Stock Pick Year 2014 - OTB

Stock Pick Year 2014 - OTB - INSAS

Tan KW
Publish date: Fri, 06 Dec 2013, 10:16 PM
Tan KW
0 428,486
Stock Pick Year 2014 from Mr. Ooi Teik Bee (http://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/cube/tbooi1168.jsp)

Portfolio: http://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/pfs/25099.jsp

TOC: http://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/stock_pick_2014/42879.jsp
Following Message

 

Dear valued members,              
               
You should be realistic about your goals.               
               
"In this business if you're good, you're right six times out of ten. You're never going to be right nine times out of ten." Peter   
Lynch               
               
Disclaimer: Please be informed that the following mentioned stocks / symbols are solely for the purpose of education only; it is 
neither a trading advice nor an invitation to trade. For trading advice, please speak to your dealer representative or remisier or 
financial adviser. Please buy at your own risk. Final decision is yours          
               
Insas              
               
My trading plan               
I like the technical chart of this stock because it is a breakout chart.        
Major resistance is 0.985.              
Major support is 0.825 and 0.65.               
Target price = 1.70               
Margin of safety = 44% (0.94)              
Potential profit gain = 80% (0.94)              
Cut loss at 0.65 = 29%               
Risk reward ratio at 1.67 cut loss = 1 : 2.9               
               
Feng Shui element = Metal              
               
Buy Insas at 0.92 (5/12/2013).               
               
Insas IV Calculation              
        Fundamental Rating    
Total Net Profit Years   10/10   57.50%    
           
Total Positive Operating Cash flow Years   6/10          
        Current Price    
Total Dividend Payout Years   1/10   0.945    
               
Total Positive free Cash flow Year   6/10          
    23/40          
      Growth %        
10 Years Average Turn Over                    238,267 31.46%        
Current 4 Quarters                    313,227          
               
10 Years Average Net Profit                       44,187 106.22%        
Current 4 Quarters                       91,124          
               
    2012 2013 2014(Q1) Growth    
EPS (Cent)   1.84 9.14 13.61 48.91%       
PE Ratio   51.36 10.34 6.94 32.84%    
NTA   1.4 1.54 1.63 5.84%    
Net Profit                       12,601            64,468          91,124 41.35%    
Equity                     967,659      1,030,292    1,090,974 5.89%    
ROE   1.302 6.257 8.35 33.49%    
Dividend   0 1.3 1      
Free cash flow   -160,922 144,831        
               
Price CAGR % (Buy and Hold)              
Average Return History   1.01%          
3 yrs Return   21.71%          
               
Method 1              
EPS   0.14          
g, %   21.71          
Y   7.00          
IV= (EPS*(8.5+1.5g)*4.4)/Y   3.51          
Current price   0.945          
Margin of Safety   73.10%          
Potential gain   271.75%          
               
Method 2              
Discounted Cash Flows Calculator              
Discount rate    12.00%          
EPS   0.14          
Earning expected to grow (annually)   21.71          
for the next (? Years)   3.0          
before leveling off to an annual growth    3.00          
Calculate Stock Value per share   2.55          
Current price   0.945          
Margin of Safety   62.94%          
Potential gain   169.84%          
               
Method 3              
ROE   8.35%          
Rr, %   8.00%          
NTA   1.63          
IV= ROE/ Rr*NTA   1.70 Target price        
Current Price   0.945          
Margin of Safety   44.45%          
Potential gain   80.03%          
               
Method 4              
(22.5*EPS*Book value per share)^0.5              
EPS   0.14          
Total equity   1090974          
Number of shares   693334          
(22.5*EPS*Total Equity/share)^0.5   2.20          
Current price   0.945          
Margin of Safety   56.95%          
Potential gain   132.29%          
               
Thank you.              
Ooi Teik Bee              

 

INSAS (3379)
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Discussions
5 people like this. Showing 11 of 12 comments

Ooi Teik Bee

Mr Tan,
In the EPS row, please delete 396.74.
Thank you.
Ooi

2013-12-06 22:25

kcfan

Great job ! TB Ooi and Tan KW.

2013-12-06 23:54

imoogi99

Hmmm..OTB, your Insas chart dont seem to be right...last candle on 6 Dec Insas open at 0.92 and close at 0.945. Your chart shows that it open and close at 0.945. Have verified several charts and Insas open at 0.92 and close at 0.945.

2013-12-07 12:09

Ooi Teik Bee

You are right. The last update is the same as what you said. You are very good in spotting it.
Thank you

2013-12-07 12:22

mmk79

Thanks OTB

2013-12-07 16:39

Alan Tan

2014(1Q) 13.61?

2013-12-09 06:21

bowman

Already heading south

2013-12-26 21:52

dextronium

just sold off days ago.
i think fundamentally insas is alright...
wait for uptrend, and collect again...

2013-12-26 21:59

miketyu

Mr OTB,
Has insas turned bearish? Many red candles accumulating last week. What is the support and next resistance?

2013-12-29 16:22

heavyth

Is it still uptrend..???

2014-02-17 20:28

matrix6050

OTB What's your thought on Insas since Inari is going up significantly recently .

2014-03-12 13:55

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