Posted by DreamKshatriya > 2015-12-29 08:46 | Report Abuse

Muksibat? Apa mnatang itu ah? ...

Posted by duitKWSPkita > 2015-12-29 11:07 | Report Abuse

Tuan ABang AYAM TUA....

how are u???

Posted by necro > 2015-12-29 11:28 | Report Abuse

Halega berapa lu beli abam?

Posted by necro > 2016-01-03 19:51 | Report Abuse

PM Holdings Bhd's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

DCF (Earnings Based) = Earnings Per Share * {[(1+g1)/(1+d) + (1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2 + ... + (1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+ (1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10 * [(1+g2)/(1+d) + (1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2 + ... + (1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}
set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.12) = 0.9375
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.12) = 0.928571428571###



DCF (Earnings Based) = eps * {[x + x^2 + ... + x^10] + x^10 * [y + y^2 + ... + y^10]}
= eps * [x * (1-x^10) / (1-x) + x^10 * y * (1-y^10) / (1-y)]
= 0.05 * 10.7016
= RM0.54###




Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) = (DCF (Earnings Based) - Current Price) / DCF (Earnings Based)
= (0.53508 - 0.88) / 0.53508
= -64.46###

Posted by necro > 2016-01-03 19:53 | Report Abuse

DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d=12%

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1=5%
Growth Rate in the growth stage = average earnings growth rate in the past 10 years or 20%, whichever is less => For companies with Average Earnings Growth Rate in the past 10 years equals 0, => Growth Rate: 5%

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2=4%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1=10

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2=10

6. Earnings Per Share: eps=RM0.05.

Posted by necro > 2016-01-03 19:55 | Report Abuse

Graham Number is a concept based on Ben Graham's conservative valuation of companies.

NTPM Holdings Bhd's Graham Number for the fiscal year that ended in Apr. 2015 is calculated as

Graham Number
= SquareRoot of (22.5 * Tangible Book Value per Share * Earnings Per Share)
= SquareRoot of (22.5 * (Total Equity - Intangibles) * Net Income (Continuing Operations)) / Shares Outstanding
= SquareRoot of (22.5 * (360.325 - 21.038) * 42.642) / 1123.16
= 0.51
NTPM Holdings Bhd's Graham Number for the quarter that ended in Oct. 2015 is calculated as

Graham Number
= SquareRoot of (22.5 * Tangible Book Value per Share * Earnings Per Share)
= SquareRoot of (22.5 * (Total Equity - Intangibles) * Net Income (Continuing Operations)) / Shares Outstanding
= SquareRoot of (22.5 * (393.974 - 23.633) * 56.405) / 1123.155
= 0.61

Posted by necro > 2016-01-03 19:55 | Report Abuse

Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation. It is a very conservative way of valuing a stock.

Posted by necro > 2016-01-03 19:56 | Report Abuse

Ben Graham actually did not publish a formula like this. But he wrote in The Intelligent Investor (1948 version) regarding to the criteria for purchases:

“Current price should not be more than 15 times average earnings of the past three years”.

Current price should not be more than 1.5 times the book value last reported. However, a multiplier of earnings below 15 could justify a correspondingly higher multiplier of assets. As a rule of thumb we suggest that the product of the multiplier times the ratio of price to book value should not exceed 22.5. (This figure corresponds to 15 times earnings and 1.5 times book value. It would admit an issue selling at only 9 times earnings and 2.5 times asset value, etc.)”

Unlike valuation methods such as DCF or Discounted Earnings, the Graham number does not take growth into the valuation. Unlike the valuation methods based on book value alone, it takes into account the earnings power. Therefore, the Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation.

In general, the Graham number is a very conservative way of valuing a stock. It cannot be applied to companies with negative book values.

Posted by avatava > 2016-01-06 17:24 | Report Abuse

resistance 875 proving too strong? or is it poised to breakout at 880 tomorrow?

Posted by rikki > 2016-01-08 13:10 | Report Abuse

Technical Ideas - 8 Jan 2016 - NTPM (5066) 

http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/bursakakis/89408.jsp

Posted by boonchye85 > 2016-01-08 13:25 | Report Abuse

break all resistance... good

Posted by sharktank > 2016-01-08 14:46 | Report Abuse

crying in tear due to .....happiness..... : )...gives me tissues please.

