Donkey Dave still sore with you for promoting Kfima after he made losses just like tubby sore with OTB and lamken for losses. Both sore with me for showing both of them really craps and also their incestuous relationship ! LOL
Kcchongnz, Tan KW gave an honest and accurate comment regarding this banter of words. Don't be so much affected .
We are all in this thread to learn from those like you and OBT ,who have the expertise and are willing to share their uncovered gems with us. Thanks again for your generousity
Please invite another sifu here because he is 100% accurate one. Let us learn from him to make more money. I want to be a billionaire by following his stock pick. Please help me !! Please !!
Price CAGR % (Buy and Hold) Average Return History 6.28% 3 yrs Return 15.43%
Method 1 EPS 0.12 g 7.72 Y 7.0 IV= (EPS*(8.5+1.5g)*4.4)/Y 1.50 Current price 0.95 Margin of Safety 36.59% Potential gain 57.70%
Method 2 Discounted Cash Flows Calculator Discount rate 12.00% EPS 0.12 Earning expected to grow (annually) 7.7 for the next (? Years) 3.0 before leveling off to an annual growth 3.00 Calculate Stock Value per share 1.55 Current price 0.95 Margin of Safety 38.71% Potential gain 63.16%
Method 3 ROE 14.60% Rr 8.00% NTA 0.74 IV= ROE/ Rr*NTA 1.35 Current Price 0.95 Margin of Safety 29.66% Potential gain 42.16%
Method 4 (22.5*EPS*Book value per share)^0.5 EPS 0.1187 Total equity 376747 Number of shares 516167 (22.5*EPS*Total Equity/share)^0.5 1.40 Current price 0.95 Margin of Safety 31.96% Potential gain 46.97%
Warrant
Pantech-WA Expiration date 2020 Exercise price 0.60 Price of Mother share (Pantech) 0.95 Intrinsic value of WC 0.32 Actual price of WC 0.49 Premium or Discount 14.74 Gearing 1.94
Conclusion If the price of Pantech is 1.35, the price of Pantech-WA should be (1.35 - 0.60) = 0.75. If it is trading at 20% premium, the price of Pantech-WA should be (0.75*1.2) = 0.90. Potential gain = (0.90 - 0.49)/0.49*100 = 84%.
Hai-O Enterprise Berhad is engaged in the wholesaling and retailing of herbal medicines and healthcare products and investment holding. The Company operates in five segments: wholesale, which include wholesaling and trading in herbal medicines and healthcare products, herbs and tea; multi-level marketing, which include operating multi-level direct marketing of health food, healthcare, wellness and beauty products; retail, including retail chain stores; manufacturing, which include manufacturing, producing and distributing pharmaceutical products and health food, and technology, which provide heat transmission and energy saving technology. The Company is also operating in leasing of machinery and equipment, licensed money lender, insurance agent, advertising services, rental income and investment holding.
During the US sublime crisis, Haio’s revenue had a fantastic rise from 374m in 2008 to 511m in 2012. Its net profit also rose in tandem from 49.1m to 71.9m. That was the time its share price rose to an all time high of RM5.40 in March 2010. Then suddenly in 2011, its revenue and net profit plunged from a cliff to 223m and 29.7m respectively, both less than half of the previous year (Table 1 below). These couple of years, the revenue of this fallen angel slowly rises from the trough to 268m last year. Its profit has risen at a much faster rate to 43.5m. Will it go back to its days of glory?
Let us refer to Greenblatt’s Magic Formula to see if Haio is a good company having a great business. Then we will do a little computation to determine if it is worth investing at the present price of RM2.72. For those who are interested in the Magic formula, you could go to the following link for the explanation.
