Notion not only does HDD but also others like Masks and Brakes for BMW cars. JCY does HDD only. JCY will do better than Notion just like R Sawit will do better than TDM as Tdm has Hospital units and not pure CPO production.
Investment differs from short term guesswork or punting
Since we already know Microsoft, Google, Nvidia and others are investing Rm56 billions or more into Data Centers from now and stretching into 3/4 years there will be an incremental demand for more HDD (Hard disk drives) for a prolonged stretch and so we take position early
Outlook: Demand for large capacity HDDs mainly for cloud and enterprise computing and increasingly for Artificial Intelligence (AI) machine learning data storage has seen a resurgence of demand and orders as we serve that space diligently. We have established long-term relationships with these major HDD makers and the commitment for long-term supply is of paramount importance. We will grow in line with the industry growth pattern
Quarterly Net Profit RM5.3mn (+302% QoQ; +121.1% YoY)
First turnaround profit after 8 quarter of consecutive loss. Profits momentum looks clear and sustainable moving forward since the company is profitable from the GP level onwards. 1Q24 already showed signs of profitability (1Q24 GP: RM1.47mn) and now its confirmation of profit moving forward.
Just want to highlight the abstracts:
REVIEW OF PERFORMANCE. a) Revenue increasing driven by increasing demand for storage products, both Hard Disk Drives (HDD) and Solid State Drives (SSD). Our customers have started seeing some recovery in HDD demand and that is translating to more demand for the Groups offerings. We are seeing this sustained increasing factory capacity utilisation throughout the whole quarter.
b) An improved Group cost structure allowing the Group to turn to profitability even at a much lower factory capacity utilization rate. This improved cost structure is a result of a continuous effort by the Group to drive factory yields and productivity. This process is evident as we have reduced our Gross Loss consecutively Quarter on Quarter for the last 4 quarters.
The improved cost structure and higher customer demand driving higher factory capacity utilization resulted in our first Net Profit quarter since Dec 2021. This result is even more significant given that the Group’s capacity utilisation is still less than 50% in the reported quarter.
FUTURE PROSPECT The reported quarter total HDD storage market showed a 3% increase Quarter on Quarter (QoQ) in units shipped and 22% QoQ total Storage Capacity shipped, increasing to 262 Exabytes(EB). This is the 2nd straight quarter that the industry is seeing unit HDD shipment increase. The industry has also reported that inventory levels in the supply chain are back to normal levels. Based on current market trends and barring any unforeseen circumstances, the Group expects the performance of the second half year to be better than the first half. The group is projecting that our factory capacity utilisation rate will increase as our customers improve their units shipped.
1. At the current improved cost structure and utilization of less than 50%, JCY has already broke-even (even excluding RM3mn FX gains)
2. JCY management is guiding for better performance in the second half compared to the first half.
3. Quantity of Shipment Sold was up +3% QoQ and +22% YoY.
4. Inventory levels in the supply chain is also going back to normal levels.
All in all, since JCY has already broken-even in terms of quantity and reported profit. Profits can flow in exponentially given the economies of scale and a much improved operational efficiencies.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
abajid
15 posts
Posted by abajid > 2024-05-15 11:29 | Report Abuse
Thanks Calvin Tan