SilTerra's new LTA was signed with Pacific Biosciences (Nasdaq listed).
Agreement entails a 4 year take or pay supply contract of for MEMS advanced biosciences chips IP by SilTerra, at an average ASP of 3x current chip prices due to it being specialty chips
SilTerra's new LTA was signed with Pacific Biosciences (Nasdaq listed).
Agreement entails a 4 year take or pay supply contract of for MEMS advanced biosciences chips IP by SilTerra, at an average ASP of 3x current chip prices due to it being specialty chips
At current valuation, investors are basically pricing in Silterra to be worth zero to DNeX, which is an impossible scenario.
Let's assess what are the outcomes of the arbitration, and its impact to DNeX:
If arbitration favours DNeX:
If the arbitration favours DNeX, DNeX would retain 60% direct interest in Silterra, and CGP would retain 40%.
Next question would be would CGP sell out?
If CGP sells out - Other chip majors such as Foxconn (already have a direct interest in DNeX and working to build a 12 inch fab with DNeX) would highly likely acquire this 40% stake. This would further leverage DNeX's postion in the EV industry and boost Silterra's value
If CGP does not sell out - then Business As Usual.
If arbitration favours CGP:
DNeX will be left with 40% stake in Silterra.
Let's say DNeX sells out its 40% stake, this would equal to a potential proceed of RM2.4bil to DNeX, being equity value of RM6bil x 40% = RM2.4bil.
RM2.4bil, would be RM0.76 per share, being RM2.4bil / 3.16bil shares (Just for Silterra portion, not including DNeX's other business that are worth around RM0.47 per share, taking a brokerage house's estimates)
In no scenario would DNeX value just be RM0.55 (pricing in 0 value from Silterra), as the worst case would be DNeX owning 40%, instead of 0%.
All sounds good. However I’m still sceptical. If DNex is that good as many people says including investment bankers then why are institutional investors not biting it? Huge cash balances, sustainable business, strong growth trajectory etc etc but still dropping 1 sen per day past days and trading below NTA of 62 sen. Something we don’t know?
Market don’t like uncertainties. It’s to the best interest of DNex and its China partner in SilTerra to give clarity and assurances on SilTerra moving forward. Have to expedite a win-win solution ASAP
Haha Argentina are through to their 5th World Cup semi-final. They went ahead to win the World Cup in the previous 4.. Will Messi and his team succeed in 2022?
Based on Mabel's 3 Turnaround companies Dnex Messi is the 1st to succeed. Thomas Mueller SE was sent home to complete their regulation plan while Ronaldo SD will be playing tonight with our Morocco Brothers..
Based on yesterday's KLCI closing, Ronaldo and Thomas Mueller scored the most goals in Mabel Energy..
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
BobAxelrod
8,255 posts
Posted by BobAxelrod > 2022-12-07 18:33 |
Post removed.Why?