Icon8888 Gossips About Stocks

(Icon) Tong Herr (2) - Steady Ship in Sea of Turbulence

Icon8888
Publish date: Fri, 12 Jun 2015, 01:54 PM
Icon8888
0 404
I follow the smell of money.

 

 

1. Introduction

 

I first wrote about Tong Herr in December 2014.

 

In this article, I will undertake a more indepth study of its operations and financial details.

 

Tong Herr Resources Berhad (THR) Snapshot

Open
2.05
 
Previous Close
2.13
Day High
2.05
 
Day Low
2.02
52 Week High
09/8/14 - 2.44
 
52 Week Low
10/16/14 - 1.88
Market Cap
255.0M
 
Average Volume 10 Days
15.7K
EPS TTM
0.23
 
Shares Outstanding
126.3M
EX-Date
06/12/15
 
P/E TM
8.8x
Dividend
0.12
 
Dividend Yield
5.94%
Current Stock Chart for TONG HERR RESOURCES BERHAD (THR)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The group has been in operation for a long time, it is a very competent and experienced player. It did not do so well in 2012 and 2013 due to trade policy of certain countries. With the resolution of those issues, earnings had rebounced strongly in FY2014. Every quarter, they reported EPS of approximately 7 sen.

 

Annual Result:

F.Y. Revenue ('000) Profit Attb. to SH ('000) EPS (Cent) PE DPS (Cent) DY NAPS ROE (%)
TTM 587,698 29,068 22.99 8.79 12.00 5.94 2.8400 8.10
2014-12-31 562,439 30,138 23.84 8.48 11.00 5.45 2.7100 8.80
2013-12-31 519,999 17,596 13.91 12.51 4.00 2.30 2.5300 5.50
2012-12-31 484,398 14,654 11.56 15.32 22.00 12.43 2.4100 4.80
2011-12-31 601,065 36,554 28.73 6.83 8.00 4.08 2.5300 11.36
2010-12-31 344,279 25,387 19.93 13.05 5.00 1.92 2.3100 8.63

 

Quarter Result:

F.Y. Quarter Revenue ('000) Profit before Tax ('000) Profit Attb. to SH ('000) EPS (Cent) DPS (Cent) NAPS
2015-12-31 2015-03-31 158,828 14,355 7,343 5.81 6.00 2.8400
2014-12-31 2014-12-31 149,945 3,868 3,280 2.59 - 2.7100
2014-12-31 2014-09-30 146,593 15,933 8,769 6.94 6.00 2.6300
2014-12-31 2014-06-30 132,332 16,279 9,676 7.65 - 2.6000
2014-12-31 2014-03-31 133,569 14,730 8,413 6.65 5.00 2.6000

 

The group has shareholders' funds of RM358 mil, cash of RM131 mil and borrowings of RM168 mil. This translates into net gearing of 0.10 times only.

 

Out of the borrowings of RM168 mil, approximately RM110 mil is in the form of Trust Receipts, which is a type of trade financing facility used to import raw materials. This type of facility is typically short term in nature, can be rolled over and bear low interest rate. 

 

The group incurred interest expense of only RM2 mil+ per annum. Based on RM168 mil loans, effective interest rate is only 1.2%. This is a very important point as it shows that "high" borrowings does not really eat into profitability (another proof of the competence of management team).

 

 

2. Group Operation

 

The group is principally involved in manufacturing of fasteners (fancy name for nuts, bolts, screws, etc) and aluminium extrusion products.

 

(For those who wish to know more about aluminium extrusion, please refer to my old article about LB Aluminium) 

http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/icon8888/56467.jsp

 

The fastener division comprises a 100% owned subsidiary in Malaysia (Tong Herr Fasteners Co Sdn Bhd), a 51% owned subsidiary in Thailand (Tong Herr Fasteners (Thailand) Co Ltd).

 

The aluminium extrusion division is represented by 51% owned subsidiary Tong Herr Aluminium Industries Sdn Bhd.

 

Manufactruing plants are located at Perai (Penang) and Chonburi (Thailand).