Posted by Steve Jub > 2016-01-08 14:58 | Report Abuse

keep breaking up new high

Posted by Xiao Mi > 2016-01-08 15:00 | Report Abuse

what is the good news?

Posted by supergreat > 2016-01-08 15:01 | Report Abuse

very strong .will close high today

Posted by Steve Jub > 2016-01-08 15:36 | Report Abuse

testing 0.94

Posted by Steve Jub > 2016-01-08 15:55 | Report Abuse

0.945 habis eating

Posted by Steve Jub > 2016-01-08 15:57 | Report Abuse

huge block 0.95. but if can break it, break loose hehe

Posted by Steve Jub > 2016-01-11 09:42 | Report Abuse

Gogo

Posted by Steve Jub > 2016-01-14 15:15 | Report Abuse

Vroooom!!!

Posted by Steve Jub > 2016-01-14 15:16 | Report Abuse

another resistance 0.98 to break loose.

Posted by Vin Chuah > 2016-01-14 15:30 | Report Abuse

no dividend at least stand rm1 .LOL

Posted by Steve Jub > 2016-01-14 16:09 | Report Abuse

shark really can sapu because they got big mouth

Posted by Steve Jub > 2016-01-15 09:29 | Report Abuse

Woohoo

Posted by Xiao Mi > 2016-01-15 09:55 | Report Abuse

wow..today hit 0.99

Posted by Vin Chuah > 2016-01-15 12:12 | Report Abuse

zzzzzz

Posted by Steve Jub > 2016-01-15 12:28 | Report Abuse

eh, fuel habis tim. later afternoon vroom again hopefully

Posted by Stanley Yeo > 2016-01-15 17:45 | Report Abuse

营收从2003到2015上升了3倍，可是每股净利还是没有改善，为什么呢？

Posted by Vin Chuah > 2016-01-18 11:02 | Report Abuse

no movie!

Posted by Steve Jub > 2016-01-18 11:03 | Report Abuse

u never know.

Posted by Steve Jub > 2016-01-18 14:37 | Report Abuse

nice hammer today

Posted by Steve Jub > 2016-01-18 16:47 | Report Abuse

huge support at 0.94

Posted by Steve Jub > 2016-01-19 15:19 | Report Abuse

not bad

Posted by Steve Jub > 2016-01-20 11:03 | Report Abuse

Coming already

Posted by Steve Jub > 2016-01-20 11:03 | Report Abuse

Breaking loose

Posted by Xiao Mi > 2016-01-20 12:55 | Report Abuse

wow...break $1?

Posted by Devi > 2016-01-20 14:20 | Report Abuse

Can break 1.00?

Posted by Steve Jub > 2016-01-20 18:14 | Report Abuse

Yes, soon

Posted by Vin Chuah > 2016-01-21 09:30 | Report Abuse

take profit and buy back

Posted by Steve Jub > 2016-01-21 10:11 | Report Abuse

gogogo. last push

Posted by Vin Chuah > 2016-01-21 10:45 | Report Abuse

fast hand sell! kiki

Posted by Tripaka > 2016-01-21 12:08 | Report Abuse

It will still go further....

Posted by qwerty > 2016-01-21 12:21 | Report Abuse

>1.00

Posted by qwerty > 2016-01-21 12:29 | Report Abuse

Break 0.995 TP 1.10-1.20

Posted by Steve Jub > 2016-01-21 15:23 | Report Abuse

lali ah

Posted by qwerty > 2016-01-21 15:41 | Report Abuse

crude oil onslaught, support 0.945

Posted by Devi > 2016-01-22 13:10 | Report Abuse

Sideways dy...

Posted by Owl5 > 2016-01-26 18:04 | Report Abuse

Aiyooo ntpmmmm

Posted by JamesBond0007 > 2016-01-28 10:39 | Report Abuse

This stock is worth at least RM 1.20 with all the profits coming in

Posted by JamesBond0007 > 2016-01-28 10:41 | Report Abuse

People selling below RM 0.95 must have not known the fundamentals of this company