Kakaka another failure.....critics it seems must have numbers to back....what about your silly statement on avg up and down.....everyday I read you nonsense I get pissed off. What abt me? This is a public forum for this counter. Do us a favor...write in your own. I have to protect my capital from stupid and silly comment made.
Can I say something without being whacked ? (Please ? Ms or Mr Sensitive Doodsie ?)
As a blogger, I can track the number of people who read my articles.
For GOB Part 7 whereby I visited Damen construction site, there are 4,336 readers
The GOB story currently known to the public is mostly the Bandar Cassia part, which was made popular by RHB analyst.
As for the Damen story, there are only 4337 people know ((4336 are i3 member, the other one is my younger brother)
What it means is that apart from this 4337 persons, the rest of Malaysia is treating GOB as a long term story, whereby Bandar Cassia will deliver super value IN THE DISTANT FUTURE
But they didn't know about the Damen story (RHB never mentioned Damen in such details)
That is why they have a tendency to sell when price goes up to 120 or 110 or 1.00. For them, GOB is something of the future, not now
But as one of the 4337, I am guessing that GOB is closed to locking in 100 mil plus profit next year, so my attitude towards it is different
In other words, there is an asymmetry of info out there, and i3 members happen to be on the better informed side
Do you want to follow your own previllege info or you want to follow someone less well informed then you ?
From an objective point of view, I was considering buying this stock, however, after completing my technical analysis on this stock, plus taking the current market into consideration, I don't see anything positive to make me want to purchase.If I held,I would sell.
Certain people attacked me saying that my model for next years earnings as set out in Part 8 is wrong (unfortunately they are not able to propose another better way to calculate, so it smell like sabotage and playing politics)
But that is missing the point.
The point is that I could be wrong by a huge margin and it doesn't matter. Maybe I am wildly wrong for my 150mil net profit projection ? Maybe the actual profit from damen next year is only 30 mil ? But even if that is the case, GOB profit will still be growing from the current 30 mil to 60 mil
And the PE drops to 4 times as a result of that (250 mil market cap divided by 60 mil profit)
With such a big margin of safety, why am I not buying more ? It is as simple as that
daitoryu. u maybe right. its your risk attitude. the reason u don't see anything positive is bcos mkt is very bearish. like everyone else, u r affected by the mkt mood and doesn't not look into the unique feature of a particular stocks. if you had bought ecoworld today at 4.40 or even 4.50, would u still think the same? and what would those who had sold at 4.40 and 4.50 feel? a stock mkt need both types of ppls bullish vs bearish to function.
if i may add to Icon8888's comment, post rights issue, GOB is literally debt free. GOB can literally finance the entire Bandar Cassia's project with its operating cash flow. This is because the cost per square feet of land at Batu Kawan is at about RM5/- (and fully paid for) and a 22 x 70 square foot house is selling at RM450K (minimum price). Do the maths. Batu Kawan project will generate the free cash flow for GOB to fund its future expansion of their landbank. The excess cash will have to go somewhere. Furthermore, I don't think GOB will indulge in distributing much dividend to their shareholders (if we analyse past dividend trend for both GOB and Malton).
@ icon8888, why GOB wants to buy the house ware business? If i remember correctly, James70 was mentioning this fits into their retail strategy at Da Men..but i am not sure how....???
@ OptimusX, not really bearish but more of a regret.... regret that i lost the opportunity to buy more (alot more...) at RM0.98 compared to RM1.11 and this happen within the span of a few hours....
kancs. b a man, more so a trader or investor. don't ever think u can buy at the bottom or sell at the top, that's a fools game.
that mindset is keeping everyone from taking good opportunities or exiting from a bad trade.
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Posted by pro_trader > 2014-05-02 11:53 | Report Abuse
well said Doodsie !