Look if the major shareholder, Ayalaland has fullest confidence in Avaland by providing shareholder's advance......and if the major shareholder is prepared to "invest" another RM500m........what has an ordinary shareholder like us got to lose!
This itself is a queue that the latter will shoot up 2X to 4X from current level in near term.
RHB Investment Research Reports Avaland - Charting a New Chapter
rhbinvest Publish date: Wed, 27 Dec 2023, 11:49 AM MYR0.40 FV based on a 60% discount to RNAV. After undergoing a major operational restructuring, Avaland’s earnings and profit margin have improved substantially since two quarters ago. The company is now led by a group of experienced management team and board members who understand the Malaysia property market well. The right products and strategies should drive strong earnings momentum ahead.
Our Company Ayala Land is the largest property developer in the Philippines with a solid track record in developing large-scale, integrated, mixed-use, sustainable estates that are now thriving economic centers in their respective regions.
Following the success of the Makati Central Business District (Makati CBD), Ayala Alabang, Cebu Park District, Bonifacio Global City (BGC), and Nuvali, we continue to increase our footprint by building estates that reach and benefit more people.
With 12,483 hectares in our land bank, 30 estates, and presence in 57 growth centers across the country, we offer a balanced and complementary mix of residential developments, shopping centers, offices, hotels and resorts, and other businesses. Construction and property management services are led by subsidiaries, Makati Development Corporation, and Ayala Property Management Corporation, respectively.
Valuation The house ascribes a RNAV-derived fair value of RM0.50 based on 25% RNAV discount (in line with the discount ascribed for our small-mid cap property coverage). The stock is trading at an attractive 0.5x PBV, as compared to 0.8x among others small-mid cap property peers.
Avaland has broke recent high but price still have not broke out higher like powerwell. Initially both have similar charts until powerwell surged past 0.32 and goto 0.395 in 2 days. Was expecting Avaland to hit 0.39-40 this wk but guess have to wait next wk.
Volume getting inflated...Strong buying support i guess they are gonna push up the price to reflect its improving fundamental and stronger financial performance ahead...
Sea of red.war jittery hitting all markets. only gold , oil and USD up .if Israel start attacking and retailiation on Iran . Whole situation worsen. Iran is not Syria or Lebanon. iran is the big brother in the Middle East
While taking into account the short term negative risks, don't forget your long term positive risks also ya. The recent property index ballooned a lot of other property counters share price too, however, most of them are not supported by EPS. Which naturally should come down, however Avaland has fundamental support.
Key mid term positive risks Next week - Annual Report published, may give insight to sales of their projects, additional plans for the year. Next month - Quarterly result announcement, if a 2 cent EPS can be maintained, (which is expected, because their ongoing billable projects is still not in tail end, can say at peak billable state actually for the upcoming 1, 2 more quarters), you'll still have a company that'll give EPS of 8 cents per year. PE 5 even at 40 cent share price. Amika sales - From official sources APDL just released in March and Avaland finalizing the SPA from bookings in March, from unofficial channels, sales already reach 50+% level. If these sales were not booked into unbilled sales before (due to SPA and APDL not ready), there could be an additional of unbilled sales over 200m just from Amika alone for the upcoming quarter announcement. However, it's also possible that Avaland have booked these sales also, and this event will not add too much to unbilled sales
As long as quarterly EPS of 2 cents per share is maintained, and can be sustained for the next 2 quarters, long term outlook is still there for this share, people who de-risk now, would provide a good entry point for others, provided your trading plan revolve around at least quarterly basis.
this Lim Kok Boon case is in 2012 one, if you read the news in full detail. When MCT is GW Plastics, also Lim Kok Boon do not hold senior management/directorship in Avaland/MCT/or even top 30 shareholders for a long time d..
Lim Kok Boon stop being related to MCT in 2018/2019 already. So Haziqaz, maybe your intention is good, but if you read it properly and summarized/understand in full, you will know it's not worth to mention ya.. appreciate your intention, but your post don't add value unfortunately
More and more institutional funds are getting onboard Avaland...I notice small cap fund also invested...Ayala Land will surely take Avaland higher n higher as they are BIG, really massive!!
With an estimate Market Capt of 54 billion, it is even larger than all the top 10 property developers combined...I believe in in coming years Avaland will stand tall together with the Big Boys like Mahsing, Ecoworld, Spsetia, Sunway, Sime property and etc...
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Fundamental Trader
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Posted by Fundamental Trader > 2024-03-13 08:37 | Report Abuse
DEBT/EQUITY < 0.5 SAFE.
LAST Q FCF +VE OK