FBMKLCI-C12: CW FTSE BURSA MALAYSIA KLCI INDEX (CIMB)
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Ride The Bull Short The Bear
CS Tan
4.9 / 5.0
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
apanama
3,796 posts
Posted by apanama > 2015-10-30 06:18 | Report Abuse
Good morning All..hopefully it will be a good Friday to everyone.
APANAMA MATHEMATIC OUTLOOK FOR THE REMAINING 46-TRADING DAYS
These key point on upper side “1708.62-1713.06”
These key point on lower side “1605.79-1603.36”
My mathematic looks like this after 1671.82 was breached. Actually I do like to take into consideration about GDP % in my mathematic. Alamak, I am already disclosed my Secret Recipe. But nevermind, APANAMA life concept is sharing is caring because he always believe in what Ibnu Khaldun said. Enough kelas falsafah lets focus to this Mathematic.
I had disclosed about ‘12’ step ladder up and ’12’ step ladder down. Feng Shui like ‘12’. Najib like ‘12’.. So now what’s next? The recent rally was actually to achieve BREAKEVEN point from 1867-1503. That’s all. Which is it has been done. TARGET IS ACHIEVED. Will it be a BEAR market after it has been achieved? Definition for Bear Market is 20%. So, 1381.93 that’s worst case scenario from 1727.41.
While, if Bull Market whereby 20% too. So perhaps 20% from 1503 =1,803.60
Lets zooming down on GDP. Is the GDP figure is there or not for that BULL MARKET? The BULL MARKET is only achievable and be real if GDP is more than "6.0-6.5%". While that’s GDP figure is no more within our reach due to Crude Oil price pressure and of course China GDP (no more double digit thats why China allow two child policy now )..and world GDP itself is not more than 4% anymore.
Market is always hunger for CATALYST and IDEAs for BULL MARKET which the only CATALYST that we have now is Dr.Zetty last chaired Monetary Policy this 5/11/2015. After that no more Monetary Policy meeting. It will be in January 2016 which is after the FOMC Meeting and OPEC Meeting.
The following important event for next 46-trading days.
1. BNM Meeting 5/11/15
2. Obama- mid nov
3. Parliament last seating just nice before OPEC meeting (vote of no confidence)
4. FOMC Meeting
The best thing is 107/108/109 trading days just seating nicely at the last three remaining trading days for the year 2015 which if we take 1716 will be the target for Year end closing. That’s mean, if market FAILED to recover and break those “1708.62-1713.06” , that’s mean, we might see “1605.79-1603.36”
Based on the Big Boys track record, they can push down 8-9 trading days and push up 8-12-trading days.
ALWAYS PLAY SAFE - DUREX
Note: Sampai Bila nak "QE QE QE QE"...which at the end, its just Financial Market enjoying it while the "REAL ECONOMY ACTIVITIES" across the globe is shrinking. yes QE is good for all of us who trade shares and know about share market but how many actually populations in this world are really into this 'share'.. :)