@auditorandconsultant. Do you think 人们的健康醒悟 will keep them from stop smoking? They just switch from smoke to vape or even certain people are smoking and vaping at the same time... Similar action, blowing 😆
Hi guys, the Edge got mentioned the market share of Vape industry in second half of 2023? As long as BAT gaining market share in Vape, coming quarter profit should be higher than previous quarter…
although 15 cents div not high, but if you get 15 cents for 4 times in a year, there will be 60 cents, that mean will get 6.6% div for share price of RM9.00
-----------quote ------------ Stock: [BAT]: BRITISH AMERICAN TOBACCO (M)
2 months ago | Report Abuse
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Stock: [BAT]: BRITISH AMERICAN TOBACCO (M)
1 month ago | Report Abuse
If based on forward eps 85 x 10 pe , the fair value will be rm 8.50 , today closing 9.75, good luck guys........ ----------- unquote --------- Today closing 9.15 !!! --------- unquote --------- now closing 8.95 !!!
Assuming that high dividend yield stock is 8%. The basic formula to compute its stock price -> (Total dividend payout / dividend rate) * 100 Therefore, (0.63 / 8) * 100 = rm7.875 but unfortunately, BAT EPS continues to decline yearly and by more than 25% in the financial year 2023 so, expect further downsides.
Bat is selling its Indian subsidiary, so it goes to assume the others may be on the line. If Malaysia is also selling to a Goverment connected guy, the share here will change
EPS fall is slowing down, but still falling. - Peak EPS in 2015 at 312 sen. - 2 years later (2017), halved at 169 sen. - 3 years later (2020), halved again at 83 sen. My guess is 5 years later (2025), halved again at 40-45 sen. That would value the company at a P/E of 15 at around RM6-7.
As a single Vuse is roughly equal to a dozen cig packs, BAT revenue will still contract for many years to come, and with it, its EPS. Until its Revenues and EPS stabilizes (which can take many years) and turn around, this stock is not ripe for investing yet. This may only happen after 2030 or so ... wait for its next few annual reports.
Hey DividendGuy67, Aside from BAT...which I got out at 13$...Still very much uncertain about BAT going forward!? @May I know your thoughts about HLCapital...which is part of the HLeong group. Thank you very much...
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williamh
937 posts
Posted by williamh > 2024-01-31 10:55 | Report Abuse
Price vs yield