This guy stay near the bus main station. Everyday he saw those hardworking drivers. So he decided to accumulate. Through years, he slowly accumulate till jade billionaire. Now he retire happily. As he collect big fat dividend yearly. So more conviction to hold continuously. Also reason is low interest environment. His logic simple. He said he put fixed deposit also so little, hard to fight inflation. So he decided buy stocks that give higher dividend
The China Oil guy is a oil rig workers, he is a trained engineers and he work offshore and invested since the 70s. Both of them have similiar story and logic..hahaha..
In Malaysia, you can buy plantation and do this..I hold KMLoong for almost 10 years liao. my average cost is 2.20. One of the most wise investment I did when I first started investing. lolz..
Yes....Hengyuan & Petron are 2 most undervalue stock around loh....!! With the implementation of weekly petrol price pricing instead of monthly pricing, the risk of inventory losses & gain volatility reduced by 75%.....thus operations earnings more stable loh....!!
Valuation of Hengyuan and Petron will close up....with Pet Dag soon loh.....!! That means they will command a higher PE rating loh....!!
It has been a terrible 2 years plus for the oil and gas sector. I called a rebound in oil and gas in March 2016, the rebound was from 35 USD per barrel crude oil to 54 USD per barrel today. Following OPEC cut, many counters have jump. PetronM clearly is beneficiary as well. Recent results is outstanding. A simplistic valuation at a conservative multiple of 10x would value PetronM close to RM8.80 despite the lumpy earnings. Some are even calling it at 15x multiple attaching a premium by comparing to PetDag valuing it at Rm11+. As a result, PetronM limit up the day before from RM4.63 to RM 6.01. It continued on the next day all the way to RM6.66 but faced profit taking and closed at RM6.09. In this case, the market was mixed.
My view : Reading the QR on PetronM, it was clear their refining margin improve substantially following the rebound in oil price especially in the last Q. Furthermore, due to the outstanding results, PetronM declared 22 sens dividend to reward shareholders which is a positive move. At current price of RM 6.09, the DY is 3.6%. The valuation wise, it is trading at only around 7x PER excluding all dividends. Based on such metrics, many jump on the bandwagon and pushed up the price significantly. Some chase high at RM6+ as they believe PetronM is still cheap. Of course, those who sold off / profit take believe it has went up too fast. I neither consider PetronM overbought or oversold but an in between where the market forces will determine its value based on the majority expectation. Those who dislike lumpy earnings and believe the coming Q might be subdued will not invest further in this counter. Those bullish will aim for at least RM8+ going into the next Q or at least to ex-dividend date.
After Kesm, ekovest. This shares arouse my sense. I guess this stock can be another doubling stock, wonder if profit can be stable or not. My biggest concerns is the price war.
Anyway. My take is if shares circulating outside is little. Once good results continue to kick in, mkt will re rate it, giving higher pe, higher earning expectation etc.
if you think you have bought a good company, don't get worried just because the price goes down, similarly don't get overexcited when price goes up. with good companies, time is your best friend as it will reveal more and more good stuffs over time
confirmed Petron is undervalue. Raider collected some Prtron loh.....!! Also don miss out on Hengyuan....the PE of 3.5x too tempting mah...!! Btw Hengyuam sell to Shell marketing who own 900 petrol stations loh..!! Remember KESM previously same situation loh...!!
Both Petron And Hengyuan raider value above Rm 9.00 loh...!! The improvement in RM recently good for Petrol business of Petron and Hengyuan loh.!!
The wkly pricing compare with monthly pricing....reduce volatility by 75%...thus make earnings more manageable & predictable...potential rerating so must buy mah...!!
It is better to look at Petronm earning on yearly basis due to fluaction of oil price, refinery margin & USD exchange rate. It is more stable in a way, if u look at FY 2015 & FY 2016 on the yearly basis, it is quite stable in term of earning, gross margin & cash flow.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
paperplane2016
21,650 posts
Posted by paperplane2016 > 2017-03-28 21:17 | Report Abuse
This guy stay near the bus main station. Everyday he saw those hardworking drivers. So he decided to accumulate. Through years, he slowly accumulate till jade billionaire. Now he retire happily. As he collect big fat dividend yearly. So more conviction to hold continuously. Also reason is low interest environment. His logic simple. He said he put fixed deposit also so little, hard to fight inflation. So he decided buy stocks that give higher dividend