Malaysia experienced shortage of rebar in April & May, causing the price rocketed to sky level, but the revenue of Masteel for quarter (1/4/2016-30/6/2016) was RM268m, slightly higher than last year's same period RM242m.
How about cost of productions for rebar? Has it gone down as well? What is the margin before the sudden surge & after?
Not knowing the rebal prices in malaysia, not knowing the cost structure of producing rebar, not knowing the exact prices in China, what can we predict the performance of a company?
I knew this website way before this article, I did not trust this analysis because it has not stated the sources of data, users contributed towards the date & so on.
Nothing was mentioned in their website.
I have even registered with the website but getting the same report every week.
Please take note that MRT2 project won't help much because it is just continuous part of MRT1 project.
It's is not something new demand, it is just making demand for steel to continue sustain at previous level.
If during the execution of MRT1 project in previous did not make all steel producers profitable, what so special about MRT2 project to steel producers, especially those producing long products.
In the recent QR of Megasteel under Prospect Section, the Company has hinted that the demand for next few months will be much higher. Apart from this, MITI safeguard on long products will benefit to the Company significant if it's approved.
Read Masteel's CEO Statements extracted from Annual Report
FY2015 OVERVIEW Steel industry players in Malaysia faced tremendous pricing and cost pressures in the year under review, stemming from both external and domestic aspects. Internationally, the flood of exceptionally low priced steel emanating from China resulted in the closure of many steel mills worldwide including Malaysia. Locally, the upward revision in electricity and natural gas tariffs resulted in higher operating costs, while the drastic weakening of the MYR versus major foreign currencies contributed towards additional import costs challenges. These negative factors further exacerbated the decline of steel bar prices worldwide of more than 30% in the short span of a year, as well as heightened imports of steel bars into Malaysia. Such imports, while cheap, were often not in conformance to standards set by SIRIM, hence displacing the local steel industry whose market share of steel products was reduced from 62.6% in 2014 to 49.2% in 2015. Although the environment was not favourable for steel players, the Group performed commendably and remained resilient, and delivered RM1.14 billion in revenue in FY2015. Of this, sales to the domestic market made up 92.3% or RM1.06 billion versus RM1.41 billion earlier. Notably, export sales, which contributed to the remaining 7.7%, more than doubled to RM88.2 million from RM41.9 million in the previous year on the back of the weaker MYR. Additionally, we had diligently put in place the necessary building blocks to set the stage for the Group’s future growth. The Group had, in October 2015, began commissioning our new rolling mill in Bukit Raja, Selangor, which would effectively increase our total steel bar production capacity from 450,000 metric tonnes (MT) per year to 650,000 MT per year. Not only would the larger production levels contribute significantly towards additional revenue, but also enhance our bottomline by virtue of offering higher value-added premium steel bars. Moreover, as the new rolling mill adjoins our existing meltshop, we stand to benefit from optimized operating costs due to lower energy consumption and transportation charges. The new rolling mill is expected to have a positive impact on the Group’s performance in the new financial year ending 31 December 2016 (FY2016) and onwards. To date, our efforts have already started to bear fruit, as witnessed in tangible improvements to our financial health since the fourth quarter of FY2015 with substantially narrower losses compared to the preceding quarters. PROSPECTS The domestic steel industry is set to benefit from resilient demand of steel bars in 2016 and over the coming years, driven by the implementation of key infrastructure projects throughout the nation by the Malaysian Government. This includes the construction of various major expressways and the Klang Valley Mass Rapid Transit (KVMRT), as well as increased property development activity in line with population growth. A major part of this development boost would be centred in the Klang Valley, where our manufacturing facilities are strategically located. Being one of the two players situated in close proximity to major construction activity in this region,
PROSPECTS The domestic steel industry is set to benefit from resilient demand of steel bars in 2016 and over the coming years, driven by the implementation of key infrastructure projects throughout the nation by the Malaysian Government. This includes the construction of various major expressways and the Klang Valley Mass Rapid Transit (KVMRT), as well as increased property development activity in line with population growth. A major part of this development boost would be centred in the Klang Valley, where our manufacturing facilities are strategically located. Being one of the two players situated in close proximity to major construction activity in this region,
NOTE THESE WORDS,
TO BENEFIT FROM RESILIENT DEMAND OF STEEL BARS IN 2016
AND OVER THE COMING YEARS
DRIVEN BY CONSTRUCTION OF MAJOR EXPRESSWAYS & KLANG MRT
OUR MANUFACTURING FACILITIES ARE SITUATED IN CLOSE PROXIMITY TO MAJOR CONSTRUCTION ACTIVITY.
