KUALA LUMPUR (July 15): Maybank Investment Bank (IB) said it's the “last calls for bets” in a note on Monday for Genting Bhd (KL:GENTING), whose sum-of-parts (SOP)-based target price (TP) may be raised to RM9.35, if its 20%-owned TauRx Pharmaceuticals ends up getting valued at US$15 billion (RM70.11 billion).
The research house maintained its 'buy' rating for Genting, with an unchanged TP of RM5.84, despite the group's 'lacklustre' share price. At the time of writing on Monday, Genting shares had fallen two sen or 0.4% to RM4.56, valuing the group at RM17.7 billion.
Despite Maybank IB’s longrunning optimism, investors remained cautious on the prospects of TauRx especially after US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) in March delayed its decision on Eli Lilly’s Alzheimer’s drug experimental treatment for early Alzheimer's disease. The delay by the FDA was the second after the regulator declined to grant accelerated approval for the medicine a year ago. Requests for "Fast Track" designation are made by drug companies, and the US FDA will review and decide on the request "based on whether the drug fills an unmet medical need in a serious condition", according to the regulator's website.
Genting's share price has eased 2% year-to-date, while the FBM KLCI has appreciated 11%.
Maybank believes this is unfounded, considering that Genting’s earnings have been recovering well to near pre-Covid levels, driven by the return of visitors to both 49%-owned Resorts World Genting and 53%-owned Resorts World Sentosa.
The house said Genting's share price weakness was the result of foreign selling, due to a weaker ringgit against the US dollar. It opined that the foreign selling is likely to taper.
“We notice that there is a strong correlation between Genting's discount to SOP/share and the MYR/USD. “Our foreign exchange research team forecasts the USD/MYR to recover to 4.600 by end-2024, and 4.500 by mid-2025, from 4.718 as at June 30.
“We expect this to narrow Genting's valuation discount to SOP/share to 60% (as per the level in the financial year ended Dec 31, 2022), from 65% currently,” the house added.
On July 1, TauRx announced its submission of the UK marketing authorisation application for an experimental drug, hydromethylthionine mesylate (HMTM), for the treatment of mild cognitive impairment and mild to moderate stages of Alzheimer’s.
If HMTM is approved by year end, the research house expects the pharmaceutical company to be valued up to US$15 billion, achieving Maybank’s forecast TP for Genting.
@AngTayKor, I know usually all the IB's valuation are BS, but is the USD15B valuation for Taurx fair? Do you know what's the OTC price/valuation for Taurx at the moment? :)
After UK approval usd15b valuation confirm way to high la. If UK + EU + China CAs secured (global mkt ex-usa), maybe usd15b can. Maybank analyst siow kia, not too long ago put taurx at usd1b value. Need to see if UK giving us Full Approval or Conditional Approval.
A lot of ppl think Genting is only Gaming But real investors know Genting is much more than that. Genting got Property, Plantations, Power and Healthcare too..
Last round was rights/ warrant exercise at usd1.5b but its for the very hardcore brave shareholders like ATK to swop in n bet showhand buy very big. Taurx still has reasonably good cash level with no cash burning clinical trials anytime soon. I think next fund raising will be after securing as many CAs as possible to bring up value first, then do a pre-ipo fund raising.
I'm currently holding shares purchased at MYR 4.60. I'm considering my options and was hoping to get some insights from experienced KLSE investors. Any thoughts on factors I should consider when making my decision to hold or sell?
Today may be a one day show because Genting Singapore is not moving together, Maybank IB trap again? real breakout is expected in early August when Genting Singapore QR release.
Speakup bought Cmsb rm1, Myeg 80sen. Today your chance to buy Genting cheaper than speakup! Don't wait until Genting rm6 then see speakup bought so cheap ya
Maybank is the biggest seller and not buyer. Same style same announcement everytime when someone has push the price to lowest and accumulate at lowest price then asking Maybank to announce good news and sell at highest price. So many times.
just buy and hold ... 8.00 is coming in 24 mths once US rates down, and O&G business propels the group higher. remember, SG business is super solid, just a bump now...soon, Gent SG will perform better once the overhang of new investment is over.
unlike some sifus who like to promote kuat kuat after their share already shoot up 30% 50% 100%, speakup is different. speakup let u all buy Genting cheaper than speakup entry!
speakup sitting on paper loss in Genting. tapi tapa, speakup last time bought Cimb rm3.80 then it drop to rm3! a Massive 21% paper loss in Cimb! but look where Cimb is now. Genting will be same.
Foreign fund nett buying Day 12 yesterday +327M, KLCI short term target 1630 reached. Any successful breakout today will bring KLCI towards 1680! Is Genting turn this round? Watch 4.85
“We understand that TauRx ought to receive a reply by year end.
“Based on our estimates, if HMTM is approved and TauRx is valued at US$15bil, our SOP-based target price (TP) for Genting could be raised to RM9.35,” it noted.
In light of more favourable conditions, Maybank IB Research said it will maintain its “buy” call on Genting with a RM5.84 TP.
Here we go again! It is same IB from Maybank periodic pushing Gentings case. It is perennial, some family member is selling! Also don’t keep Blaming foreign funds, selling, look at their holdings no significant change in holdings from What I can see. I still think worth waiting until year end. One may see something happening during 4th qtr!
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
bullrun168
493 posts
Posted by bullrun168 > 2024-07-15 11:50 | Report Abuse
Walaoeh, what happend ?
Super damn hot man Genting today !
Now Genting was traded at @RM4.61 (+0.03) (+0.7 %)
Heng ah, Ong ah, Huat ah !