@Thirai, I think revenue growth came from Roland, Sony and increasing orders from other customers and maybe a new customer. I believe contribution from Wistron will increase tremendously in 2022.
@Sardin - Is FPI heavily reliant on foreign workers? We probably need to ask this question to FPI come next AGM. In its 2020 Annual Report, FPI talks a lot about automating and retraining staff, which is encouraging.
Projections on speaker sales worldwide are rather rosy -- apparently the industry would grow above 16% CAGR. If FPI could maintain its market position, it would really create serious value for its shareholders.
I think like many other EMS, FPI too is hiring both local and foreign workers but I do not know the ratio. To achieve a high degree of automation might not be realistic for complicated assembly because the product design is determined by customer and the design always change because of the need to produce new models every year. Also, due to pressure to complete product development in very limited time, a designer might not put as much effort to think of manufacturability of the design but to quickly finish the project. So I believe they still need lots of workers even though they could automate some of the processes. As for the business prospect, I agree with you that it is easy for the OEM to register double digit growth for smart audio and musical instrument section provided the OEM is attached to the right customer. FPI has been allowed to work full swing and achieving higher revenue in Q4 qoq and yet is still facing shortage of labour. If OT is able to solve the labor problem they wouldn't have mentioned this in the report. That means, order in 2022 should be considerably higher than 2021. And I believe Taiwanese's capability to solve problem.
How many shares has FPI issued to its employees? So far, they have exercised upward of 5 mil shares, equivalent to 2% of the total, but it seems never ending. And, I don't think the employees are holding on to the shares.
Fpi was working on 24/7 at their factory on strong order book and the start of the new product from the client that they secure last year. Expected good earning result in 1st quarter. This is supported with strong shipping of Sony sound panel in 1st qtr 22 vs 4th qtr 21. USD strengthening will benefit to offset some cost inflation in MYR. Therefore margin is not impacted while the new product secure has a better margin.
I am not sure where you get the info that fpi client is sonos. The management has mentioned in last year agm that sonos is not their client but it is their parent company client. However I am not sure whether Sonos is under the RPT with wistron. Sony sound bar and Yamaha catalyst box is the only 2 existing ODM product of fpi other is OEM therefore you will not see direct shipping by FPI. OEM include Ronald their main client and etc.
FPI eps and revenue have been growing more than 20% per year for the past 5 years. Assuming the same growth rate next 5 years, my TP is based on PE reaching 16-18.
I have been new to this company. I found above discussion useful and I have some questions. So they are OEM supplier for Wistron and ODM they have only two customers Sony and Yamaha. If I read 2020 Annual Report : 212 mn RM sales is towards Wistron which is 27% of turnover - so its customer C. Page 78 shows revenue from Top3 customer is A : Sony & B is Yamaha? Are investors not worried about customer concentration risk. Any thoughts on how can they grow the business as they must be already key for existing 3 customers, hence its hard for them to grow unless they find some new significant customers. Lastly over the last 3-4 years the company net margin has improved from 4.7% to 8.4% (GPM up from 10 to15%)- any reason why it has improved and is it sustainable? Appreciate responses and do the management share any investor presentation as I cant find any research besides financial reports? Thanks
Quite a few MNCs are moving out of China, and are looking at SEA countries to fill the gap. I expect FPI growth will be higher than industry average of 19.1%
Dhando : I have lots of questions and I cant find any analyst report, so bothering you again? rWhen there is so much demand - why they have only 3-4 customers? Are these customers introduced by Wistron or are their own? Are they having capacity issue and in future they need to spend to expand and growth will increase?
There is very significant yoy upwards earning momentum. Not sure why it is priced so cheap - even if we assume it falls under consumer category and not EMS. Perhaps it is due to ESOS. Anyway value investor follow the earning and mis-priced stocks like this provides good opportunity. Sony and Yamaha are direct customer and are not going through Wistron. There is no analyst report perhaps due to small market cap below 1B. Anyway most analyst report are not worth the paper they are printed on.
Fpi has been actively hiring for local worker in late March early April, more line is working on 24 hours. Consumer is looking for smaller but high quality speaker and fpi has the technology
Fpi has low PE , it is because the boss do not believe in giving investor briefing and sharing. Traditional businessman, focus is on growing the business rather than singing in the town promoting FPI. GOOD result tell the achievement is their believe. That is why many do not know fpi and you will never able to search online if u want to know fpi. You need the hard work to perform your search outside of virtual space. Go and survey their klang factory at midnight and you may notice how active is the factory at this hours
This business has very high NPM, low capital expenditure- Fixed Asset and working capital also reasonable - why they are able to achieve this. Do they have technology or is it because they focus on niche area?
I think like many other EMS, FPI too is hiring both local and foreign workers but I do not know the ratio. To achieve a high degree of automation might not be realistic for complicated assembly because the product design is determined by customer and the design always change because of the need to produce new models every year. Also, due to pressure to complete product development in very limited time, a designer might not put as much effort to think of manufacturability of the design but to quickly finish the project.
So I believe they still need lots of workers even though they could automate some of the processes. As for the business prospect, I agree with you that it is easy for the OEM to register double digit growth for smart audio and musical instrument section provided the OEM is attached to the right customer. FPI has been allowed to work full swing and achieving higher revenue in Q4 qoq and yet is still facing shortage of labour. If OT is able to solve the labor problem they wouldn't have mentioned this in the report. That means, order in 2022 should be considerably higher than 2021. And I believe Taiwanese's capability to solve problem.
The share buyback proposal that the board of directors are proposing for the AGM could not have come at a better time. Many glove companies had share buy back program last year to prop the already high value of their stocks. It did not work as intended as the stock were way overpriced then. But the proposal by FPI last Friday is different and shows the BoD prudence in using the company's cash. Buyback program should only be initiated when the share price is really low and way below its intrinsic value. With a PE of 8 and expected revenue and earning growth of at least 20% per year for the next few years, it will be difficult to find a more opportune time.
Dhando : 8x PE you are assuming 25% growth profit or this year? I have not followed the company for long time - is this the first time they are doing buyback resolution as many companies I have seen taking resolution but not doing it?
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Sardin
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Posted by Sardin > 2022-03-04 14:57 | Report Abuse
@Thirai, I think revenue growth came from Roland, Sony and increasing orders from other customers and maybe a new customer. I believe contribution from Wistron will increase tremendously in 2022.