I alrdy give reason Jtiasa palm oil division will be its major earning contributor from Q42015 record PBT RM 19.66m to recent quarter result Q12016, PBT increase more than double to RM 42.65m, although revenue only increase less than 25%.
Therefore, with upcoming CPO price continue climb up significantly, Jtiasa palm oil division will be boosted even higher, to be double again!!??
For technical point of view, Jtiasa immediate support level is at RM 1.31, therefore, accumulate at stock around these region offer great margin of safety.
On the other hand, Jtiasa immediate resistance level is at RM 1.40.
Instead of chasing for Q-o-Q figures, why not look at the bigger picture Expected FFB production is >1mil mt Est Cost of Production per FFB = RM 300-400/mt Present Selling Price - RM 700+ depending on grade
So what would its plantation contribution look like for the next FY? To me, it is a no brainer. It is more than sufficient to offset its timber division loss.
Aside palm oil, Jtiasa Timber division will turnaround as log and plywood are export to earn USD, and USD have strengthen by more than 10% in these Q4, it will more than offset lower production volume and increase profit margin, recoup back these division profitability.
Levy windfall profit tax of 7.5% will be applicable on RM 182, the amount surplus above RM 3000 to be payable to fed gov. These additional windfall profit tax is additional on top of exiting sales tax ( 5% tax payable to Sarawak state gov), in cess ( RM13 per tonne of CPO to the Malaysia Palm Oil Board for subsidy) and 25% corporate income tax ( payable to fed gov).
I am wondering the reasons why CPO has risen so high yet all the plantation counters hardly budge!Who are the buyers?Investor who saw the bullish rise in CPO? Who are the sellers? Could it be those who knows something the other camp don't know?Just as we have witnessed the rise in the disparity of cold and hot rolled coiled ,yet steel counters hardly budged!All came down when the results came in below expectations!Like maybulk ,price hardly go up when dry baltic rate risen from 300 to more than 1,200? Better don't be overly confident.Overall,this market is super bearish!
Malaysia's exports fell 8.6% to RM69.2 billion in October from a year earlier, mainly on lower oil and gas-related sales. Weaker timber-based sales also contributed to the nation's export drop. In a statement today, the Statistics Department said liquified natural gas exports dropped 40.2%, crude oil sales declined 27.9%, while refined petroleum product transactions were 1.4% lower.
"Timber and timber-based products (exports) decreased RM240.8 million or 11.4%, from RM2.1 billion," the department said.
In September, the country's exports and imports fell 3% and 0.1% respectively, from a year earlier.
last 10mins of transaction time of yesterday and today, suddenly sell order increased few thousand lot..seem somebody unwilling to let jtiasa return to opened price, and trying to pushi down thr share price!
cpo already stable at 3000, jtiasa should go above 1.50, selling pressure much lower than last month, share price can move easily. May see new high soon.
ffb drop by 17% over preceding month as compare to 23% drop in corresponding period of 2015. LOG increase by 9% over preceding month as comapre to 20% increase in corresponding period in 2015. In short,the result is still within expectation
Ya, let people who lazy to do homework sell and let me collect cheap. They don't realise FFB & CPO average prices are so high compared to last year that JTIASA actually making much more profit than last year.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
hng33
20,528 posts
Posted by hng33 > 2016-12-05 17:10 | Report Abuse
Hunter2016
I alrdy give reason Jtiasa palm oil division will be its major earning contributor from Q42015 record PBT RM 19.66m to recent quarter result Q12016, PBT increase more than double to RM 42.65m, although revenue only increase less than 25%.
Therefore, with upcoming CPO price continue climb up significantly, Jtiasa palm oil division will be boosted even higher, to be double again!!??