5. VALUATION AND RECOMMENDATION 5.1 Massively undervalued Although Bonia’s share price has risen by 25% YTD, we believe that the stock is still trading at a huge discount to its intrinsic value. Given that Bonia has laid a strong base for growth, we expect its net profit to more than double in three years’ time. We forecast that net profit will increase by 124% from FY13 to FY16. As such, we are of the opinion that Bonia’s current valuation does not reflect the company’s earnings growth trajectory, as it is trading at only 13.2x FY15 P/E and 10.8x FY16 P/E. Padini Holdings Bhd (Padini), Bonia’s closest competitor among the local listed fashion retailers, is trading at 10.4x FY06/16 P/E. This is higher than Bonia’s 10.2x FY16 P/E. However, Padini has a much lower earnings growth trajectory (see Figure 23). Padini’s 3-year EPS CAGR (FY13 to FY16) is 13.5% based on consensus estimates but Bonia’s EPS CAGR during the same period is 31.1% based on our forecasts. Bonia’s EPS CAGR is a whopping 130% higher than Padini’s. In other words, Bonia is currently trading at a FY16 PEG ratio of 0.33x, much lower than Padini’s 0.77x. Therefore, we strongly believe that Bonia is significantly undervalued and its large valuation discount to Padini is highly unjustified.
5.2 Initiate with Add rating Based on our analysis above, we believe that Bonia deserves to trade at higher valuations. We have strong conviction that Bonia should trading at a large premium over Padini due to its significantly higher projected earnings growth in the next three years. Although Bonia’s 3-year EPS CAGR (FY13-16) forecast is 130% higher than Padini’s, both stocks are trading at the same 10x FY16 P/E. This indicates that Bonia has been significantly mispriced. We initiate coverage on Bonia with an Add recommendation and target price of RM8.11, based on 19.3x CY15 P/E. Our valuation was derived from a 20% premium over our target market P/E of 16.1x, due to the relatively higher earnings growth trajectory of Bonia compared to the market. In our opinion, there is potential 62% upside to Bonia’s current share price. We advise investors to accumulate the stock.
Bonia lai liao, TP 8.00 by end of the year. everyone please pump in money, trust me I am an investment banker (I have no direct interests with CIMB) ALL PIKERS COME ENTER BONIA THIS IS A VERY STRONG COUNTER with backing from strong winning PE firms like Creador. lai lai HUAT AHHHHHHHH
Recently another Hedge Fund also bought in a considerable amount in this stock, if someone else can see potential in this company, then it is better for us to go in early. GO IN BEFORE IT HITS RM6. If not that time you cry like me, sohai. I wanted to go in at RM4 a month ago but I had no balls. NOW I RUGI but at least I managed to buy 50k yesterday lai lai lai HUAT AHHHHHHH
Bonis manafucturing raw material purchase already paying 10% Sales Tax. GST will replace ST and only 6%, thus it will not affect their selling price, but might able to reduce pricing.
Braun Buffel, the German designer and maker of premium leather handbags and accessories with more than 100 years of tradition, a brand will continue boost Bonia revenue.
KUALA LUMPUR: Just over a year after expanding its brand portfolio to include rights for Braun Büffel in the Asia-Pacific, homegrown fashion label Bonia Corp Bhd is taking a bigger step abroad by taking a 49% stake in the Germany-based leather goods maker in a deal worth €3.2 million (RM13.1 million).
In an announcement to Bursa Malaysia, Bonia said its 70%-owned subsidiary Jeco Pte Ltd has signed a sales and purchase agreement with Christiane Brunk for the purchase of a 49% equity stake in Braun Verwaltungs-GmbH and Braun GmbH & Co KG (Braun KG) for €980,000 cash.
Brunk, who is the great granddaughter of Braun Büffel founder Johann Braun, is the director and sole shareholder of the companies.
Jeco also entered into a loan receivable sale agreement with several parties to restructure the total debts of €3.15 million owed by Braun KG to Sparkasse Rhein-Nahe, which will be settled through a lump sum of €2.2 million.
Other parties in the loan agreement are Brunk, Braun Büffel Retail GmbH & Co KG, Braun Büffel Retail Management GmbH and Braun Büffel Suisse GmbH.
Jeco also entered into a trademark purchase and transfer agreement with Büffel Markenverwertungs GmbH & KG, Karl-Heinz Braun and Frau Liesel Braun for the purpose of acquiring the Braun Büffel trademark for €20,000 cash.
The entire deal will be funded by internally generated funds.
Essentially the agreements will allow Jeco, which is the brand representative and owns the trademark for Braun Büffel in Asia-Pacific up until June 30, 2034, an opportunity to work closer with Braun KG to help build the brand in Europe, Asia as well as other parts of the world, according to the announcement. Under the agreement, Jeco is now the rights owner of the Braun Büffel trademark in the UAE, the US and Canada.
“The company believes that with the long established brand of Braun Büffel, the Bonia group will be able to further grow its market share and recognition in the Asia-Pacific region and the rest of the world.
“The acquisition is expected to widen earnings base of the Bonia group and this will eventually enhance the company’s shareholders value,” said Bonia.
KUALA LUMPUR: Just over a year after expanding its brand portfolio to include rights for Braun Büffel in the Asia-Pacific, homegrown fashion label Bonia Corp Bhd is taking a bigger step abroad by taking a 49% stake in the Germany-based leather goods maker in a deal worth €3.2 million (RM13.1 million).
In an announcement to Bursa Malaysia, Bonia said its 70%-owned subsidiary Jeco Pte Ltd has signed a sales and purchase agreement with Christiane Brunk for the purchase of a 49% equity stake in Braun Verwaltungs-GmbH and Braun GmbH & Co KG (Braun KG) for €980,000 cash.
Brunk, who is the great granddaughter of Braun Büffel founder Johann Braun, is the director and sole shareholder of the companies.
Jeco also entered into a loan receivable sale agreement with several parties to restructure the total debts of €3.15 million owed by Braun KG to Sparkasse Rhein-Nahe, which will be settled through a lump sum of €2.2 million.
Other parties in the loan agreement are Brunk, Braun Büffel Retail GmbH & Co KG, Braun Büffel Retail Management GmbH and Braun Büffel Suisse GmbH.
Jeco also entered into a trademark purchase and transfer agreement with Büffel Markenverwertungs GmbH & KG, Karl-Heinz Braun and Frau Liesel Braun for the purpose of acquiring the Braun Büffel trademark for €20,000 cash.
The entire deal will be funded by internally generated funds.
Essentially the agreements will allow Jeco, which is the brand representative and owns the trademark for Braun Büffel in Asia-Pacific up until June 30, 2034, an opportunity to work closer with Braun KG to help build the brand in Europe, Asia as well as other parts of the world, according to the announcement. Under the agreement, Jeco is now the rights owner of the Braun Büffel trademark in the UAE, the US and Canada.
“The company believes that with the long established brand of Braun Büffel, the Bonia group will be able to further grow its market share and recognition in the Asia-Pacific region and the rest of the world.
“The acquisition is expected to widen earnings base of the Bonia group and this will eventually enhance the company’s shareholders value,” said Bonia.
Have been under the radar for so long and now it is time to realize the value. In one month, short term tp with current PE of 16 should be around 6.50. RM8 by the end of the year
BUY more Bonia next week. The good thing about Bonia is it not so much affected by the tech sell-offs in the NASDAQ, as pointed out by the lowly-educated piker above. Keeping loading up on more BONIAs and avoid tech and high-growth stocks for the moment.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
hw0706
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Posted by hw0706 > 2014-04-09 15:55 | Report Abuse
look like up 5.10