I don't know why, based on all your points. We should sell PBA and come back 12 weeks later..... That's why I said cut loss. Buy when nearing the QR 1 for 2024....
Another weird thing in this forum is someone trapped high in this stock still claiming that he is able to offer his "words of wisdom." Hold for another month, six months, one year or three years? 🤣
Glad to learn that Voyager Assets Limited is one of PBA's top shareholders.
Voyager Assets Ltd is an investment vehicle of savvy value investor Mark Chang, the founder of JobStreet.
Based on PBA's latest annual reports, Voyager Assets have been increasing its stake in PBA year by year.
AR 2020: 1,359,100 AR 2021: 2,099,100 AR 2022: 3,219,600
Voyager Assets is also a top 10 shareholder of VITROX with 10.16 mil shares.
Mark Chang is one of the most iconic entrepreneurs in Asia. He is the founder of JobStreet.com, which he led to become the largest online employment firm in Southeast Asia, and which was eventually acquired by SEEK in 2014 for US$582 million.
the strategies are quite rigorous for the regular-Joe. As a matter of fact, they are mostly successfully carried out by pros who have had a great deal of skill set/knowledge to pull such trades off.
On Sunday (17.3.2024), water consumption in Penang was estimated to have reached a high of 927 million litres per day (MLD) as compared to the daily average of 877 MLD recorded in 2023.
This represents a sudden 50 MLD surge in water consumption year-on-year.
The state of Penang, nestled along the northwest coast of Peninsular Malaysia, needs no introduction in the global electronics manufacturing sector. Despite its diminutive stature with just over 1,000 square kilometers of land area and a 1.8 million-strong population, Penang commanded an estimated 5% of global semiconductor exports in 2019, according to data compiled from the Department of Statistics Malaysia (DOSM) and UN Comtrade.
Today, Penang houses more than 350 MNCs that are supported by over 3,000 manufacturing-related SMEs. As Penang flourished as a vibrant, regional E&E manufacturing hub, the local talent pool steadily accumulated a wealth of business intelligence and technical experience, enabling the robust supply chain to evolve in tandem with technology megatrends. This, in turn, enabled the State to focus on pursuing investments that have propelled the industry up the value chain, away from its beginnings as a low-cost manufacturing hub. Consequently, Penang has seen a proliferation of upstream technology-related investments in high value-added functions in recent years, ranging from research and development (R&D), design and knowledge-based solutions, and downstream advanced manufacturing and testing to global business service (GBS) and Centre of Excellence (CoE) activities.
Penang’s growing significance in the global E&E value chain is demonstrated by its steady and resilient export performance in recent years. From 2014 to 2019, the State’s E&E exports grew at a compounded annual rate (CAGR) of 12% to reach RM210 billion (US$51 billion). It has emerged as a hub for professional, scientific and controlling instruments (including medical technology), with exports of these products growing at a 5-year CAGR of 15% to reach RM23 billion (US$6 billion) in 2019.
E&E products, alongside professional, scientific and controlling instruments, collectively contributed between 77% and 82% of Penang’s total annual exports since 2014, and accounted for 50% of Malaysia’s exports in these two segments during the period.
More impressively, despite the disruptions from the COVID-19 pandemic, Penang’s total exports continued to rise in 2020, growing 7% year-on-year to RM310 billion (US$75 billion), and a further 14% year-on-year in January and February 2021, driven by strong global demand for semiconductors.
Penang consumer’s water bill, which he said used to be RM7.70 at every bill cycle has now gone up to RM17.36 under the new rates with the same water usage
For a household that used to pay around RM47 every bi-monthly, the bill went up to RM126 under the new rates for around the same water usage
Under the new rates, the first 20 cubic meters is at 62 sen (up 182 per cent from 22 sen), from 20 cubic metres to 35 cubic metres the rate is at RM1.17 (up 154 per cent from 46 sen) and for the third band of more than 35 cubic metres, the rate is RM2.07 (up 204 per cent from 68 sen).
According to feedback, the water charges of many families have increased as much as 100% and some even claim to be more than 150 %
Based on last Q result, PBA water revenue is RM 94.8m, therefore, estimate PBA future water revenue will surge at least 1 fold higher and most of revenue hike translate direct to bottomline after deduct tax
Water may be a commodity that you don't think about when it comes out of the tap, but water is essential to life.
Water is a key input in everything from food and beverages to the cleaning of semiconductor wafers and hydraulic fracturing (fracking). The sourcing, purification, and distribution of water is big business around the world, and the threat of climate change makes that more true now than ever.
And Malaysia got lots of water. Hmm this year beginning penang not so much.. South side got more regular rain drops , but maybe because it's El Nino . however second half of the year should recover ,already storm is returning
Penang also got a population boom , lots of China and Hong Konger decided to migrate or call Penang the second home, so water usage is sure higher. But Penang mater management sure need to improve as well.
Penang's water consumption had reached 927 million liters per day (MLD) on Sunday (March 17) compared to last year's average total of 877 MLD. “This shows an increase as high as 50 MLD from year to year.
Based on PBA latest annual report, PBA bear subsidy RM 115.2m for Penang domestic water user. Management expect to decrease these subsidy significantly following 1 Feb water traffic hike.
There are total 593,255 domestic account and 461,350 consume < 35m3, while balance 131,905 consume > 35m3 Based on new water traffic, 1. domestic account water consumption < 35m3 charge 86sen, is 50sen hike per m3 Water bill increase 50sen x 35m3 = hike RM 17.5/account Total domestic account 461,350 x RM 17.5 = RM 8.07 million/month
2. domestic account water consumption > 35m3 charge RM 2.07, is RM 1.39 hike per m3 Water bill increase 50sen x first 35m3 = hike RM 17.5/account Water bill increase RM 1.39 x (35m3 - 45m3)= hike RM 13.9/account Total domestic account 131,905 x (RM 17.6 + RM 13.9) = RM 4.15 million/month
In total water traffic hike impact RM 8.07 + RM 4.15 = RM 12.22 million per month or Quarterly hike RM 36.7 million or Hike RM 146.8m pa
Remark: To arrive above calculation, 1. assumption is make for maximum consumption up to 35m3 for those consume categori <35m3, by assume all consume 35m3 2. assumption is made for minimum consumption above 35m3 for those consume categori > 35m3 by assume all consume additional 10m3 3. assumption is made to exclude domestic bulk meter whom stay in high rise apartment in which bulk meter water traffic hike flat rate at 35sen m3 have increase significantly to charge flat rate RM 1.73 m3 (its massive hike RM 1.38 per m3)
These additional RM 146.8 m pa due to domestic water traffic is to
1. Decrease water subsidy significantly 2. Opex - To cope higher operation cost such as pipe replacement 3. Capex - To fund expansion capacity on exiting water treatment capacity and to built new water treatment plant
Remark: The amount spend on Capex will NOT affect PBA profit margin, therefore, all water traffic hike will direct positive to bottom-line, increase profit margin directly. The profit earn then channel to fund capacity assets and built additional water treatment plant which will record as additional new assets to PBA.
Only amount spend on opex such as pipe replacement will affect PBA profit margin, the higher rate of old pipe replacement to new pipe translate directly to increase operation cost, therefore decrease profit margin from above water traffic hike
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Justaboylearning
98 posts
Posted by Justaboylearning > 2024-03-03 14:41 | Report Abuse
But people lose money in pba already . Which broke warrant buffet rules . So cut loss cut loss