The property sector to remains weak during the first half of the year, according to Knight Frank Malaysia. I doubt that L&G is going anywhere in the next six months
We expect an imminent turnaround, projecting its core earnings to grow exponentially at a CAGR of 226% over FY18-20F due to its small base. The redevelopment of its 36-acre Sri Damansara clubhouse land is set to fetch lucrative returns given its low land cost at RM2.40psf which is only a tiny fraction of its market price of >RM300psf. This RM1bn transit-oriented development with close proximity to MRT Line 2 could be launched by end-CY18.
Valuation:
Initiate with BUY and RM0.28 TP, based on a 65% discount to our fully-diluted RNAV. It is trading at an unjustifiably steep discount of 73% to its RNAV, giving a decent dividend yield of 4.5%. With a net cash position of RM230m representing ~35% of its market cap, L&G is set to unlock its deep land value via more launches.
After an absence of more than a year since its last launch of Astoria phase 1, L&G is set to launch the second phase of Damansara Foresta called Damansara Seresta (RM480m GDV) and also its first township development in recent years with Sena Parc phase 1 (RM230m GDV) in Senawang where the former Tuanku Jaafar Golf and Country Club is located. A strong sales performance from both projects could help deliver impressive earnings growth given its small earnings base.
Maintain Buy:
We reiterate our BUY recommendation with a TP of RM0.28, based on a 65% discount to our RNAV. It is trading at an unjustifiably steep discount of 73% to its RNAV, thus giving a decent dividend yield of 4.5%. With a net cash position of RM218m (representing ~35% of its market cap), L&G is set to unlock its deep land value via more launches.
As property owners, majority of you should know that property developers can only carry out progressive claim. Property development usually takes an average between 18 and 24 mths to complete a project. The initial 6 to 12 mths progressive claim is nothing more than 35% of the total selling price of the property. How does one expects to see the a handsome profit reflected on the quarterly p&l report within a short period of time based on the fact above? Furthermore, property market is in a sludge. That will makes matter worst.
Bottomline, in my opinion, L&G share price will not see the light of day before the end of the year despite having healthy sales. Not only the price will not appreciates, but it will continue to falls due to poor market sentiment, no thanks to the US who is making everyone lifes a living hell by going against China on trade issue.
Saw a lot of their Astoria and Sena Parc advertisement on Facebook. Dropped by at their sales gallery in Senawang last weekend. Quite encouraging with 45% sales already despite such challenging economy. Maybe sales will increase next month once 6% GST no more. Gonna add more shares on Wednesday since it has dropped a bit.
Super undervalued based on NTA. And I got 8% dividend this time. So happy. Let's hope the 0% GST will help improve property market sentiment. Further sales profit from Astoria and Sena Parc will be included in the next quarter reports.
Cash rich company with RM385 million and very little debt. D/E only 0.16. As long as can continue pay me dividends, I am glad to park my savings with L&G giving me 8% - 10% dividends than only 3% FD in the bank. One day when it's property market boom, this stock price will surely hit the roof.
RE : Jeffreyteck NA per share dropped so much. Profit almost equal to revenue?
NOTICED YOUR OBSERVATION ON ITS FULL YEAR PROFITS REPORT HENCE WENT TO CHECK ON ITS P&L AC AS REPORTED YESTERDAY AND FOUND THAT ITS PROFITS HAD BEEN INFLATED BY 2 EXCEPTIONAL ITEMS TOTALLING RM78.2M. (RE :- “ A9. Profit Before Taxation The following amounts have been included in arriving at profit before taxation: Gain on disposal of fixed assets 34,811 Write back of provision for cost to complete 43,390 “ )
DOES IT MEAN THAT WITHOUT THESE 2 EXCEPTIONAL INCOMES L&G WOULD HAD ACTUALLY INCURRED A TRADING LOSS FOR THE YEAR? (DUE TO WEAK PROPERTY MARKET)
TQ Janet for taking the efforts to find out more. Despite quite an attractive dividends, if it actually incurred operating loss, will think whether to reenter. Good luck everyone.
GOOD COUNTER TO CONSIDER , i bought while is 0.225 , now 0.18 , very cheap , awaiting the gain in years to come , i calculate about three years time , can triple current price , is my expectation .
The Board of Directors of Land & General Berhad ("L&G") is pleased to announce the recommendation of a single-tier final dividend of 1.5 sen in respect of the financial year ended 31 March 2018.
The entitlement date and payment date will be announced at a later date.
The aforesaid final dividend is subject to the approval of the shareholders at the forthcoming 55th Annual General Meeting of L&G.
At current price, this translate into 7.9% dividend yield. I can see that the buy rate is high, probably some accumulating the stock. After election, there are signs that home buyers interest is picking up, based on observations at sales gallery.
As per previous records, the final dividend of 1.5 sen, if approved, will be likely be paid by this October ie. in less than 5 months' time. On an annualised basis based on its current price of 19 sen, it means an effective dividend yield of around 19% !
Post a Comment
People who like this
New Topic
You should check in on some of those fields below.
Title
Category
Comment
Confirmation
Click Confirm to delete this Forum Thread and all the associated comments.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
YouBuyIBuy
795 posts
Posted by YouBuyIBuy > 2018-04-18 16:55 | Report Abuse
muii already up, next is L&G !! ready