AVALAND BERHAD

KLSE (MYR): AVALAND (5182)

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Last Price

0.29

Today's Change

+0.01 (3.57%)

Day's Change

0.285 - 0.30

Trading Volume

3,116,900


5 people like this.

3,170 comment(s). Last comment by nemesis 13 hours ago

nemesis

3,994 posts

Posted by nemesis > 2024-05-14 19:29 | Report Abuse

It has just begun...powerful rally to 0.40 soon...EPS is projected to rise up in coming qtrs fin results

nemesis

3,994 posts

Posted by nemesis > 2024-05-15 08:43 | Report Abuse

RHB has picked Avaland as the only Small Cap jewel from the property sector...

nemesis

3,994 posts

Posted by nemesis > 2024-05-15 09:09 | Report Abuse

0.40 is comingggg!!!!

xuxu

5,858 posts

Posted by xuxu > 2024-05-15 09:10 | Report Abuse

wowowow letup !! gogogogo

Val-Elta

684 posts

Posted by Val-Elta > 2024-05-15 09:56 | Report Abuse

I'm still here, if able to maintain 36-38 cents for this next 5 trading days + supported by good quarter result announcement, it will break 42 cents by end of the month

Val-Elta

684 posts

Posted by Val-Elta > 2024-05-15 09:57 | Report Abuse

As spoken before also, in April, don't let short term fear force you into sales, and you ignored the long term positive risks.

nemesis

3,994 posts

Posted by nemesis > 2024-05-15 10:06 | Report Abuse

To me it is worth at least 1.00 in the future as Ayala Land is massive enough to propel Avaland to be one of the best developers in Msia...

Val-Elta

684 posts

Posted by Val-Elta > 2024-05-15 18:29 | Report Abuse

Nemesis, I won't be so optimistic about RM 1 yet at this moment, too far off, and it'll need EPS of 10-15 cents per annum to fundamentally support that share price.

I'll take it QoQ and see how it goes. If they keep meet my expectations, and there's no better shares to buy, I'll stay on.

But finally after so many years, it's getting the widespread attention it deserves with calls from RHB, AMINVEST that got published in major newspapers too.

IF this is supported by an outperform/better QoQ EPS announcement next week, then it'll be the most optimum scenario.

nemesis

3,994 posts

Posted by nemesis > 2024-05-15 18:42 | Report Abuse

Most of their products launching are very innovative and selling like hot cakes...very strong management team from Philippines and Ayala Land is ambitious to propel Avaland higher...

nemesis

3,994 posts

Posted by nemesis > 2024-05-20 15:08 | Report Abuse

0.40 has been breached...upside is comingg

Val-Elta

684 posts

Posted by Val-Elta > 2024-05-20 17:53 | Report Abuse

So far, looks ok, we've past T3 and share price still around 39 cents.
Quarter result announcement coming up this week too.

Lets see if can reach 45 cents or not by end of the month.

nemesis

3,994 posts

Posted by nemesis > 2024-05-23 09:44 | Report Abuse

Quarterly Fin Results is releasing soon which is expected to propel its EPS to new high...Buy

nemesis

3,994 posts

Posted by nemesis > 2024-05-23 11:54 | Report Abuse

Avaland is set to be the next growth stock in the property sector...it makes sense to acquire as much as you can before it becomes reality...

Posted by ITreeinvestor > 2024-05-23 17:48 | Report Abuse

nemesis Quarterly Fin Results is releasing soon which is expected to propel its EPS to new high...Buy
23/05/2024 9:44 AM

Y24Q1 PAT 21,173
Y23Q4 PAT 37,522
Y23Q3 PAT 17,230
Y23Q2 PAT 11,116
Y23Q1 PAT 136

Val-Elta

684 posts

Posted by Val-Elta > 2024-05-23 18:36 | Report Abuse

Mmmm, overall I'll say it's a slightly positive result, I was hoping an EPS of 1.8 cents personally.

However, besides just looking at the PAT, there is additional information that can be deduced to aid your investment outlook.

Good
1st Q total property sales of RM 211 million, if sustainable, that'll be RM 800 million of property sales in a year.
Unbilled sales RM 852m is still very high, now transitioning to Alora and Amika which have not yet entered high progress billing stage.
Aetas seputeh 50% booking (soft launch) seems to be still 'unbilled' yet as of now, depending on if APDL is approved by end of June, there's a potential of up 250m in unbilled sales just from Aetas Seputeh added in next quarter.
Direct Operating and General Admin Expense have dropped quite significantly QoQ from 13% of revenue to 10% of revenue.
Selling and marketing expenses drop from 4% to 3% of revenue
Cash flow from Operations positive
Still trading around 6.53 PER, vs other property stocks trading at PER of 8.11 (LBS), 16.76 (SIMEPROP), 22.8 (SPSETIA), 21.37 (IOIPG), 22.74 (ECOWORLD), 17.48 (MAHSING), 18.36 (GUOCO)


Bad
Gross profit margin dropped from 34.6% to 31%
income tax on profit increase to 32% (But should be one off)
Revenue may only peak up again in 2nd to 3rd Q as Amika and Alora enters the billable progress stages

The Good points, unfortunately will still require patience to be realized, and this will expose the share to short term weakness potentially.

Let's see how the market (especially the funds) reacts then, will they buy on weakness and sustain the share price around 36 cents until next QR release.

