the stabilizing banks are given a mandate to support the price within a set price range for a period of 1-2 month from the date of listing. B.Plantations shares (portion)allocation to retail buyers means the counter may be under pressure. CPO prices of late is trending downwards
Without any earning accredited acquisition in the next two years, the projected core net profit is estimated to be around RM 120 mil, assuming average CPO at RM 2,700 per mt.
This work out to be around 7.5 sen per share, forward P/E around 21. With 60% payout, the DY will be 2.8%.
If it can acquire 10,000 hectares of mature plantation land, the average FFB yield in Malaysia is around 20 mt per hectare and OER of around 20%. That will give 40,000 mt of CPO production per annum. If the average CPO price can maintain around RM 2,700 per mt level, the additional revenue will be RM 108 mil.
If its net profit margin maintain at 27% (could be better if there are operation synergy from the acquisition), that will give another RM 29 mil per annum (EPS 1.9 sen per share). The prospective P/E can go down to 17 and DY up another 0.7% to 3.5%.
It has the financial muscle to do the deal but it is a question of when.
If all of u notice, currently institutions are dumping the shares to foreigns. Under this situation, price will not move. We need to wait for institutions buying happen, which I believe will happen soon. At that time, all price will move up. This is happening every cycle
Sold all of mine at 1.61 today... All the best to u'all... for the stabilising mgr to extend support for 3days in a row right after ipo tells something. Usually if an ipo flies, it will do so within first 3days, if it doesnt.... It tells something... ciaooooooo
You are right Slimy. It's just paper shuffling from REIT to BPB. Only the selected gets richer. Others got con. What more the CEO from carpet seller to BPB CEO :-)
If Bplant use its proceed from ipo it takes 20years for them to reach capital value of RM1.60 IPO,considering every year its EPS consistent at RM0.0775/ANUM....
Anyone that trust on Bplant go ler invest...wondering this is why no ppl buying the shares...
Better sell Bplant now while stabilising manager Affin is still there. At least can sell at 1.60. After stabilising period over, why panic sell at 1.50? Be smart, dump to Affin at 1.60 now!
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
bathgel
265 posts
Posted by bathgel > 2014-07-03 09:28 | Report Abuse
Buy