Coastal Contract currently holds and inventory of RM 1.2 billion along with RM 350 million in cash. With its Current Assets alone ( assets that can be sold off within a year ) , Coastal in worth at least RM 3.22. This is not considering the growth potential by Coastal which is current Pamex contract that will kick start this this 2H2015. Looking into other companies with a similar business model compared to Coastal, Coastal holds the best profit margins averaging at 20%. The management is very prudent with their balance sheets by constantly maintaining a minimum debt with a hefty war chest to rid out most storms. During the last Oil price crash in 08/09 Coastal rode pass the storm with ease and I doubt this crash will affect Coastal much. Looking forward 3-5 years ahead, Coastal should be worth at least 1.5 - 2 billion not 1 billion. For the value investors that are looking into Coastal, let me know your thoughts on this.
cariyoyo commented on 15.08.2015. that coastal should be RM2.50 within 3 months from then. cariyoyo has another one month ie. 15.11.2015. cariyoyo has been quite spot on from his comments as I have seen so far. He rarely comments but his info is quite accurate.
@Chuckosaurus, valuation was based on companies current balance sheet alone was worth more than 1 billion. If we take the company's dividend payout alone discounted by an appropriate interest rate (4.05) then the company is fairly valued now. But this doesn't include the fact that the company is expanding. Include this and in the near future (3-5 years) coastal is worth easily 2 billion. https://malaysiainvestments.blogspot.my/2015/10/coastal-contracts-valuation.html?m=1
@Daniel Phuan - thanks for the explanation and the link to your blog. COASTAL looks to be the kind of companies that could take hits and keep on going, despite a drop in its prices from over RM5 due to various reasons. The fact that the owners are buying their own shares perhaps proves that this is a company for investors to back as well.
Chuckosaurus, this for Undervalued Predictable Companies only (Intrinsic Value = Book Value + Future Earnings at Growth Stage + Terminal Value(Assume 4%) & suitable for long term investor...you can set target 52 week high (depend the oil price)RM 4.19 or SMA 200 line today RM2.66
just SOLD at 2.14 aver both tranche2 n 3 (refer posting on 6/10 n 8/10 resp) (yesterday's tranche1 at 2.25) again to take my profits..only 8% for tranche2 n 3..
will move in again when opportunity reopens... tq Coastal...
wow....nice gratz those buy at rm 1.65-1.90 ^^ more up side on coming years....buy and keep for 5 year tp same rm5.00. (2020) oil per barrel rm45-55 till end of this year.
another stock quite attractive ...daya material... consider it......new ceo and budget cut loss... coming year daya will gain profit...do some homework...
PakCik, great to see someone sharing the same optimism. However, intrinsic value is very subjective. Wouldn't the equation be too rigid to fix only one value? And wouldn't be better to consider a margin of safety?
Yes, Its True Daniel Phuan.. When we buy stock, we try to assessing the company health@FA. Picking stock is more of an art than science.There is no right or wrong about it. The method that bring the highest return consistently over long period of time is winner.
On 21 oct 2015, russian will meet with opec member and other none opec member to discuss on reducing the supply for oil. Stay tune for good news for oil and gas sector!!
This counter can keep for long term & price will up if oil start rebound back. My valuation base in IV, low PE, and NTA, Debt to Equity low and positif ROE.
1. Coastal Contracts Bhd's net current asset value per share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2015 was RM2.59.< Current Price RM 2.11
3.Debt to Equity = Total Debt / Total Equity = (Current Portion of Long-Term Debt + Long-Term Debt) / Total Equity = (87.015 + 3.171) / 1587.494 = 0.06(low debt/equity)---> A high debt to equity ratio generally means that a company has been aggressive in financing its growth with debt. This can result in volatile earnings as a result of the additional interest expense.
4.Coastal Contracts Bhd's Graham Number for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2015 is calculated as
= SquareRoot of (22.5 * Tangible Book Value per Share * Earnings Per Share) = SquareRoot of (22.5 * (Total Equity - Intangibles) * Net Income (Continuing Operations)) / Shares Outstanding = SquareRoot of (22.5 * (1587.494 - 0) * 192.064) / 531.149 = 4.93 < Current Price RM 2.11
Graham Number is a figure that measures a FA value by taking into account the company's earnings per share and book value per share. The Graham number is the upper bound of the price range that a defensive investor should pay for the stock. According to the theory, any stock price below the Graham number is considered undervalued, and thus worth investing in.
As correlated theory, proposes that rising or high interest rates help strengthen the dollar against other countries' currencies. When the dollar is strong, this helps American oil companies to buy more oil with every U.S. dollar spent, ultimately passing the savings on to consumers. Likewise, when the value of the dollar is low against foreign currencies, something that can happen with sinking interest rates, U.S. dollars buy less oil than before. This, of course, can contribute to oil becoming costlier to the U.S., which consumes 25% of the world's oil.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
tajaidotcom
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Posted by tajaidotcom > 2015-09-19 13:39 | Report Abuse
Sold at 1.9o