Perusing through the Moving Averages(MA),Moving Average Convergence Divergence(MACD), and Relative Strength Index(RSI) price charts the SSteel( cliche Strewn Steel) is now showing a very strong bullish trend and momentum.Well supported.
2.Expect the uptrend to continue barring any untoward geo-political events and negative news emanating from The White House,USA.
3.Past experience on any Hong Leong owned counter ( corporate maestro Tand Sri Quek Leng Chan) the price will shoot pass the Target Price(TP) is the coming QR to be announced next weeks or before end August is positive and better than the previous QR y-o-y.
Outcome: ODDs favour the upside in price to continue with the positive and useful jibes,information,feedback by many forumers for this counter:-)))
Local consumption for steel bar and wire rod around 5.7 million tons and 5.8 million tons in 2014 and 2015 with 1.90 million tons and 2.52 millions tons are imported. Based on the production capacity for the mill taken from thestar, I expect the mill will run at full capacity going forward.
As the mill still not yet fully recover all its production line, i expect the steel price will continue to rise in short term until all the mill running at full capacity. Expect sales to increase at least 40% going forward as no more import from China where the price is higher.
Current steel price around 2,500-2600, compared to last few months 1900-2100. What can we expect? The market still not realised the beauty part of this great recovery of this steel industry
Kenanga Research noted that local steel rebar prices trading at the range of between RM1,700 and RM1,850/tonne as at end-September as opposed to the lows of RM1,450/tonne in financial year (FY) 2015 due to China exporting steel rebars at extremely low prices, causing local steel players to register losses.
Veln82k6, thx for highlight the gisting point again ...
I'm start wondering, Amongst the BiG4 who has the ready plant facility space to catching up with the 40% gap in order to fill the robust demand when most Malaysia infra construction progressively take effect.
Lsteel is currently commence production Aug'17 ...
In what way or best effective way to increase productivity ? Need Sifus here throw some light .tq
Hi ! John bro To gauge better info, we need to keep track with B4 individually.
Key to wacth are : #1. Steel price , currently at $2560 from $2000 julai'17 #2. Inventory , from their last closing book. Where as Annjoo and Ssteel has did good. #3. Gross profit Annjoo has best margin by 19% so far . #4. Sales consistently , I like Steel and Annjoo . (Although now are Sellers market) #5. Other treat, like impairment lost ... hope Lionind will be do for once and forever for its Parkson's pull factor.
Above #1-5 , can be found in most Leoting article.
Wish to add #6 , plant utilisation rate of the Big4 .
Back on your question, at this moment Ssteel has been my most favourite amongst the Big4 . Tp of $3.50 is deem achievable if the steel price maintain above $2380/ mt continuously for the next 2-3 qtr . Becoz of its very consistently revenue and very high inventory closing from last qtr . period. Ann joo, will still be the sector winner along with the highly demand in home front. Tp $5.40 very mucb achievable , if u are ready to keep it for 12 months.
Annjoo - 1) Capacity constraint but with highest profit margin among all.
2) Pay good dividends after making profit
SSteel - 1) 2nd largest capacity after Lion Industries but profit margin is lower than anjoo. If able to run at full capacity I believe profit will increase at least 40% again.
2)Strong support from Hong Leong Group (financing and marketing network)
3) Pay dividends after making profit
Lion Industries - 1)Has largest production capacity but profit margin is lower than anjoo. If able to run at full capacity I believe profit will increase at least 50% again. Not sure when banting plant will commence operation. Need to overcome financing constraint as it will need more financing from the bank to purchase raw material if commence operation. despite it is in net cash position. Not sure whether bank will give more loan as the company is affected by other related companies.(LIon corp, parkson,etc)
2) Parkon factor (impairment loss).
3) No dividend. But expect to declared dividend again in FY2017 to attract more investors
Bro Venfx, it is not the plant capacity matters but the storage area is the key problem for all steel mill, plse take a look of their plant area that is unable to cope with the production capacity therefore storage is the key factors now.
Bro Venfx, to be in fact u can go and take a look of each steel mill is pack with goods or scraps that have covered the whole area already. Especially SSteel & AnnJoo
remember one thing you cant really fight the syndication if you are not steady enough.. not much of us could do that so frequently... unless you are a long term holder and MUST always in patience ..
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Warn3r
792 posts
Posted by Warn3r > 2017-08-18 11:41 | Report Abuse
Good morning all. 没有最高,只有更高。