I think I replied yesterday but when I checked this morning, perhaps the email did not go through.
Anyway, we did sell some Aeon Credit Service Bhd shares along with many other stocks in our portfolio. This is part of routine cash-raising to meet redemptions of our Singapore-registered unit trust. Aeon Credit remains a core part of our model portfolio.
eftee, the stock price was down until RM10.40 at the end of Jan 2013. The price started to pick up from early Feb until the history high of RM18.80 after GE13. The price down was solely due to the selling down of shares by Aberdeen as part of their portfolio management ( or routine cash-raising to meet redemptions of our Singapore-registered unit trust ? ). As long as Aberdeen stop selling, the price is expected to be up all the way.
Yes. You are spot on. Aberdeen has been selling down Aeon Credit for many months now. Foreign funds are selling expensive Malaysia (P/E 17) and buying Korea, Taiwan & China (P/E 12).
Blue Chips In Malaysia Which Have Run Up A Lot in Year 2013 Will Face Persistent Headwinds in Year 2014.
As such it is safer to sell Aeon Credit and switch to laggards with potential for Year 2014. These Are The Stocks Which You May Consider:
1) PM Corp (Cash Rich & Defensive Chocolate Business) 2) MUI Berhad (Asset Rich - Will Benefit from VISIT MALAYSIA YEAR 2014) 3) SILK Holdings ( Bright prospects in Petronas contracts & Defensive Toll Roads) 4) RCECAP (The Only Legalised Ah Long. In Bad Times people throng pawn shops & Ah Long) 5) OPCOM (CASH RICH, HIGH DIVIDEND, DEBT FREE & RM43 Mil New Contract from TM)
The Share Market if efficient in predicting real market movement 6 months ahead of time -- future downtrend of Real Business Activities Down The Road.
We paid a sight visit to AEON Bukit Indah in ISKANDAR during a Sunday. Car Parks were filled to overflowing & the place is jam packed with people. The surprising thing is - no real buying - many are doing "window shopping".
Times are getting bad due to rising prices of electricity, petrol, sugar, gst, assessment rates & toll rates. So people are holding tight their purse and purchase only the essential and basic necessities and barest minimum.
More genuine buyers are going to Tesco & Giant Hypermarkets for cheaper stuff with less frills.
I have just got confirmation from Aberdeen that they are not the party doing the desperate selling at the moment. So it is some other shareholder dumping for whatever reason
down trend expected to continue.. already told you guys few weeks ago.. sell while prices still above RM 14... look... the downtrend is because of the following:
1. people start to realise that there is lack of growth for AEONCR 2. Market is already saturated 3. PE ratio is quick high for this company when the growth is limited 4. Dividend yield is only at 2.xx %. People would rather invest in safe heaven shares like reit which generate about 6-8% dividend yield. 5. No potential avenue identified by management for business expansion
While.. prices should continue to go downwards... fair value for this share is about RM 9.50 based on 10x PE ratio of forward 2014 earnings.
this is not affecting the AEONCR business at all. I would take it as a good chance to enter the market. Thanks a lot for the batch selling. I would stick to the fair value at RM20.00 for this stock. Now the price appears to be very attractive.
what an attractive stock price for my 2014 accumulation. do not miss this chance to accumulate. I have whacked some today and more on early next week. what a blessed chance. this is going to be my darling stock for 2014.
I have been following RCECAP since last 2 years. Last year, it facing political issue, bank negara blocked 1 of it main agent from borrowing out money anymore. Since then it share dropped sharply, and not moving since then. Advice from me, don't go into political issue share.
Dato' Abdullah, Dato' Ramli & Clarence Chai are throwing like nobody's business. Ambrose of Aberdeen also throwing continuously. Don't fight against the onslaught of torrential selling.
If fundamental good. .
Why ALL INSIDERS SELLING? Warren Buffet like Directors share buy back. Definitely not selling & selling! If FACT WARREN BUFFET HOLDS GOOD SHARES FOR FOREVER.
GO AND BUY SILK HOLDINGS BERHAD. YOU CAN HOLD IT FOR THE NEXT 20 YEARS AND SEE SPECTACULAR GROWTH.
SEE MY 10 ANNIVERSARY CELEBRATION IN BUYING UMW ON UMW FORUM SITE. BOUGHT AT RM2.4O IN YEAR 2004. NOW 2014 UMW IS A BLUE CHIP AT RM11.76
INCLUSIVE OF YEARLY DIVIDENDS THE COMPOUNDED GROWTH IS 45% PER ANNUM FOR 10 SHORT YEARS!