 

The group also owns 32% effective equity interest in Vietname associate company Fuco Steel Corporation LTd, which manufacture steel billets. 

 

(Province of Chonburi)

 

Based on estimates, the abovementioned entities reported the following earnings in FY2014 :-

 

  FY2014 PAT Proportionate
  (RM mil) (RM mil)
Malaysia fasteners (100%) 20.0 20.0
Thailand fasteners (51%) 14.0 7.1
Malaysia aluminium extrusion (51%) 9.9 5.1
Vietname steel associate (32%) (6.3) (2.0)
TOTAL 37.6 30.2 ^

 

^ FY2014 group net profit 

 

For more details on how I derived the net profit of the various entities, please read on.

 

 

3. Historical Profitability

 

The following figures are derived from quarterly reports and annual reports. Please read the notes below the table for further details. For example, if you see "(a)" in the table, please scroll down the article to read the explanation (a).  

 

(RM mil) Mar14 Jun14 Sept14 Dec14 FY2014 Mar15
             
Revenue (a) 133.6 132.3 146.6 150.0 562.4 158.8
> Fasteners 94.9 91.6 106.2 113.5 406.3 119.3
> Aluminium products 38.7 40.7 40.4 36.4 156.2 39.5
> others 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
             
EBITDA 19.8 18.8 21.1 15.1 74.9 23.8
EBITDA margin (%) 14.8 14.2 14.4 10.1 13.3 15.0
             
Depreciation (4.5) (4.5) (4.1) (4.6) (17.8) (4.5)
Interest exp (0.5) (0.6) (0.3) (0.6) (2.0) (0.5)
interest income 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.1 2.9 0.6
Forex (b) (0.2) 1.4 (1.8) (4.7) (5.2) (2.6)
Derivatives (b) (0.1) (0.3) 2.3 0.4 2.3 3.6
Associate (c) (0.4) 0.6 0.3 (2.4) (2.0) (2.4)
             
PBT 14.7 16.3 15.9 3.9 50.8 14.4
             
Tax (3.0) (3.0) (3.1) 0.1 (9.0) (3.3)
             
PAT 11.7 13.3 12.9 4.0 41.8 11.1
             
> Fasteners (Total) 8.3 8.6 9.1 8.0 34.0 11.9
> Fasteners (Malaysia) 5.4 5.4 4.2 5.1 20.0   
> Fasteners (Thailand) 2.9 3.2 4.9 3.0 14.0  
             
> Aluminium (Malaysia) 3.8 4.1 3.5 (1.6) (d) 9.9 1.6 (d)
> others (0.4) 0.5 0.3 (2.5) (2.1) (2.4)
             
MI (3.3) (3.6) (4.1) (0.7) (11.70) (3.8)
> Fasteners (Malaysia) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00  
> Fasteners (Thailand) (1.4) (1.6) (2.4) (1.4) (6.72)  
> Aluminium (Malaysia) (1.9) (2.0) (1.7) 0.8 (4.94)  
             
Net profit 8.4 9.7 8.8 3.3 30.1 7.4
> Fasteners (Malaysia) 5.4 5.4 4.2 5.1 20.0 (e)  
> Fasteners (Thailand) 1.5 1.6 2.5 1.5 7.1  
> Aluminium (Malaysia) 2.0 2.1 1.8 (0.8) 5.1  
> others (0.4) 0.5 0.3 (2.5) (2.1)  

 

Some key observations :-

 

(a) Approximately 78% of the group's products are exported. 

 

 

 

(b) The group is exposed to forex risk as it sells most of its products overseas and also has substantiual amount of forex loans. Probably caught offguard by the sharp depreciation of RM, it reported a forex loss of RM4.7 mil in December 2014 quarter, which dragged down group earnings substantially.

However, there is also a "Derivative" item which probably constitues forex hedging instruments. The drivative products flexed its muscle in March 2015 quarter by making a gain of RM3.6 mil, offseting the RM2.6 mil forex loss.

