Today 320 lots buyer much more aggressive than 300 lots seller. good sign but waiting seller RM 1.38 ~ 17967. RM 1.39 ~ 15611. RM 1.40 ~ 27275 . JCY need a 10000 ton bombs.
The candles, the day chart and the hourly and minute charts all point to a sustained rally. If the price can hold to close 1.37 and above today, there's better than even chance that the price may rally above 1.40 tomorrow. But of course, we can expect a pullback sometime way before the Q2 results are out. I am optimistic that the eventual price will be above 1.50 after the Q2 results are announced.
The closing price literally slipped back to close 1.37 in the last second. Anyhow, 1.37 is still a good close to hopefully continue the rally tomorrow. All the best to all who still hold the JCY shares.
slowly move up..one day it up 2-3 cents.. still have 3 week for result announcement. This is the sign that the 2nd Quarter result will in a positive mood..(my guess only..)
bonescythe : That 1 i dun knw how far it can go but what i knw is this is hot stock again with uptrend which easy to predict..I dun knw lamken also.Honestly last time i buy on Ben call at 0.50++ he ask me to hold until MA break then sell. I sold at 1.38....His call can be consider gud call....he is bloger too!!! Anyways u also gud for short term analysis! Cheer bro
if market sentiment okey, i think JCY will maintain at 1.30 - 1.40 level. Unless there are 'big changes' in JCY fundamental or overall market sentiment turn negative ++..
Shah: Your correction for JCY is RM1.35-1.4 drop to RM1.19? A 12% drop today, can I understand how you justify how you come out with that figure? TA or FA, QA anything you call it..Please provide comments that are justifiable rather than create any unwanted ripple or sort..there are many newbies who followed this counter..so let them learn in the right way..please! thanks
Looking at the numbers, I can deduce that institutions are buying and the traders and retail are selling. It is fair to say, from the trading perspective, the market is finding its balance after 3 days of advance. Will the price ditch to 1.19? I can't find any substantial fact to justify that call. JCY had raked in a hefty jump in EPS in Q1. The market is expecting Q2 to be thereabout or better. So I don't see how 1.19 can happen at this moment. A brief pullback? Maybe. My call? The upward trajectory is still intact until the Q2 announcement. Any pullback before that is transient. So anyone who sells to exploit the pullback should jump back on the bandwagon.
Maybank analyst (Lee Cheng Hooi) issue a buy call on JCY today TP RM 1.53 and RM 1.81. stop loss is at RM 1.19. BUT ........ The question is Lee Cheng Hooi also issued a SELL CALL on 13 March 2012 said that the downside target are RM 0.71 and RM 0.98 when at that date JCY was trading at RM 1.09 . almost the bottom before rally to present high Regular RM 1.41 (Today) and today BUY CALL is issued Please judge Yourself. Cheer and Happy trading :D.
just my 2 cents...the more talk on price, what should be the tp up or down, doesn't that mean movement will be range-bound? maybe i am wrong..but rather have rocket fuel than water...
Maybank Investment Bank - Lee Cheng Hooi? Don't listen to him. He just speaks without real facts. 2 yrs ago in an Investment fair in KLCC, I asked him if Ramunia (PN17 then) was a good buy at 0.20 since Tabung Haji was a major investor. He said, "Don't go pick up rubbish share like the Indian garbage man". 2 weeks later the share shot up to 0.40. U judge 4 urself.
today's news - Seagate reports latest quarter results.... CUPERTINO, CA – April 17, 2012 – Seagate Technology plc (NASDAQ: STX) today reported financial results for the quarter ended March 30, 2012. The company reported revenue of $4.4 billion, gross margin of 37%, net income of $1.1 billion and diluted earnings per share of $2.48. On a non-GAAP basis, which excludes the net impact of certain items, Seagate reported net income of $1.2 billion and diluted earnings per share of $2.64. The company generated approximately $938 million in cash from operations, paid cash dividends of $112 million and used approximately $1.1 billion to repurchase 43.1 million shares of common stock and for the early retirement of debt.
Like I said earlier, as the flood recovery happens, the volume and revenue will only climb higher. Look forward to JCY's results.
for those who have not followed Seagate, Seagate's last quarter results has exceeded their previously 1 year performance in terms of net income... net imcome improvement of 5X!!!! I can only see JCY to mimic the same or better
ryanc...most of this guys out there 'acting' like they know everything under the sun actually are blur sotongs who are basically emotionally driven/failures and they try hard to pass on their mistakes to others...if you are well informed they can't sell their eggs to you. Always do you own research and judgement.
JCY share the same fortunes as Seagate where their plants are not affected by the flood like their competitors and both are taking share significantly. In the flood quarter, JCY profit rose 20X
The JCY-CI structured warrant listed today by OSK may have a dampening effect on the JCY price, at least in the short run. I am not certain how the warrant issuer intends to play the game. Logically, to set the exercise price of 1.25 in the midst of a 1.41 peak yesterday means the issuer intends to issue the warrant at a super premium, which is the case. JCY-CI opened at 0.235 and is currently trading at 0.25. To protect itself, the issuer will need to hedge the mother share at below 1.25. As the price falls, so will the warrant. I imagine the issuer will pick up a good measure of the warrant at that point. This should happen pretty quickly. Once the hedge is in place, the issuer will be profitable irrespective of the price. The two big issuers will benefit in the short run when the price falls. This is just my analysis. Be extra vigilant
the relation between warrant Vs mother share.. why should Issuer house need to press down the mother share from RM1.41 to RM1.25 to protect their self.. pls elaborate it with simple example... Thanks for sharing..
Omione: From the previous warrants issued by other institutions, it seems the price movement of the warrant does not reflect the Mother share's movement. Does that means the they can press the mother shares without affecting the warrant price?
The IPO price of the warrant is 0.15. It will be stupid for the issuer to sell the warrants at this IPO price where the mother share was already trading at 1.41 peak. At launch, the warrant was already in the money. (To get to the very basic: there are two values to a warrant - the time value and the intrinsic value. The exercise price of the warrant is 2 warrants + 1.25. So if the mother share is 1.40, the intrinsic value is 0.075 per warrant. If the mother share is 1.20, which is below the exercise price, warrant still has value so long as there's still time for the investors to bet on a rise in price. Time value is whatever the market decides it to be.)
Yes I do notice at time, the punters disregarded the fundamentals of warrants and treated the warrant investment like a casino. In such instance, the valuation can get out of wack. But in a structured warrant, the issuer is supposed to appoint a market maker to ensure that the value does not get to far off the mother share.
In the Europena style warrant, the only time that the issuers has to pay up is at maturity. During the cause of the warrant, the price can go up double, but so long as the price fall back to exercise price or below on maturity, the issuer will be ok. But the issuer cannot be 100% certain that the price on maturity will be at exercise price or below. So, during the cause of the warrant, when the price of mother share fall to below the exercise price, the issuer can buy up the mother shares. At the same time, the issuer may buy up the warrants as well. When the price goes up, the issuer can sell the warrants back to the speculators at a profit, knowing that it already locks up the value of the mother shares.
Hope this clarifies. If not, please Google to read up more on the basic of derivative.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
omione
119 posts
Posted by omione > 2012-04-16 11:43 | Report Abuse
Someone keep buying at 320 lots. Is this some kind of a code? Why would normal investors or punters keep buying at 320?