Finally managed to buy some today. I have queue to buy for many days and today is the day I become the shareholder of Kobay. Its aerospace, O&G segments have been doing well in 2019 and will continue to do well in 2020. Its semiconductor segment didn't do well in 2019 but will do well in 2020 due to recovery of semiconductor industry. With all the 3 manufacturing segments having growth prospect, Kobay is almost certain to perform better YoY in 2020.
As for its property segment, the contribution % is much less than manufacturing segment, so if it does not make loss in 2020 is good enough for me.
I just noticed the total volume of 4.8k shares transacted today are all acquired by me. It's like Kobay open for trading today is solely for my sake, haha. Anyway, I have accumulated almost enough. Wait and hope for better quarterly result b4 end Feb.
It is reasonable to compare Kobay with FoundPac and UWC because they belong to the same industry, i.e. precision components, tooling and metal fabrication. Both FoundPac and UWC are selling at 30x-40x PE multiple now, and Kobay is a much cheaper option as it is selling at merely 10x PE multiple.
The question is will market give Kobay higher PE multiple, just like they gave to UWC and FoundPac ? If market does recognise Kobay is a much cheaper option for precision parts industry one day, Kobay's stock price will surge.
But of course the condition is Kobay must show growth in its revenue and earnings just like UWC and FoundPac did. I believe Kobay can achieve that in FY2020 riding on the recovery of semiconductor industry.
TOKYO: Japan is ready to take Malaysia to a new frontier in space exploration and technology, via collaborative initiatives.
Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA) international relations and research department director Yoshikazu Shoji said Malaysia already has a head start by having its first astronaut flown to the International Space Station (ISS); its involvement in the Malaysia East Asia Satellite (Measat) and micro-satellite programme; and aviation and aerospace industries.
"With Malaysia's experience in these sectors and the decades-old strong bilateral relationship between both countries, I reckon Malaysia can forge ahead in space science and beyond.
I suppose year 2020 will be a better year for Kobay as semiconductor industry will perform better in 2020 than 2019, with the exception in Q1'20 which may be dragged down by Covid-19 epidemic.
Kobay's result is a stream in the desert, after portfolio being beaten down by black swans in past 2 months.
My calculation shows the min fair value is RM2.59 per share, and that is the minimum fair value. The higher fair value would depend on what PE multiple the market is willing to give to Kobay.
Kobay is in the same industry, i.e. precision component, tooling and metal fabrication, as UWC and FPGroup. If one looks at their PE multiple and compare with Kobay's, u can see how much Kobay can go up in stock price if it can get PE multiple closer to its peers.
Kobay have lower PE multiple probably because of lower ROE. Almost all profit are coming from manufacturing, but big part of equities are for the property development. If exclude property development section, the ROE is actuary quite high. For me, the assets in property development form a layer of safety for Kobay, but some investors view it otherwise.
Icon, if share price reached RM3.00, it will not disprove "Low ROE hence deserves Low valuation", because the latest quarter's ROE is quite high, 3.67%. If you want to argue, please argue with logic.
One day you say Kobay Low ROE one day you say not Low ROE
Which is which ?
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Mkfarmer Kobay have lower PE multiple probably because of lower ROE. Almost all profit are coming from manufacturing, but big part of equities are for the property development. If exclude property development section, the ROE is actuary quite high. For me, the assets in property development form a layer of safety for Kobay, but some investors view it otherwise. 27/02/2020 12:27 AM
I commented about the relationship between PE and ROE. When I made that comment, latest quarter's ROE just coming out, market has not yet respond to that ROE, there is no related PE to that ROE. So when I said "lower PE multiple probably because of lower ROE", of course I mean the past ROE and PE. I thought this is very obvious?
the result was for 2 months back, i doubt the future results will adversely affected due to its involved market of aerospace, oil and gas, property remained terrible.
Khuen.... u mean their business like selling egg on pasar malam? Order / production can happened in short term 2 months???
Telur 2 biji. Bursa 101 . ‐-----------‐-------------'zzzzz khuen the result was for 2 months back, i doubt the future results will adversely affected due to its involved market of aerospace, oil and gas, property remained terrible.
Kobay quarterly financial result is really better than expected. Many stock buyers thought DUFU is the best earning Tech company with 5.5 cents. Kobay earns 6.3 cents. Now, Kobay beats DUFU. Dufu share price is RM4.96. Kobay share price is close to RM2.00. Why don't buy Kobay instead of Dufu.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Moderate
35 posts
Posted by Moderate > 2019-12-04 17:25 | Report Abuse
You're right!