 

(c) The 32% owned associate company is Vietnam based and is principally involved in steel billet manufacturing. Its recent performance is disconcerting, with losses increases to approximately RM2.4 mil per quarter in December 2014 and March 2015 respectively. 

Very little is known about this entity and its prospects. But I foresee it continues to bleed in coming quarters.

 

(d) The 51% owned subsidiary that manufactures aluminium extrusion products traditionally contributes approximately RM4 mil PAT per quarter (approximately RM2 mil Net Profit per quarter based on 51% equity interest).

However, in December 2014 quarter, this subsidiary reported a loss of RM1.6 mil. The company did not provide explanation and details. However, based on LB Aluminium's case, my guess is that its raw material cost has increased due to higher aluminium price and weakening of Ringgit.

The following is LB Aluminium's explanation in its January 2015 quarterly report for its decline in profitability :-

 

 

  

 

Fortunately, it seemed that performance for this division has stabilised as it reported PAT of RM1.6 mil in March 2015 quarter. The improvement could be partially due to decline of aluminium prices (please refer to chart below).

 

 

(e) The Malaysia subsidiary that manufactures fasteners is the biggest contributor to net profit by virtue of its huge profitability (RM20 mil net profit per annum) and fully owned status.

 

 

4. Concluding Remarks

 

(a) Overall performance has been dragged down by losses at associate level (steel billet manufacturing in Vietnam). The group needs to manage this proactively so as to limit further deterioration.

 

(b) Aluminium extrusion division was affected by higher raw material cost, but has turned around in latest quarter. Hopefully the recent softer aluminium price could help earnings to improve going forward. 

 

(c) At current price, PER is approximately 9 times. But dividend yield is attractive at more than 5.5% (based on 12 sen DPS and share price of RM2.05). Even though not all things are rosy, I still like this group for its steady performance and trustworthy management team.

A HOLD for me. 

 

 

 

 

Related Stocks
Discussions
2 people like this. Showing 50 of 69 comments

MrNobody

searching database from infinite intelligence.........waiting.

2015-06-12 20:09

MrNobody

ok. got it.

unfortunetely, next life icon8888 is my dog.

so cannot teach u anything except "sit" "stand" "play dead"

2015-06-12 20:10

MrsNobody

Wakakakaka.....so free ka MrNobody jobless 40 year old virgin

2015-06-12 20:11

Icon8888

Ok dog also good, no need to work

2015-06-12 20:12

MrNobody

deal!!!!

2015-06-12 20:12

Icon8888

Ooi, your wife is here

2015-06-12 20:16

MrNobody

that is your old buddy kcloh.

i m single. where got wife.

2015-06-12 20:17

Icon8888

Is that because u r gay? Tkp1 said u r a pondan

2015-06-12 20:19

MrNobody

omg. is it true? is it the truth? never mind. to verify it is very simple

icon8888, send in your wife to me for 1 nite.

then the next day let her tell u the truth, nothing but the truth, and the whole truth.

wakakakakaka.

Posted by Icon8888 > Jun 12, 2015 08:19 PM | Report Abuse

Is that because u r gay? Tkp1 said u r a pondan

2015-06-12 20:21

Icon8888

cannot send my wife, scare your gay partner jealous

2015-06-12 20:23

tkp1

dog eat mouse, optimouse, optimouse kena makan, dead dead

2015-06-12 20:23

Icon8888

Is that a song ?

2015-06-12 20:24

Icon8888

Nice song

2015-06-12 20:24

MrNobody

you don't send how to verify? wakakakaa.

send la, pls, send la. just for 1 nite.



aiyoyo, laughdieme liao.

2015-06-12 20:25

tkp1

Icon say you are gay, kena dumped by remisier, that why you hate OTB, true ah?

2015-06-12 20:25

tkp1

I want to know, you become gay first, then kena dump, or kena dump, then sad sad, only then decided to become gay?

2015-06-12 20:26

MrNobody

Post removed.Why?

