Posted by investor77 > 21 hours ago | Report Abuse
To be fair, OTB puts his reco based on facts and figures as can be seen by the results of other refiners like Reliance in India. Have been a long time subscriber and I find no wrong in him, no doubt lost a bit in HiapTek, MSC and PMBTech. Who can be 100% accurate all the time ? Crack spread is indeed high, and it can be true that HYuan and PetronM fall is due to some CWs maturing, force selling or Short Selling. Look at Hibiscus, eps of 15 cents for a Quarter Year, Net profit of 307 mil and PE of 6X !! His reco on AYS still hold as eps is 6 cents, and PE is only 2X!
so far not a single useful information shared here on why hengyuan earnings will not be good going forward to explain the reason why the price is depressed recently
keep talking about people, sifu, IB intention, technical analysis etc...all are pure speculation
to those who had done homework...be patient, ignore the noise which often comes when price seems volatile - a natural product of emotions lacking fundamental insights / assurance
citadel888 ialah naysayer. Berapa million awak sudah menang di KLSE ? Tak menang multi million, jangan cabar kita lah !! Tak ada winning records, jangan bad mouth.
i'm merely asking you to provide PnL evidence that you won millions from your trading strategies so it's also fair to me to believe what you say is right.
0.31 x 5 = 1.53 + 4.75 = 6.28 those people are betting the 5 day vwap will be above 6.28?
c22 isn't that bad, considering the strike value of 4.75, unless you think IB can press until below 4.75 -------------------------------------------------------------------- c22 premium still high, not worth.
Even as the price of crude oil continues to rise—raising the input costs for refiners—refined products prices have risen more, increasing the spread and beefing up the bottom line for refiners.
The crack spread is the difference between the price of crude oil and the price of refined products, which include gasoline, distillates, diesel, and jet fuel
Mr Sslee have quota example how gross refinery profit margin can be calaculated by taking one of the refiner product, gasoline as example as show below. Remark: Jet fuel profit margin is higher than gasoline The retail price of RON97 petrol will be higher by 37 sen at RM4.70 per litre. 1 barrel equal to 159 liter. Hence RON 97 is RM (4.70 x 159)= 747.30/ barrel Usd to MYR 4.40 Hence 1 barrel of RON97 is USD(747.30/4.40) USD 169.8 / barrel.
Crude brent oil USD 112.5/ barrel. Different RON 97 and Crude Brent oil is USD 57.3/ barrel.
These USD 57.3/barrel is gross profit margin, if take into operation cost, the profit margin will be USD 30/barrel = current crack spread
I know this stock is good that's why I am here. You aren't fair to me too. If you're marketing your strategies, I'll need some proofs to believe you really made millions from your trading strategies from other stocks. I know you can't post images here but you can upload them on your facebook page then paste the url here so I can have a look. I don't think this is too difficult to do for most of us here?
Here is latest petrol price for Malaysia, it Clearly show even crude oil have stabilize around USD110, but, a significant hike in petrol price is happening now, wider the profit margin for refiner
Very hard to explain the recent unusual price drop and wild swing within a day. Total shorts for HRC on 25/5 was only 134,500 share only with RSS, IDSS,PSSand PDT included. Short selling can not explain it. It was a coordinated attacks to bring price down, caused panic to traders and weak holders , diminishing buying interest, caused margin calls and forced selling and that spiraling the price down . The sharks will have no more room to manipulate when margin trades are squared off and retailers are not giving in. I think that day is near the corner.
Good news!! China boss just told me that you all should quickly collect cheap now!!! 6.10~6.15 is the last stage of selling pressure!!! Afternoon it will turn green strongly!!!
RON97 is RM4.70, so drink beer cheaper. imagine HEIM & CARLSBG can trade at RM20+, HY will be at RM20+ too ? --------------------- "The big money is not in the buying and the selling, but in the waiting." - Charlie Munger
i am your sifu today we have to kaobehkaobu here starting now don't ever stop tomorrow sure go up don't get into thinking i am joking i'm talking seriously
If not wrong Refining capacity of HYuan is 2x PetronM. Capacity is 160,000 barrel per month if not wrong. As calculated above, Nett crack spread is USD 30/ x 4.4 =RM 132/ barrel x 160,000 x 12. Kindly correct if wrong !!
I just top up WC 25. Trading volume for HY is low- only 19931 compared to Tue and Wed. Not sure still got how many contra player remained. Buy or sell depend on what you believe. All adult and must be responsible for own behavior.
If not wrong Refining capacity of HYuan is 2x PetronM. Capacity is 160,000 barrel per month if not wrong. As calculated above, Nett crack spread is USD 30/ x 4.4 =RM 132/ barrel x 160,000 x 12. Kindly correct if wrong !!
------------------------------------------------------------- From HY website, licensed for 156K bpd capacity. Can produce up to 120K bpd.
CW is based on five day average price. If few day low already helpful to lower the settlement price. It will be too risky to keep five day low. Other player might take the golden opportunity to accumulate it.
TQ, Vinc3362. Wow, 150,000 barrels per day, x 30 / mth, x USD 30/ barrel will give a very good profit. 4.5 mil barrels/ mth x RM 130/ barrel =RM 580 mil / mth x 3 mths. Do correct if wrong. Enormous profit, yet price is down.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
DickyMe2
1,509 posts
Posted by DickyMe2 > 2022-05-26 11:32 |
Post removed.Why?