Icon8888 Gossips About Stocks

(Icon) Century Bond - Heightened Competition Drove Down Profit Margin

Icon8888
Publish date: Wed, 25 Feb 2015, 03:20 PM
Icon8888
0 404
I follow the smell of money.

 

 

(The company's logo is very interesting. The C and B grouped together forms the Chinese word for "Good")

 

 

Executive Summary

 

(a) You will be awed if you look at the Company's corporate website. It states that it is involved in paper and plastic based packaging, contract manufacturing of consumer products, multi level marketing and warehousing / distribution. However, upon closer inspection, the bulk of the group's revenue is actually derived from paper packaging. The company is principally based in Johor.

 

(b) Having said so, the company is well run, as evidenced by many years of consistent profitability. Balance sheet is pristine, with limited borrowings and cash per share of RM0.73, representing closed to 60% of existing share price.  

 

(c) Share price has been on downward trend since mid 2013. Latest few quarters results were weak due to heightened competition experienced by its core earnings contributor (paper packaging division).

 

(d) In my opinion, the decline in profitability is structural in nature. Unless its competitors go out of business, thinner profit margin should become the norm going forward.

 

(e) All these negative factors had more or less been factored in. Share price has caught up with fundamentals. The 40% decline in share price mirros declines in profitability. At current level, PER is approximately 11 times while dividend yield is approximately 4%. 

 

 

Century Bond Bhd (CBD) Snapshot

Open
1.24
 
Previous Close
1.24
Day High
1.24
 
Day Low
1.24
52 Week High
04/9/14 - 1.64
 
52 Week Low
12/15/14 - 1.17
Market Cap
148.8M
 
Average Volume 10 Days
66.4K
EPS TTM
0.11
 
Shares Outstanding
120.0M
EX-Date
12/11/14
 
P/E TM
11.1x
Dividend
0.03
 
Dividend Yield
4.03%
Current Stock Chart for CENTURY BOND BHD (CBD)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Please refer to Appendix 1 below for further details of the group's operations.

 

The group has strong balance sheets with limited borrowings and RM87.6 mil cash, representing cash of RM0.73 per share.

 

 

Consistently profitable throughout the years, even during 2008 and 2009.

 

Annual Result:

F.Y. Revenue ('000) Profit Attb. to SH ('000) EPS (Cent) PE DPS (Cent) DY NAPS ROE (%)  
TTM 165,222 13,408 11.17 11.11 5.00 4.03 1.4200 7.87 View Source
2014-03-31 171,183 17,140 14.28 10.72 4.00 2.61 1.3700 10.42 View Source
2013-03-31 186,841 19,153 15.96 5.83 5.00 5.38 1.2600 12.67 View Source
2012-03-31 181,609 14,801 12.33 6.49 4.00 5.00 1.1400 10.82 View Source
2011-03-31 170,494 14,928 12.44 5.47 - - 1.0600 11.74 View Source
2010-03-31 168,215 17,741 14.78 4.34 - - 0.9500 15.56 View Source
2009-03-31 203,211 12,078 10.06 3.38 - - 0.8500 11.84 View Source
2008-03-31 177,946 10,455 8.71 5.75 - - 0.7700 11.31 View Source

 

Share price has been on downward trend from RM2.00 in July 2013 until RM1.24 now.

 

Earnings in the latest three quarters had disappointed. Did the weak earnings cause the de-rating ? What was the reasons for decline in profitability ?

 

Quarter Result:

F.Y. Quarter Revenue ('000) Profit before Tax ('000) Profit Attb. to SH ('000) EPS (Cent) DPS (Cent) NAPS
2015-03-31 2014-09-30 38,151 4,745 3,353 2.79 3.00 1.4200
2015-03-31 2014-06-30 42,239 4,255 2,942 2.45 - 1.3900
2014-03-31 2014-03-31 41,585 4,256 2,898 2.42 2.00 1.3700
2014-03-31 2013-12-31 43,247 6,112 4,215 3.51 - 1.3600
2014-03-31 2013-09-30 41,410 7,334 5,057 4.21 2.00 1.3500
2014-03-31 2013-06-30 48,370 7,066 4,970 4.14 - 1.3000
2013-03-31 2013-03-31 44,900 7,251 5,821 4.85 3.00 -
2013-03-31 2012-12-31 48,347 7,064 4,771 3.98 2.00 1.2200
2013-03-31 2012-09-30 46,407 6,163 4,149 3.46 - 1.1900
2013-03-31 2012-06-30 47,187 6,172 4,411 3.68 - 1.1800
2012-03-31 2012-03-31 44,226 5,730 3,966 3.31 2.50 -

 

 

 

 

Lower profitability principally due to heightened competition at paper packaging division. This has been the case since March 2014 quarter. The decline in profitability should be structural in nature. Unless there are changes in competitive landscape, future earnings might stay at current level.

 

 

Appendix 1 - Group Operations

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Related Stocks
Market Buzz
Discussions
Be the first to like this. Showing 0 of 0 comments

Post a Comment