2015-06-12 20:26

Icon8888

Aiya tkp1 I already told u not to tell other people. Why u bring up again ? Hurt people feeling

2015-06-12 20:26

MrNobody

Post removed.Why?

2015-06-12 20:27

tkp1

your mouth so dirty already, backside I can't imagine, how to play, lol

2015-06-12 20:27

RosmahMansur

Icon what will be your view on TongHerr?

2015-06-12 20:27

MrNobody

Post removed.Why?

2015-06-12 20:29

tkp1

sorry Icon, actually I like gay, I just want to know what is the reason he become gay, I don't want to end up going out with a sad sad gay, I want a happy gay

2015-06-12 20:29

Icon8888

Rosmah we talk later can or not ? Now a bit busy lah

2015-06-12 20:29

tkp1

optimus, since 3 of us are here now, is time for you to answer Icon question on carepls? what to do now, cut lost or what?

2015-06-12 20:30

MrNobody

who is optimus....?? i don remember.

2015-06-12 20:31

tkp1

hahahaha, true Icon, now you see kena gang raped until can't recognize himself.......hahahaha, who is optimus wor?

2015-06-12 20:33

Icon8888

rosmah, market bad woh. Better hold cash unless u find something very compelling. Make sense or not ?

2015-06-12 20:35

Icon8888

As usual, he run away with tail between his legs

Go and cry to his gay partners

2015-06-12 20:41

Icon8888

Once again, tkp1 and I won.

How come every time we also win ? Sigh

2015-06-12 20:42

tkp1

like fortunebullz said, optimus is a roadside doggie, you hit him hard with the stone, he will run away and keep quiet

2015-06-12 20:48

tkp1

if you keep doing what you are doing today, go attack me in all the forum, I will assure you this kind of drama/movie will happen every night, until you don't recognize yourself......who is optimus wor? hahahahahaha

2015-06-12 20:50

Icon8888

last time he not like that. Things changed after the remisiers incident

Pity him also

2015-06-12 20:51

Icon8888

tkp1 I am your NATO club member. Next time he attacks u, my F22 will be there within seconds

2015-06-12 20:52

tkp1

true lah, I want to give him love, I like gay also, just that he don't appreciate my love, keep attacking me

2015-06-12 20:52

tkp1

haha, ok, deal, same to you, just ping me, my M16 is always ready

2015-06-12 20:54

tkp1

I feel like when we both combined, our power goes up 100x

2015-06-12 20:55

Icon8888

Actually we over react lah (M16 and F22), a strayed dog only...

2015-06-12 20:57

tkp1

hahahahaha, true lah, just a spit will do

2015-06-12 21:02

Icon8888

wakakakakakaaakaka this is so so so funny

2015-06-12 21:06

tkp1

the part I like the most is.......who is optimus? hahahahaha, piu !!!

2015-06-12 21:08

tkp1

a bit stupid lah, talk to us until like this still pretend he is not optimus, hahahahahaha, piu piu piu

2015-06-12 21:10

Icon8888

Next we see him, we just "pui"

2015-06-12 21:10

tkp1

ok ok, when you hear me pui, you come and join me, I will do that same, hahahahahaha

2015-06-12 21:12

Icon8888

I have a busy day today. Felt so stressed just now. But now I feel so happy. All my stress and tireness gone

Thank you the gay dog optimus !!!

2015-06-12 21:15

MrsNobody

Wakakakakaka.....Optikus hiding again...wakakakakaka

2015-06-12 21:16

tkp1

I feel the same, he attacked me every where, I just too busy to respond to him, now feel so "song".

If everyday can whack him like that, I no need to go for vacation.

2015-06-12 21:17

kakashit

yes, im queeing at rm2.00 to add stake, this is the export counter that will not benefit from forex gain, but i still like it.

I believe management is able to overcome heavy usd debt (90% of total liability) by strong turnover aka natural hedging

2015-06-13 15:33

SuperMan 99

Icon, I love what you said:

"I still like this group for its steady performance and trustworthy management team."

2015-11-12 22:43

Icon8888

Can buy ah ?

2015-11-12 23:02

Post a Comment