bestnya hari ini.... volume back to the super high range, break last highest record... ini macam ada banyak lagi pent up energy ni... lets continue to watch the show tomorow...
Refilling popcorns and some warrants. Getting more exiting, premium fluctuate around 12% to 15%. Now, mother is 88.5 sen, premium is only 12% for warrants at 28.5sen. Good volume.
you know how many warrants there are or not? I bot at 25 and sold this morning at 28.5 because at point of buying I did not know they have so many warrants. I like the company but dont like the fact they go issue so many warrants.
translated: WA 13.6% premium is attractive with almost 4 years to go + gearing of 2.88x. WA is a good leverage on the mother share with the ASEAN growth story materialising in the next few years.
WA's premium dropped to 12.6%, I remember it went as high as 18% once upon a time. Gearing is 3.3x (Gadang is 2.0x and Ekovest is 1.3x). Still has about 48 months before expiry.
Financial is getting better (excluding exceptional items, PAT is RM31m FY2016), increased 21% vs FY2015. FY2017 with Myanmar & Vietnam towers earning included + tenancy growth, earnings will grow another 29% (excludes exceptional items).
Based on today closing 87.5 & 26.5, premium is at 11.42%. Assumed price maintained at 87.5, with premium of 14% (average for past year), warrant is 28.75. There is opportunity here.
Figures not convincing yet at the moment. FY15 (26m), FY16(26m) FY16 before EI (31), FY17 Estimate (38-40m), FY18Forecast (40-46) = Once they see growth figures in FY17, more will see the potential. Then, like you say correctly, higher premium for growth stock will come in, hopefully by then warrants >33 sen. But it takes a year before we see the FY17 results, provided you are still around.
@Zai Zai, if someone bother to look into the breakdown of shareholders' equity of RM420m between tower ownership biz + Non-tower ownership biz, one will realise the potential, and ROE derives from each biz.
UOB KayHian (27 Feb 2017) - Growth opportunities in Southeast Asia to drive earnings at CAGR 17% over the next 3 years. (TP 1.00).
Key rerating catalysts 1) additional 2,000 sites to be awarded in the near future 2) growth in tenancy ratio for existing tower assets (New TP 1.34)
Like you said, the 2,000 towers is already in their bags, and new tenants' negotiations is ongoing. Both catalysts will be achieved in next 3 to 6 months. By then the new TP is RM1.34. By end of the year the warrant will worth .......6x sen? Pick your favourite number.
Brahmal may have been buying recently. To make money, he wouldn't want to wait for 2H2017 for confirmation. Ock's expanding in Myanmar & Vietnam. It is a non-cyclical growth stock. This means that the growth will sure happen regardless of economic climate going forward.
Was informed by an "expert" that both OCK and its warrants are breakout stocks and the warrant is better than the mother share in TA. Its a bonus to have both FA and TA.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
zoomboom
2,168 posts
Posted by zoomboom > 2017-03-06 16:57 | Report Abuse
AKUMAUKAYA must be eating his Musang King durian flavoured kaya roti bakar now laughing all the way to the bank...