to find an alternative source of funding or even a new investor,” he said.

 

(NOTE: WHAT HAPPENED TO SINGAPORE CAN ALSO HAPPEN IN MALAYSIA.

AS SUCH BE CAREFUL ABOUT HIGHLY INDEBTED CONSTRUCTION COMPANIES THAT ARE UNABLE TO DELIVER ITS PROJECTS ON TIME)

(IN ISKANDAR DURING THE BOOM YEARS OF 2000 TO 2015 WHEN 300 CONDO BLOCKS  WERE BUILT CONCURRENTLY  A FEW CONTRUCTION MATERIAL SUPPLIERS WENT BURST FROM NOT BEING ABLE TO COLLECT DEBTS FROM GOODS DELIVERED AFTER CONDO PRICES CRASHED. NOW SOME NEW CONDOS ARE BEING OFFERED AT 50% DISCOUNT)

SAFETY OF PALM OIL

UNLIKE CONTRUCTION COMPANIES THAT DEAL WITH LUMPY EARNINGS PALM OIL DEPEND ON THE ENTIRE CONSUMER MARKET: AND IT IS A WELL DIVERSIFIED CASH BUSINESS WITH 50% OF SUPERMARKET PRODUCTS SOLD

 

SO SALE AND COLLECTIONS ARE WELL SPREAD OUT WITH LITTLE RISK OF DEBT DEFAULT

 

Best regards

Calvin Tan

 

Please buy or sell after doing your own due diligence or consult your Remisier/Fund Manager

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
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Discussions
Be the first to like this. Showing 10 of 10 comments

calvintaneng

Construction income is lumpy linked to few Big Contracts

Palm oil is well diversified and spread out to 30 million consumers so risk is minimal especially palm oil is used in milo, maggee mee and as milk substitude in every glass of teh tarik for the common man

2021-08-29 23:16

Hoho22

Good advice.

2021-08-29 23:26

calvintaneng

Good morning Hoho22

Actually the signs and warnings are all there if we just pause and observe

The Book says

"The prudent man foresees the evil and hides himself in safety

Only simpleton pass on and gets punished

2021-08-30 07:40

calvintaneng

The consequences of prolonged lock down and very high cost of construction material will have great ramifications to come

All these will fall like dominoes

1. Construction companies go bust leading to chain effects of construction stocks crashing

2. Construction material suppliers will be hit by payment default

3. Real estate companies will delay delivery of houses leading to cost over runs

4. Lining up one by one to fall like dominoes

Construction stocks
Construction material stocks
Over exposed real estate stocks

Finally banks Npl will go up when loan moratorium over and the day of reckoning for banking stocks to crash as well

The panic will then amplify and banks also not save

2021-08-30 07:47

calvintaneng

On the other hand the draconian new rules imposed on My second home applicant will cause massive depletion of liquidity for Malaysia

1. Foreign visa holders for my second home will be forced to sell them homes worth Billion Rm depressing the higher end market prices

2. Plus the withdrawal of Billions more rm from Malaysia Bank deposits will cause liquidity to further dry up. A crisis like 1997/8 could emerge

Now is the time for great caution

2021-08-30 07:52

cumcumshot

Sick man bought a lot already but keeps promoting the palm oil sector. Wouldn't the construction recovers since the vaccination has much improved? Palm oil stocks have mostly shot up.
That's why I always say people who keep promoting certain stocks / sectors are real crooks & con men in the stock market.

2021-08-30 15:12

calvintaneng

What is wrong with your brain ?

Last year Supermax was promoted at Rm2.50

Supermax up to Rm7.00 we still promoting because Insider Directors were buying Supermax between Rm7.50 to Rm7.70

So we continue to promote Tsh resources as Insider Boss still buying every day

That means palm oil upside long way more to have upside

2021-08-30 18:21

risktoreward

How about best of both worlds? Consider AZRB

2021-08-30 18:23

calvintaneng

Azrb is a great stock

it has

a) palm oil in Kalimantan
b) toll road from Gombak to Kajang
c) teaching hospital
d) property in setapak
e) real estate lands in Trengganu
f) marine oil sale in tok Bali and kemaman
g) Mrt and Lrt construction business
h) others

Azrb from A to Z

all got

Azrb is a great stock

2021-08-30 18:32

risktoreward

You hear it first here from Calvin, AZRB - beli, jgn tak beli

2021-08-30 19:18

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