Ameera ...aiyah only 92.5....ameera stay cool ...if u not in hurry be patient...once new project awarded the u can cabut....don't be panic !!! who say u got bad luck ????...
Fabrication order book replenishment and the new FPSO venture were the main talking points at our recent roadshow with management of THHE. The positive surprise from the roadshow was that the company may add a second FPSO vessel in as early as 1H15. Our target price rises as we raise our FY15-16 EPS to impute contribution from the fabrication of FPSO modules, which more than offsets the dilutive impact from the warrants. We continue to value the stock at a CY15 P/E of 16.4x, a 30% discount to the average P/E of the oil & gas big caps. A growing order book and successful FPSO and T&I ventures are the potential re-rating catalysts. THHE remains an Add and our top pick among the oil & gas small caps. What Happened On 11-12 Aug 2014, we took THHE's management on a roadshow in Kuala Lumpur. Management met with 48 fund managers from 25 fund management companies. It was the first roadshow ever for management, which took the opportunity to introduce the company and shed light on its operations and growth plans, including its recent venture into the floating, production, storage and offloading (FPSO) business. With the first FPSO contract under its belt, the company targets to scoop up its second FPSO contract in as early as 1H15. Furthermore, we learned today that 30%-owned Berlian McDermott is bidding for a sizeable transport and installation (T&I) contract in Brunei, with the outcome expected by year-end. See overleaf for more roadshow highlights. What We Think We sense that the fund managers were cautious about THHE's fabrication business, where projects tend to be lumpy. Therefore, the FPSO angle was viewed more favourably as there are longer-term income prospects. THHE's contract for its first FPSO vessel, Deep Producer 1 (DP1), is for eight years, with extension options of up to ten years. Assuming the same terms as for DP1, the second FPSO vessel could add another RM48m to THHE's FY17 net profit. What You Should Do Accumulate the stock. Our forecasts of record profits in FY12-14 support our sector-beating 3-year EPS CAGR of more than 100%, significantly above the sector average of 31%. Yet, its valuations are undemanding at 11-14x FY15-16 earnings. Earnings visibility is solid given the current FPSO contract, with the added attraction of the potential second FPSO contract.
More from THHE's inaugural roadshow The roadshow was CEO Nor Badli Alias's first investor event with a broker since he joined THHE in FY10. He was accompanied by Alex Chow, GM of corporate services. Over two days, we sat down with 48 fund managers from 25 fund management companies. Most of the fund managers met with management for the first time during the roadshow. Overall, we view THHE's investment proposition as well-received. It offers a high-growth story and sufficient liquidity that come with undemanding valuations relative to the sector average. There were concerns among the fund managers about the fabrication contracts, which tend to be lumpy with short durations of 1-2 years, but we note that the company's inroads into FPSO and T&I give it a solid earnings outlook as the income prospects from these two businesses are longer term in nature. The following are main takeaways from the roadshow: Yard expansion is ongoing Spanning 57 acres, THHE's sea-fronting yard is located at Pulau Indah Industrial Park, Selangor. The yard is currently 25% utilised, but in anticipation of future projects, THHE is modernising and doubling its yard capacity from 10,000 tonnes p.a. to 20,000 tonnes p.a. The upgrade works are slated for completion by year-end, later than the original target of end-3Q14. Nonetheless, the company completed Murphy's RM196m Permas topside project earlier this month as scheduled. The structures are set to be loaded out in Oct 2014. The completion of the Permas project reduces THHE's order book from a record RM1.6bn to RM1.5bn currently (Figure 1). An estimated 11% of the outstanding order book will be recognised this year. The company is on track to finish Lundin's RM120m Bertam wellhead platform project in Nov 2014 and its largest fabrication project to date, Petronas Carigali's RM250m Kinabalu topside project, in Aug 2015.
With the upgraded yard, THHE can, starting from 1Q15, take on a fabrication order book of up to RM1.2bn p.a. compared with RM400m p.a. currently. There is upside to the fabrication order book if the company acquires or leases neighbouring yard space, taking its yard capacity to around 80,000 tonnes p.a. and subsequently closing the capacity gap between THHE and the bigger yard operators, namely SapuraKencana (SAKP MK, Add) and MMHE (MMHE MK, Reduce). THHE is currently bidding for three Petronas central processing platform (CPP) projects worth around US$1bn each, with awards expected to be made between
Yesterday drop was due to Sumatec dragging penny stocks down. Anyhow, getting closer to my 0.88 to collect again......but today I watch first, hopefully can pick up lower than 0.88.
Petronas to award bigger contract in Sepat field Petroliam Nasional Bhd intends to integrate the production facilities for both oil and gas in Sepat field, off the coast of Terengganu. This means that Malaysia Marine and Heavy Engineering Holdings Bhd and TH Heavy Engineering Bhd would be bidding for a much bigger contract than originally expected.
Honestly, a RM 6 million loss is just a small bleep. Should be able to hold on before another round of uprising to more than RM0.9. I really don't see it rising to RM1 or even the target price of RM1.2. Hopefully it will be a good trading today. :D
Post a Comment
People who like this
New Topic
You should check in on some of those fields below.
Title
Category
Comment
Confirmation
Click Confirm to delete this Forum Thread and all the associated comments.
Report Abuse
Please Sign In to report this post as abuse.
Market Buzz
No result.
Featured Posts
MQ Trader
Introducing MY's First IPO Fund for Sophisticated Investors!
MQ Chat
New Update. Discover investment communities that resonate with your ideas
MQ Trader
M & A Value Partners IPO Equity Fund has been launched - Targeted 13% Return p.a
Latest Videos
0:17
New IPO: Manufacturer of fortified F&B and dietary supplements, OB Holdings Berhad aims to list on the Ace Market!
MQ Trader 60 views | 6 h ago
0:17
New IPO: Precision engineering components manufacturer, Northeast Group Berhad aims to list on the Ace Market!
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
maggiel
603 posts
Posted by maggiel > 2014-08-13 17:54 | Report Abuse
hihi, newbie here