I know that this will end like glove players, when top glove shows good profit, but most of it is one off gain
why rebar prices lower on q1 2016 than q1 2015, but master still makes profit? very easy explanation, q1 2015, prices were on down trend, so your inventory are high raw mat cost items, comparing to 2016, your raw material cost was lowest on nov/dec, and it was recovering till march
this can be argued like USD/MYR, if it is on uptrend and uptrend, your companies will report superb profits, but once it normalise, your inventories raw mat cost starts to rise, haha
this article did not discuss about inventory, monkey business got a point, i guess it still has legs, but don't be caught at high, and run as fast as possible when trend normalise, steel price has normalised, just the anti dumping duty has helped them to sell higher this time, next quarter report will be interesting, but my bet is it won't make more than RM10m like q2
If we look at domestic rebar price alone, it is very possible for rebar companies to report better year-on-year results for 2016Q3, 2016Q4, and 2017Q1. Tax on imported steel bars should help as well.
But there is another thing that we have to consider. If the domestic demand does pick up as expected due to mega projects especially next year, we will also see better future earnings.
Competition from China? Well, the recently announced tax on imported steel bars should take care of it.
Should be good if you are willing to wait for a few quarters.
Posted by goody99 > Sep 26, 2016 04:11 AM | Report Abuse
If we look at domestic rebar price alone, it is very possible for rebar companies to report better year-on-year results for 2016Q3, 2016Q4, and 2017Q1. Tax on imported steel bars should help as well.
But there is another thing that we have to consider. If the domestic demand does pick up as expected due to mega projects especially next year, we will also see better future earnings.
Competition from China? Well, the recently announced tax on imported steel bars should take care of it.
Should be good if you are willing to wait for a few quarters.
YES!
goody99, you better sell all your overvalued Comcorp shares and buy masteel.
I thought this counter might be trading around 80 cents for longer period due to insufficient catalyst. Who know the good news came out just in time to boost the price. Congrats to MAsteel shareholders.
Hercules answer:- You can notice that within Jan -June 2015 the price is around 1900 then the price started to drop from July 2015 till Jan 2016 to as low as 1450. The sharp drop is due to imported n smuggled steel oversupply in the market. You may ask why Apr-May 2016 price surge so high? Started early of Year 2016 the market demand is so low until many of the importers are facing lost n they forced to sell even below their cost because the price keep on dropping everyday and they can't take the risk if it continue dropping. Come back to why Apr-May 2016, price surge as high as 2180 is because during this time no more imported steel. With this safeguard, I believe their future earning would be better than this year which without imported steel as a competitor.
MonkeyBusiness actually u a good analyzer n not blindly follow the crowd without detail research, kudo for u! Also hope u can do more research and provide us more information.
All that... Already become an history. The catalyst MAsteel is enjoying higher margin after the government decision for imposing anti dumping duty on imported rebars.
Some steel counters have reach 3-year high but Masteel not yet. Not only that their share prices are above their 3-year high by a big margin. Masteel's highest for the last 3 years is around RM1.15. Hopefully soon will be Masteel's turn to exceed its 3-year high and beyond.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
100percentprofits
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Posted by 100percentprofits > 2016-09-24 23:02 | Report Abuse
http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/100percentprofits/105044.jsp