Good analysis on AEON Credit. We need more people like you to point out dangers. Actually AEON Credit Business Is Deteriorating by the day. Just watch the hard pressed consumers struggling even to pay rent and put food on the table.
AEONCredit has only RM3.50 in NTA. That is the Price AEONCredit Might Fall Towards.
SO SELL ALL YOUR AEONCREDIT FIRST THING MONDAY MORNING ON OPENING BELL!
HE WHO FIGHTS AND RUN AWAY WILL LIVE TO FIGHT ANOTHER DAY.
Good. Kevin Gibb Let me add to PJTrader's remarks. Well, we can say Public Bank also achieved comparable growth in its earlier years, but its net profit growth now has slowed to about 13% due to its sheer size. Lets see Google which have listing 9 years ago without paying any dividend, its share price had skyrocketed from $85 to $1011 today, creating many millionaires within its shareholders. Remember "growth way outweigh dividend income". So I would personally encourage investors to participate in AEONCR’s sustainable growth now! I hardly find a stock like AEONCR that have such whooping financial results. Any fundamentalist could easily support this stock. 31/10/2013 14:48
Kevin Gibb pputeh, Rm20.00 at the end of 2013 is achievable. It's target price deserved to be revised higher. 31/10/2013 14:49
pputeh Kevin I was just commenting as a bit surprised. Bought a bit of this stock in Nov 2010 for 3.80. Received Bonus last year 1:5. Still holding. Glad I am. Only regret did not sell out at rm18+ beginning this year. Could have bought back at rm15+. Anyway that the game.You win some u lose some. I hope our dreams of rm20.20 come true. Wonder if Co. will distribute Bonus to enlarge capital base soon. 31/10/2013 15:19
Kevin Gibb pputeh, you have it at RM3.80 and believed it was before the 10:1 split. Good price. I think the reason why AEONCR do not give dividend this time is because of the CAR ( Capital adequacy ration ) issue, in which they wish to keep the capital as the CAR ratio is now below the Bank Negara's rule of 16%. Remember "growth way outweigh dividend income". I would say RM12.20 is achievable by end of this year if there is no unforeseen circumstances occurs. 31/10/2013 15:54
Kevin Gibb The uptrend of AEONCR is not affected and you may observe the stock chart has achieved higher high and higher low for the past one year. The next high will be around RM20.20 ( above the previous high of around RM18.60 ) 31/10/2013 15:57
Kevin Gibb Good news on AEONCR. AEON Credit Service (M) Berhad (the “Company”) has announced that it has obtained authorisation from the Securities Commission Malaysia on 29 October 2013 for the proposed issuance of unrated subordinated perpetual notes (“Perpetual Notes”) pursuant to a proposed perpetual private debt securities programme of up to RM400.0 million in nominal value (“Perpetual Private Debt Securities Programme”). This is a great great news. See http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/company-announcements/1448021 31/10/2013 16:29 20/01/2014 08:15
See http://www.cmoney.tw/notes/note-detail.aspx?cid=22814&nid=7942 for the entire story. AEONCR is just fit to the 2nd case ( 阿美 case ), which is a fundamentally strong stock and no doubt is seriously undervalue. 03/01/2014 10:55 20/01/2014 08:11 okasanboleh HowWouldISay this is not affecting the AEONCR business at all. I would take it as a good chance to enter the market. Thanks a lot for the batch selling. I would stick to the fair value at RM20.00 for this stock. Now the price appears to be very attractive. 16/01/2014 16:26
Kevin Gibb what an attractive stock price for my 2014 accumulation. do not miss this chance to accumulate. I have whacked some today and more on early next week. what a blessed chance. this is going to be my darling stock for 2014. 16/01/2014 17:39 20/01/2014 08:12
Trend is still in selling mode from Ambrose of Aberdeen. See continual selling by Aberdeen on Bursa filings? You see past earning records do not guarantee future performance.
The signs of deteriorating fundamentals of a company can only be discerned by the wisest investors. Those who "SEE AHEAD" will take money off the table first. Only the foolish & foolhardy dare to venture further.
Your best strategy is to get out on rebound. Stay safe.
AEON CREDIT Is A Cyclical Stock. The Cycle of uptrend is now in reversal. You can't fight it.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Robert123
299 posts
Posted by Robert123 > 2014-01-08 19:27 | Report Abuse
Wait for entry signal , will watch closely....The game still on....