maggiel cannot wait Q4 ?? , Dylan1027 jz boring and hopeless and cant wait anymore ??? , profithunter holding for long....hope will move and finally cant wait anymore....if you guys answer negative ...please sell to me fast , I want to collect somemore at current price.....
TH Heavy Engineering - Enter another heavyweight investor
Author: value_investor | Publish date: Thu, 25 Sep 10:48 | >> Read article in Blog website
Target RM1.23 (Stock Rating: ADD)
THHE has proposed a placement of up to 10% with the first tranche of 5% to be placed to Pelaburan Mara Berhad (PMB) at 80 sen/share. THHE, which already counts LTH and Tan Sri Quek Leng Chan as its major shareholders, has earmarked the RM42m gross proceeds from the 5% placement for its yard expansion and FPSO venture. We maintain our forecasts for now but flag that we would cut our FY14-16 EPS by 1-4% for a bigger share base following the completion of the 5% placement. We continue to value the stock at a CY15 P/E of 16.4x, a 30% discount to the average P/E of the O&G big caps. A growing order book and a successful FPSO venture are the potential re-rating catalysts. THHE remains an Add and our top pick among the O&G small caps.
What Happened
THHE has proposed a placement of new shares of up to 10%, of which the first tranche of 5% or 52.796m shares will be placed to PMB at 80 sen/share. The gross proceeds of RM42m from the 5% placement will be used to facilitate THHE's yard expansion and floating production, storage and offloading (FPSO) venture. The 5% placement is slated for completion by mid-Oct.
What We Think
Established in 1967, PMB is an investment and asset management company wholly-owned by Majlis Amanah Rakyat (MARA), a government agency. PMB is making an entrance into THHE amidst the latter's operational improvement. To recap, THHE went through a rough patch in 2Q, prompting it to make RM9m provisions for the fabrication and transport & installation businesses. However, we understand that the company has returned to the black in 3Q and aims to secure a sizeable fabrication contract by year-end to expand its order book of RM1.5bn at end-Aug (Figure 1). PMB will be THHE's third largest shareholder, after Lembaga Tabung Haji (LTH) (31.6%) and Tan Sri Quek (9.1%). Imputing the new shares from the 5% placement, we expect to lower our fully-diluted EPS by 1% for FY14, 4% for FY15 and 4% for FY16.
What You Should Do
Accumulate the stock following the recent share price fall brought about by the soft 2Q. The fabrication business is lumpy but we take comfort in the long-term nature of the FPSO business, which landed an 8+10 US$372m contract in May. Furthermore, the stock's valuations are undemanding at 9-13x FY15-16 earnings, lower than the sector average of 14-16x
warrant exercise = 0.51; take note maturity @ 20-Dec-2014 current mother share = 0.805; while warrant = 0.285 so, warrant currently trading at a discount of 0.01
do you think the rights and bonus issue is a good thing? for long term investors, it would..... for short term players, they might dispose their holdings now as it would require additional funds......
the right call is it good or bad. look at the stock chart it already told u. in this case, negative.
insider knew the right is good for nothing. dont forget they mismanage the cash. they spend hundreds of million buying a 25yr old junk ship and rot in sea waiting for order fpso . the rest of the industry player would only buy a fpso when they received confirmed order.
from the way how they utilised their cash. u know this right is also as good as dumping money into sea.
too early to define the direction of this counter with the rights issue announcement.... ex-date yet to set, so Q3 positive results might boost investor confidence..... if still negative like in Q2, then dun-know-what-to-say already...... their most recent contract will only impact their books in Q4.....
rights issue for companies which have a good track record, it would fare well with investors.... as for companies without a good track record, investors generally would stay clear.....
TH Heavy has proposed a placement of new shares of up to 10%, of which the first tranche of 5% or 52.796m shares will be placed to Pelaburan Mara Berhad at 80 sen/share. (BMSB) Mara already losing investment?
Any company proposing right issues (RI) or private placement .....sure the price will skydiving ....no eyes to see........luckily hold very small 10 lots @ 0.805 ........will add more once price stable or better wait till announcement of RI date....
maggiel.....don't worry too much....this is just a blip....lets wish all of us luck in the days ahead..!!! it will reach bottom before it goes up again !!!....fingers cross...
tan teng boo says companies which have not seen a FPSO their whole life...... then suddenly just went and bought an old junk.. then only look for a contract.. then ask for huge amount of money to try to convert it to FPSO... just ain't gonna cut it.... or something like that la
the ask for huge amount of money to try to convert the old junk to FPSO.... this part involve you la
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
profithunter
117 posts
Posted by profithunter > 2014-09-30 23:49 | Report Abuse
holding for long...hope will move