The key driving formulas used by Greenblatt for his Magic Formula are: • Return on Invested Capital = EBIT*(1-tax rate) / (Fixed Assets + Net Working Capital) • Earnings Yield = EBIT / Enterprise Value
From the computation based on the financial statements of Haio ended 30 April 2013, and the price of Haio at RM2.72, the following are obtained:
ROIC=43061/148000=29% EY=58716/407967=14.4%
Hence it can be seen that Haio has a great business with a high return on invested capital of 29%, much higher than its cost of capital. Its earnings yield of 14.4% is also good as it is above my minimum 12% requirement.I would say buying the stock of Haio now at RM2.72 is a good move to invest in a good company at a reasonable price. This is the fourth stock in my portfolio.
Table 1: Revenue and net profit of Haio Year 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 Revenue 267920 239533 223254 511064 435216 373823 Net Income 43491 35702 29710 71863 53010 49118
Price CAGR % (Buy and Hold) Average Return History -9.16% 3 yrs Return 111.09%
Method 1 EPS 0.46 g 10.00 Y 7.0 IV= (EPS*(8.5+1.5g)*4.4)/Y 6.77 Current price 1.74 Margin of Safety 74.28% Potential gain 288.81%
Method 2 Discounted Cash Flows Calculator Discount rate 12.00% EPS 0.46 Earning expected to grow (annually) 7.7 for the next (? Years) 3.0 before leveling off to an annual growth 3.00 Calculate Stock Value per share 6.32 Current price 1.74 Margin of Safety 72.47% Potential gain 263.22%
Method 3 ROE 29.17% Rr 8.00% NTA 1.57 IV= ROE/ Rr*NTA 5.72 Current Price 1.74 Margin of Safety 69.60% Potential gain 229.00%
Method 4 (22.5*EPS*Book value per share)^0.5 EPS 0.46 Total equity 100524 Number of shares 64022 (22.5*EPS*Total Equity/share)^0.5 4.02 Current price 1.74 Margin of Safety 56.74% Potential gain 131.18%
Posted by newbiestock > Aug 2, 2013 10:37 PM | Report Abuse
Posted by KC Loh > Aug 2, 2013 10:20 PM | Report Abuse i am sorry newbiestock for disturbing u. u are a professional. funny how u can twist ur words ah? anyone and read what u right ler
Kcchongnz, anymore doubt this is donkey Dave? Hahahahahaha
In case you still doubt its out certified nutcases donkey Dave, just see the resemblance if your nose is stuffy and cannot smell the same stench,kcchongnz! Hahaha
Stock: [KFIMA]: KUMPULAN FIMA BHD Feb 26, 2013 10:13 AM | Report Abuse DONT BE FOOLED BY FAKE SIFUS HERE LIKE KCCHONGNZ AND KCLOH...
You are so dumb la donkey newbiestock. At 10.20pm I posted this! Are you that desperate or totally intimidated by me? Hahahaha
Posted by KC Loh > Aug 2, 2013 10:20 PM | Report Abuse Posted by newbiestock > Aug 2, 2013 10:04 PM | Report Abuse KCLOH AND KCCHONGNZ are made fukers liars. That's true! I made this particular farker and expose his lying! LoL
Posted by newbiestock > Aug 2, 2013 10:37 PM | Report Abuse Posted by KC Loh > Aug 2, 2013 10:20 PM | Report Abuse i am sorry newbiestock for disturbing u. u are a professional. funny how u can twist ur words ah? anyone and read what u right ler
p.s. and your English is so bad like Mr "final ultimate" ler...... hahahahahaha
Posted by newbiestock > Aug 2, 2013 10:40 PM | Report Abuse Posted by KC Loh > Aug 2, 2013 10:20 PM | Report Abuse u are right newbiestock. hlind is a very good stock. and MFLOUR is useless.
I must be the fastest typist in this forum or someone is the dumbest! LoL
Lets toss a coin and decide! Fine by your own modus operandi as in your research, donkey Dave? Hahahaha
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
tonylim
4,796 posts
Posted by tonylim > 2013-08-01 18:23 | Report Abuse
Bastards... having read from half of page 2, I laughed so loud till end up tears in my eyes.
Some people are just pathetic and spend time posting crabs.