Val-Elta

684 posts

Posted by Val-Elta > 2024-05-23 18:55 | Report Abuse

Also, take note during the RHB 20 jewels report,

It's stated that
Sales guidance of MYR700-800m represents almost 30% YoY growth

211m sales in the 1st quarter is already
30% of 700m full year forecast
26.3% of 800m full year forecast

nemesis

3,994 posts

Posted by nemesis > 2024-05-23 19:31 | Report Abuse

Overall full year forecast for 2024 we can expect total EPS of 7-8 Sen per share which should propel the share price to 0.70-0.80 in comparison to LBS or other mid cap developers...Reiterate BUYYY!!!

Val-Elta

684 posts

Posted by Val-Elta > 2024-05-24 09:51 | Report Abuse

Market a bit irrational, take Hua Yang for example, 4 quarter EPS 1.6 cents, revenue 191 million, net profit 6 million, but share price can be 42 cents as of now.

Maybe due to Avaland's previous times when a lot sold around 23 cents, so it's still a good exit point for those who still holding since then.

Will need a period of above 35 cents for a 2, 3 months to increase average shareholder entry price/allow those who hold the shares < 25 cents to exit fully before it can normalize back to market.

nemesis

3,994 posts

Posted by nemesis > 2024-05-24 12:25 | Report Abuse

Profit taking is over this morning...it is time to climb above 0.40 later

Posted by ITreeinvestor > 2024-05-24 14:14 | Report Abuse

in your dream

nemesis

3,994 posts

Posted by nemesis > 2024-05-27 23:52 | Report Abuse

Could come back down to 0.35 tomolo

leokoo

4 posts

Posted by leokoo > 2024-05-28 10:08 | Report Abuse

this share has a low amount of floating shares, hence when some people take profit, the price drops. Time to buy more :)

necessity

110 posts

Posted by necessity > 2024-05-28 11:20 | Report Abuse

for now, till the release of the 2Q..
fundamentally week..
technically week..
+ external and internal factors.. few red flag for me..
few major risk and red flags,. but still, undervalued by price evaluation..

so i will be sideway with my popcorn watching bull vs bear..



nemesis

3,994 posts

Posted by nemesis > 2024-05-29 00:00 | Report Abuse

Rebound is on the way!

nemesis

3,994 posts

Posted by nemesis > 2024-05-29 08:51 | Report Abuse

Current share price retreat provides buying opportunities for long term holder...Reiterate BUY!!!

Posted by Jonathan Keung > 2024-06-05 08:56 | Report Abuse

Lack of catalyst plus technical showing weak signals. MACD and RSI showing negative. Expect sideway trading for the near term

nemesis

3,994 posts

Posted by nemesis > 2024-06-07 01:52 | Report Abuse

We just hope Avaland will venture into Data centre development just like Mahsing...

nemesis

3,994 posts

Posted by nemesis > 2024-06-10 14:10 | Report Abuse

It is time to Skyrocket as Property Recovery turning into boom is near...Avaland is catching up

Posted by Jonathan Keung > 2024-06-11 14:05 | Report Abuse

Big property counters with big land banks riding on DC wave. Ecoworld , YTL , IOIP, Sime or Mah Sing riding the DC wave. Small caps with limited land banks hard to play the DC wave

acnca84

120 posts

Posted by acnca84 > 2024-06-12 10:40 | Report Abuse

masuk sini pulak

Posted by investortrader88 > 2024-06-12 11:11 | Report Abuse

Bought some tickets at RM0.38. good luck guys.

nemesis

3,994 posts

Posted by nemesis > 2024-06-14 09:07 | Report Abuse

Property sector on uptrend...

Posted by Jonathan Keung > 2024-06-18 17:00 | Report Abuse

Holding up very steady. .others goreng counter all down today

Posted by Jonathan Keung > 2024-06-19 17:01 | Report Abuse

HLIB calling a buy on the big cap property counters. Sunway , IOIP or Sime darby that may or benefit from the relaxation MM2H program. Not the small cap counters.

nemesis

3,994 posts

Posted by nemesis > 2024-06-19 18:52 | Report Abuse

Avaland is developing high end too...High end properties will be on high demand soon...

Val-Elta

684 posts

Posted by Val-Elta > 2024-06-20 14:50 | Report Abuse

Anyone in AGM now?

Posted by Jonathan Keung > 2024-06-20 17:44 | Report Abuse

Mundane affair. All resolution passed. Directors reelected , auditors reappointed, no issue raised

Posted by Jonathan Keung > 2024-06-22 08:56 | Report Abuse

Bottom fishing at 32 or 33 then wait for the technical rebound

Posted by Jonathan Keung > 2024-06-26 07:52 | Report Abuse

Almost there {32 sen }at the lower end of the chart. DJ drop 299 points. Tech heavy Nasdaq up. Mixed market signals.

Posted by Jonathan Keung > 2024-06-27 14:41 | Report Abuse

Rebounded from the day low.

Posted by Shotthebull > 2024-06-28 21:02 | Report Abuse

Going up to 42 sens

nemesis

3,994 posts

Posted by nemesis > 2024-07-01 09:46 | Report Abuse

Rebound is on the way...at 0.35 it is trading at a huge discount to its future earnings which is expected to increase in coming financial quarters

nemesis

3,994 posts

Posted by nemesis > 2024-07-04 01:37 | Report Abuse

Trending upP...Ayala Land will surely transform Avaland from a small cap developer to be one of the largest developers in Msia...Strong management team coupled with sheer determination to always be the best...I have full confident in their powerful management and leadership from the Philippines...This is easily a 1.00 stock in 2-3 years to come...Reiterate BUY!

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