In first quarter 2015, there were about 162 million new shares of par value RM0.50 due to conversion of warrants and the dividend reinvestment plan. In addition, 5 million new shares from warrant conversion will be recognized this quarter. This will create share overhang since warrants, I believe were acquired at low price were converted and sold in the market. So does the DRP which issued at RM1.57. The selling of shares will occur for quite some time, in which current weak market does not offer any help. But I believe the share price will rebound again.
On the positive side, huge number of warrants have been converted ahead of expiry date next year, which reduced the the dilution effect after this. Perhaps new warrant will be issued next year? Based on annual report, the number of funds holding the shares are increasing, which includes Etiqa Insurans, Public Mutual, to name a few. Etiqa is the biggest warrant holder, which I believe had converted into ordinary shares. Mind you that their market capitalization is RM 1.7 billion, which comparable to Tropicana, Matrix, WCT,etc, which enables fund to invest into KSL shares.
Their investment properties (KSL Mall, KSL Resort, Giant Muar & Giant Nuar Bestari) were valued at RM589 million, which were carried at book value. Based on Kenanga, the market rate for these investment property asset is valued at RM2.05 billion. KSL may need to develop few more assets before going for REIT. That will be also be a good catalyst in long term.
they may need to keep the price range in between 1.75 to 1.8 for another week to get cheap dividend price conversion at 1.6...expect the price only starts to move after AGM 23 June or 2 days before that...keep an eye on it.
Even if ALL the warrants are converted to mother shares, the dilution will only be 4%. DY will be 7.6%. PE will be 5.2. NTA at book value will be RM2. Therefore the current share price of 1.77 at time of writing is still too low. This is nothing but the loss of confidence due to the raids by the wolves/KSL's insiders and the woefully suspicious incompetence of KSL's management in defending its own share price! BAH!
i bought more and more, good news posted time to time with good fundamentals.. agm/meeting after one and another.. but... not sidelines but down.... hm... hope im still optimistic enough for next few more months.. hope not touching 1.60
The one thing to watch is whether KSL's management will competently support the price and bring back confidence in its stock. KSL has all the incentives for doing so (see my earlier post). If not its share price will continue to be depressed until the property market turns the corner. And even then, it will not be able to move to its fair value.
see chart patterns.. i think if there is, it will... many systems out there using technical analysis to buy or sell, outside ppl dont know much internal info leh
I would say buy and keep for at least 1 year. The wolves cannot hold that long. Do not sell in a sell-down. The price now is well undervaluing the stock!
last Dividend conversion at 1.57 and after announcement made on 7 Jan, price move from 1.75 level to 2.15 before ex date on 27 Jan, will it move up this time the same trend?
eh, anyone have the free buffet voucher? i didnt noticed it was clipped at the end of the annual report2014.. behind the CD.. but how it was distribute? per person 1 only? :)
In the last Q4 result, KSL highlight it will pay final dividend 5 sen, but these propose 5 sen dividend is NOT in the upcoming AGM agenda to seek shareholder approval.
In addition, KSL also highlight that the 5 sen final dividend will be fall under share reinvestment scheme, therefore, according to procedure, KSL must first submit to bursa to seek approval first for listing new share under share reinvestment and must wait at least 3 week allowing bursa to approve, then only KSL can fixes price which is < 10% based on 5 day weight average share price and declare the ex and entitlement day afterwards. Nonetheless, so far, there is no news in relate to KSL to submit new share listing under share reinvest scheme to bursa yet.....implying, these final dividend 5 sen may take even longer time before it can officially declare.
You only can estimate time for dividend to declare if KSL submit application to bursa for new share listing arising from pending dividend reinvestment scheme. To secure bursa approval, it normally take another 3 week.
road block t 1.73 onwards, looks like control to get cheap price conversion of DRP in play, they will surely pay the dividend, just a matter of waiting time. MY personal view is still a buy call at this level. Trade at your own risks!!
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
azlan88
509 posts
Posted by azlan88 > 2015-06-09 23:10 | Report Abuse
In first quarter 2015, there were about 162 million new shares of par value RM0.50 due to conversion of warrants and the dividend reinvestment plan. In addition, 5 million new shares from warrant conversion will be recognized this quarter. This will create share overhang since warrants, I believe were acquired at low price were converted and sold in the market. So does the DRP which issued at RM1.57. The selling of shares will occur for quite some time, in which current weak market does not offer any help. But I believe the share price will rebound again.
On the positive side, huge number of warrants have been converted ahead of expiry date next year, which reduced the the dilution effect after this. Perhaps new warrant will be issued next year? Based on annual report, the number of funds holding the shares are increasing, which includes Etiqa Insurans, Public Mutual, to name a few. Etiqa is the biggest warrant holder, which I believe had converted into ordinary shares. Mind you that their market capitalization is RM 1.7 billion, which comparable to Tropicana, Matrix, WCT,etc, which enables fund to invest into KSL shares.
Their investment properties (KSL Mall, KSL Resort, Giant Muar & Giant Nuar Bestari) were valued at RM589 million, which were carried at book value. Based on Kenanga, the market rate for these investment property asset is valued at RM2.05 billion. KSL may need to develop few more assets before going for REIT. That will be also be a good catalyst in long term.